Football · USA USL Championship · 09/08, 23:00
Prediction: Indy Eleven vs Hartford Athletic
Team pages: Indy Eleven · Hartford Athletic
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.4Total
Indy Eleven1.42
Hartford Athletic0.97
1X2
Indy Eleven
Draw
Hartford Athletic
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 57%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Indy Eleven
4-1-5 (W-D-L)
Hartford Athletic
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Indy Eleven
3–3–0
Hartford Athletic
(6 last)
- Hartford Athletic2-2Indy Eleven
- Hartford Athletic0-2Indy Eleven
- Indy Eleven4-4Hartford Athletic
- Hartford Athletic0-0Indy Eleven
- Indy Eleven4-1Hartford Athletic
- Hartford Athletic0-2Indy Eleven
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 55%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Indy Eleven: 3-3-0.
- High corners: 12.1 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Indy Eleven | Hartford Athletic | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 1 | 0.9 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.1 / 0.2 | 0.6 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/70/20% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.2 / 6.2 | 2.1 / 5.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.2 / 0.2 | 3.2 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Indy Eleven 3–3–0 Hartford Athletic
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/03/26 USA USL Championship | Hartford Athletic | 2-2 HT 1-0 | Indy Eleven |
| 04/09/25 USA USL Championship | Hartford Athletic | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Indy Eleven |
| 29/05/25 USA USL Championship | Indy Eleven | 4-4 HT 2-3 | Hartford Athletic |
| 08/09/24 USA USL Championship | Hartford Athletic | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Indy Eleven |
| 19/05/24 USA USL Championship | Indy Eleven | 4-1 HT 2-0 | Hartford Athletic |
| 25/06/23 USA USL Championship | Hartford Athletic | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Indy Eleven |
Standings · USA USL Championship · USL Championship 2026, Eastern Conference
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tampa Bay Rowdies | 18 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 33 | 19 | 38 |
| 2 | Charleston Battery | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 37 | 24 | 30 |
| 3 | Detroit City FC | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 25 | 17 | 28 |
| 4 | Louisville City FC | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 32 | 31 | 27 |
| 5 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 18 | 8 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 20 | 26 |
| 6 | Miami FC | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 24 | 31 | 22 |
| 7 | Rhode Island FC | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 25 | 18 | 22 |
| 8 | Indy Eleven | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 20 | 21 |
| 9 | Hartford Athletic | 17 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 12 | 16 | 20 |
| 10 | Loudoun United FC | 17 | 3 | 9 | 5 | 21 | 29 | 18 |
| 11 | Birmingham Legion FC | 16 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 17 | 21 | 14 |
| 12 | Brooklyn FC | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 32 | 13 |
| 13 | Sporting JAX | 19 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 23 | 51 | 8 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Indy Eleven | Hartford Athletic |
|---|---|---|
| Loudoun United FC | 0-1 L | 0-2 L |
| Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 0-1 L | 0-0 D |
| Rhode Island FC | 1-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 2 L | 0 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Indy Eleven (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Indy Eleven
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | San Antonio FC USA USL Championship |
0-1 | 1-3 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 26/07 | Loudoun United FC USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 3 | L |
| 19/07 | Detroit City FC USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 16/07 | Miami FC USA USL Championship |
0-1 | 0-2 | 9 | 1 | L |
| 04/07 | Charleston Battery USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 21/06 | Lexington SC USA USL Cup |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 14/06 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 07/06 | Forward Madison FC USA USL Cup |
0-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 6 | W |
| 31/05 | Rhode Island FC USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 24/05 | Lexington SC USA USL Championship |
1-0 | 3-1 | 5 | 6 | W |
Hartford Athletic
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08 | Loudoun United FC USA USL Championship |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 26/07 | Phoenix Rising FC USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | D |
| 19/07 | Rhode Island FC USA USL Championship |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 12/07 | Westchester SC USA USL Cup |
2-1 | 2-1 | 9 | 4 | W |
| 09/07 | Orange County SC USA USL Championship |
0-2 | 2-2 | 17 | 3 | D |
| 05/07 | Louisville City FC USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 21/06 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 2 | D |
| 14/06 | Tampa Bay Rowdies USA USL Championship |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 2 | W |
| 07/06 | New York Cosmos USA USL Cup |
3-0 | 4-1 | 6 | 8 | W |
| 31/05 | New Mexico United USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 6 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Indy Eleven vs Hartford Athletic?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Indy Eleven win (46%). Probabilities: Indy Eleven 46%, draw 29%, Hartford Athletic 25%.
How many goals are expected in Indy Eleven vs Hartford Athletic?
The model expects 2.4 goals (Indy Eleven 1.42 · Hartford Athletic 0.97), with a 61% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Indy Eleven vs Hartford Athletic?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.