Football · USA USL Championship · 09/08, 02:30

Prediction: Tulsa vs Detroit City FC

Team pages: Tulsa · Detroit City FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.22Total

Tulsa1.12

Detroit City FC1.1

1X2

36% 30% 34%

Tulsa Draw Detroit City FC

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 62% Both teams to score 50%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Tulsa 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

WDLLWLLWDW

Detroit City FC 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

LDDWDWWWLD

Head-to-head

Tulsa 3–2–0 Detroit City FC (5 last)

Detroit City FC0-1Tulsa
Tulsa3-2Detroit City FC
Detroit City FC1-1Tulsa
Detroit City FC2-2Tulsa
Tulsa3-1Detroit City FC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Tulsa 1496 · Detroit City FC 1530

	Tulsa	Draw	Detroit City FC
Our model	35%	32%	33%
Market	36%	29%	35%

Estimated total (ours) 2.22 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Tulsa: 3-2-0.
Cards-heavy: 11.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Tulsa	Detroit City FC
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 1.2	1.6 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.4	0.6 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	60/30/10%	30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.7 / 3.3	3 / 5.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.1 / 0.2	6.3 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.45

X3.10

22.55

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.85

2 (0)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.85

Under 2.251.95

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 2.45

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 10:38

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.45 → 2.45	Bet365 2.45
X	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10
2	2.55 → 2.55	Bet365 2.55

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.3%

Time*	1	X	2
10:23 +15’	2.45	3.10	2.55

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Tulsa 3–2–0 Detroit City FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
25/08/24 USA USL Championship	Detroit City FC	0-1 HT 0-1	Tulsa
01/07/23 USA USL Championship	Tulsa	3-2 HT 1-1	Detroit City FC
07/05/23 USA USL Championship	Detroit City FC	1-1 HT 1-1	Tulsa
25/09/22 USA USL Championship	Detroit City FC	2-2 HT 0-0	Tulsa
08/05/22 USA USL Championship	Tulsa	3-1 HT 2-1	Detroit City FC

Standings · USA USL Championship · USL Championship 2026, Western Conference

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Orange County SC	18	9	7	2	29	19	34
2	San Antonio FC	18	8	7	3	25	20	31
3	New Mexico United	15	8	3	4	20	15	27
4	Sacramento Republic	16	7	5	4	24	15	26
5	Tulsa	16	7	5	4	19	16	26
6	Lexington SC	17	7	4	6	27	22	25
7	Colorado Switchbacks FC	17	7	4	6	28	24	25
8	El Paso Locomotive FC	17	6	4	7	27	27	22
9	Phoenix Rising FC	18	5	7	6	24	25	22
10	Las Vegas Lights FC	17	6	4	7	25	27	22
11	Oakland Roots	18	5	6	7	25	28	21
12	Monterey Bay FC	18	4	3	11	19	30	15

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Tulsa	Detroit City FC
Lexington SC	0-0 D	1-1 D
El Paso Locomotive FC	1-0 W	1-1 D
Birmingham Legion FC	1-3 L	2-1 W
Charleston Battery	1-5 L	0-2 L
Las Vegas Lights FC	0-0 D	0-1 L
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 2 L	1 W 2 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Tulsa

WDLLWLLWDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/07	Pittsburgh Riverhounds USA USL Championship	1-0	1-0	4	1	W
26/07	Lexington SC USA USL Championship	0-0	0-0	6	10	D
19/07	El Paso Locomotive FC USA USL Championship	1-0	1-0	5	5	W
12/07	Birmingham Legion FC USA USL Cup	1-1	1-3	4	5	L
21/06	Colorado Switchbacks FC USA USL Championship	1-0	1-2	0	4	L
18/06	Monterey Bay FC USA USL Championship	1-0	2-0	2	5	W
14/06	Charleston Battery USA USL Championship	1-3	1-5	4	4	L
07/06	San Antonio FC USA USL Cup	1-0	1-2	2	9	L
31/05	Las Vegas Lights FC USA USL Championship	0-0	0-0	3	1	D
23/05	Hartford Athletic USA USL Championship	1-0	2-0	3	9	W

Detroit City FC

LDDWDWWWLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
02/08	Miami FC USA USL Championship	1-0	2-2	4	9	D
26/07	Las Vegas Lights FC USA USL Championship	0-1	0-1	8	7	L
19/07	Indy Eleven USA USL Championship	0-0	2-0	5	7	W
12/07	Fort Wayne FC USA USL Cup	0-0	2-1	4	3	W
03/07	Birmingham Legion FC USA USL Championship	1-1	2-1	6	8	W
20/06	Louisville City FC USA USL Cup	0-0	0-0	6	4	D
14/06	Sporting JAX USA USL Championship	3-1	6-2	3	6	W
11/06	El Paso Locomotive FC USA USL Championship	0-1	1-1	10	4	D
07/06	Lexington SC USA USL Cup	1-0	1-1	3	8	D
31/05	Charleston Battery USA USL Championship	0-2	0-2	6	7	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Tulsa vs Detroit City FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Tulsa win (36%). Probabilities: Tulsa 36%, draw 30%, Detroit City FC 34%.

How many goals are expected in Tulsa vs Detroit City FC?

The model expects 2.22 goals (Tulsa 1.12 · Detroit City FC 1.1), with a 51% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Tulsa vs Detroit City FC?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.