Football · USA USL Championship · 09/08, 02:00

Prediction: Louisville City FC vs San Antonio FC

Team pages: Louisville City FC · San Antonio FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.1Total

Louisville City FC1.62

San Antonio FC1.48

1X2

40% 26% 34%

Louisville City FC Draw San Antonio FC

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 63% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Louisville City FC 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

LDWDDWWLWL

San Antonio FC 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

WDWLWDWLWW

Head-to-head

Louisville City FC 1–1–1 San Antonio FC (3 last)

San Antonio FC1-1Louisville City FC
Louisville City FC1-0San Antonio FC
San Antonio FC3-1Louisville City FC

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 10.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Louisville City FC	San Antonio FC
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 1.6	1.7 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.5	0.8 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/90/0%	50/30/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.6 / 6	2.5 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.6 / 0.1	5.7 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.91

Under 2.751.88

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 3.1

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:31

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.50 → 1.50	Pinn 1.50
X	4.38 → 4.38	Pinn 4.38
2	5.61 → 5.61	Pinn 5.61

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 7.5%

Time*	1	X	2
00:31	1.50	4.38	5.61

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Louisville City FC 1–1–1 San Antonio FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
20/10/24 USA USL Championship	San Antonio FC	1-1 HT 0-1	Louisville City FC
16/04/23 USA USL Championship	Louisville City FC	1-0 HT 1-0	San Antonio FC
14/11/22 USA USL Championship	San Antonio FC	3-1 HT 1-0	Louisville City FC

Standings · USA USL Championship · USL Championship 2026, Western Conference

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Orange County SC	18	9	7	2	29	19	34
2	San Antonio FC	18	8	7	3	25	20	31
3	New Mexico United	15	8	3	4	20	15	27
4	Sacramento Republic	16	7	5	4	24	15	26
5	Tulsa	16	7	5	4	19	16	26
6	Lexington SC	17	7	4	6	27	22	25
7	Colorado Switchbacks FC	17	7	4	6	28	24	25
8	El Paso Locomotive FC	17	6	4	7	27	27	22
9	Phoenix Rising FC	18	5	7	6	24	25	22
10	Las Vegas Lights FC	17	6	4	7	25	27	22
11	Oakland Roots	18	5	6	7	25	28	21
12	Monterey Bay FC	18	4	3	11	19	30	15

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Louisville City FC	San Antonio FC
Lexington SC	4-2 W	0-2 L
Brooklyn FC	2-2 D	1-0 W
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 0 L	1 W 0 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Louisville City FC

LDWDDWWLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
02/08	Tampa Bay Rowdies USA USL Championship	3-0	4-5	2	1	L
30/07	Birmingham Legion FC USA USL Championship	1-1	2-1	10	7	W
18/07	Pittsburgh Riverhounds USA USL Championship	0-0	1-3	7	4	L
12/07	Lexington SC USA USL Cup	2-2	4-2	3	6	W
05/07	Hartford Athletic USA USL Championship	0-0	1-0	7	4	W
20/06	Detroit City FC USA USL Cup	0-0	0-0	4	4	D
14/06	Brooklyn FC USA USL Championship	1-1	2-2	14	4	D
11/06	Phoenix Rising FC USA USL Championship	0-0	2-0	4	6	W
04/06	Birmingham Legion FC USA USL Championship	1-1	1-1	6	6	D
31/05	Tampa Bay Rowdies USA USL Championship	0-0	0-2	3	5	L

San Antonio FC

WDWLWDWLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/08	Indy Eleven USA USL Championship	1-0	3-1	5	2	W
26/07	Brooklyn FC USA USL Championship	1-0	1-0	6	7	W
19/07	Las Vegas Lights FC USA USL Championship	1-0	1-2	5	6	L
12/07	Chattanooga Red Wolves USA USL Cup	2-0	2-0	5	4	W
05/07	Monterey Bay FC USA USL Championship	0-0	0-0	2	9	D
25/06	Colorado Switchbacks FC USA USL Championship	1-1	2-1	2	8	W
14/06	Lexington SC USA USL Championship	0-0	0-2	6	2	L
07/06	Tulsa USA USL Cup	0-1	2-1	4	9	W
28/05	Sporting JAX USA USL Championship	0-3	4-4	5	5	D
24/05	Sacramento Republic USA USL Championship	2-0	2-1	0	9	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Louisville City FC vs San Antonio FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Louisville City FC win (40%). Probabilities: Louisville City FC 40%, draw 26%, San Antonio FC 34%.

How many goals are expected in Louisville City FC vs San Antonio FC?

The model expects 3.1 goals (Louisville City FC 1.62 · San Antonio FC 1.48), with a 52% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Louisville City FC vs San Antonio FC?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.