Football · Portugal Primeira Liga · 09/08, 21:30
Prediction: Benfica vs Academico Viseu
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.01Total
Benfica2.51
Academico Viseu0.51
1X2
Benfica
Draw
Academico Viseu
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 64%
Not both to score 53%
Most likely score
2-0
Recent form · 10 last
Benfica
7-1-2 (W-D-L)
Academico Viseu
4-4-2 (W-D-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Benfica 1580 · Academico Viseu 1536
| Benfica | Draw | Academico Viseu | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 80% | 15% | 5% |
| Market | 84% | 10% | 6% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.01 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Benfica (rating 1580 vs 1536).
- High corners: 11.5 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Benfica | Academico Viseu | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.7 / 1 | 1.4 / 0.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.4 / 0.4 | 0.6 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/40/0% | 40/40/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.5 / 7.6 | 1.5 / 3.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.5 / 0.1 | 5 / 0.3 |
Standings · Portugal Primeira Liga
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Academico Viseu | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Casa Pia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Estoril | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Estrela | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Alverca | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Arouca | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Famalicao | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | FC Porto | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Gil Vicente | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Maritimo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Moreirense | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Nacional | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Rio Ave | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Santa Clara | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Braga | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Benfica | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Sporting | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Guimaraes | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Benfica
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/07 | St Gallen UEFA Europa League Qualifying |
1-0 | 5-0 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 24/07 | CF Os Belenenses Elite Club Friendlies |
3-1 | 5-1 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 23/07 | St Gallen UEFA Europa League Qualifying |
1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 17/07 | Villarreal Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 11/07 | Flamengo World Club Friendlies |
1-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 16/05 | Estoril Portugal Primeira Liga |
3-0 | 3-1 | 9 | 5 | W |
| 11/05 | Braga Portugal Primeira Liga |
0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 5 | D |
| 25/04 | Moreirense Portugal Primeira Liga |
2-1 | 4-1 | 9 | 4 | W |
| 19/04 | Sporting Portugal Primeira Liga |
1-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 12/04 | Nacional Portugal Primeira Liga |
2-0 | 2-0 | 15 | 6 | W |
Academico Viseu
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08 | Chaves Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 0 | W |
| 01/08 | Varzim Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 16/05 | Sporting B Portugal Segunda Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 09/05 | Benfica B Portugal Segunda Liga |
2-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 02/05 | Vizela Portugal Segunda Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 8 | D |
| 25/04 | SC Farense Portugal Segunda Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 17/04 | Feirense Portugal Segunda Liga |
1-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 11/04 | Penafiel Portugal Segunda Liga |
1-3 | 3-4 | 5 | 8 | L |
| 04/04 | Felgueiras 1932 Portugal Segunda Liga |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 9 | L |
| 21/03 | Lusitania Lourosa Portugal Segunda Liga |
1-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Benfica vs Academico Viseu?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Benfica win (82%). Probabilities: Benfica 82%, draw 12%, Academico Viseu 5%.
How many goals are expected in Benfica vs Academico Viseu?
The model expects 3.01 goals (Benfica 2.51 · Academico Viseu 0.51), with a 55% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Benfica vs Academico Viseu?
The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.