Prediction: FC Porto vs Alverca
Team pages: FC Porto
- FC Porto1-0Alverca
- Alverca0-3FC Porto
| FC Porto | Draw | Alverca | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 77% | 17% | 6% |
| Market | 78% | 15% | 7% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Porto (rating 1553 vs 1467).
- H2H favours FC Porto: 2-0-0.
- High corners: 10.8 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FC Porto | Alverca | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 0.7 | 1.1 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.3 | 0.4 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/40/20% | 33/22/44% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.9 / 5.3 | 2.6 / 5.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.3 / 0.3 | 3.1 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Porto 2–0–0 Alverca
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/05/26 Portugal Primeira Liga | FC Porto | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Alverca |
| 22/12/25 Portugal Primeira Liga | Alverca | 0-3 HT 0-1 | FC Porto |
Standings · Portugal Primeira Liga
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Academico Viseu | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Casa Pia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Estoril | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Estrela | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Alverca | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Arouca | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Famalicao | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | FC Porto | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Gil Vicente | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Maritimo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Moreirense | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Nacional | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Rio Ave | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Santa Clara | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Braga | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Benfica | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Sporting | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Guimaraes | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | FC Porto | Alverca |
|---|---|---|
| Gil Vicente | 0-1 L | 2-2 D |
| Sporting | 0-0 D | 1-4 L |
| Record vs common | 0 W 1 D 1 L | 0 W 1 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
FC Porto
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | SCU Torreense Portugal Super Cup |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 25/07 | Aston Villa Elite Club Friendlies |
2-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 22/07 | Gil Vicente Elite Club Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 16/05 | Santa Clara Portugal Primeira Liga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 0 | W |
| 10/05 | AVS Portugal Primeira Liga |
0-1 | 1-3 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 02/05 | Alverca Portugal Primeira Liga |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 26/04 | Estrela Portugal Primeira Liga |
2-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 22/04 | Sporting Portugal Cup |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 7 | D |
| 19/04 | Tondela Portugal Primeira Liga |
0-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 9 | W |
| 16/04 | Nottm Forest UEFA Europa League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 5 | L |
Alverca
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07 | CD Mafra Europe Friendlies |
– | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 16/05 | Famalicao Portugal Primeira Liga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 10/05 | Estoril Portugal Primeira Liga |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 02/05 | FC Porto Portugal Primeira Liga |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 24/04 | Arouca Portugal Primeira Liga |
1-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 18/04 | Nacional Portugal Primeira Liga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 12/04 | Casa Pia Portugal Primeira Liga |
0-1 | 3-1 | 9 | 0 | W |
| 04/04 | Rio Ave Portugal Primeira Liga |
2-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 22/03 | Sporting Portugal Primeira Liga |
0-1 | 1-4 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 14/03 | Gil Vicente Portugal Primeira Liga |
0-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 4 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in FC Porto vs Alverca?
According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Porto win (78%). Probabilities: FC Porto 78%, draw 16%, Alverca 7%.
How many goals are expected in FC Porto vs Alverca?
The model expects 2.73 goals (FC Porto 2.24 · Alverca 0.49), with a 56% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in FC Porto vs Alverca?
The model gives a 54% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.