Football · Scotland League Cup · 15/08, 16:00
Prediction: Aberdeen vs Dundee
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.01Total
Aberdeen1.69
Dundee1.32
1X2
Aberdeen
Draw
Dundee
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Aberdeen
6-0-4 (W-D-L)
Dundee
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Aberdeen
3–3
Dundee
(6 last)
- Dundee2-0Aberdeen
- Dundee3-2Aberdeen
- Aberdeen2-3Dundee
- Dundee1-3Aberdeen
- Aberdeen4-0Dundee
- Dundee1-2Aberdeen
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Aberdeen 1550 · Dundee 1523
| Aberdeen | Draw | Dundee | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 26% | 29% |
| Market | 45% | 27% | 28% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.01 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate
Match keys
- High corners: 13 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Aberdeen | Dundee | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 1.1 | 2 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.6 | 0.5 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/10/40% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.3 / 7.2 | 3 / 5.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.2 / 0.1 | 2.1 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Aberdeen 3–0–3 Dundee
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08/26 Scotland Premiership | Dundee | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Aberdeen |
| 17/05/26 Scotland Premiership | Dundee | 3-2 HT 1-2 | Aberdeen |
| 21/02/26 Scotland Premiership | Aberdeen | 2-3 HT 1-2 | Dundee |
| 06/12/25 Scotland Premiership | Dundee | 1-3 HT 0-2 | Aberdeen |
| 05/10/25 Scotland Premiership | Aberdeen | 4-0 HT 3-0 | Dundee |
| 15/02/25 Scotland Premiership | Dundee | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Aberdeen |
Standings · Scotland League Cup · League Cup 26/27, Group D
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ross County | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 3 | 11 |
| 2 | Dundee | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 3 | 10 |
| 3 | Clyde | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 6 |
| 4 | Airdrieonians | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 3 |
| 5 | Annan Athletic | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 16 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Aberdeen
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Dundee Scotland Premiership |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 01/08 | Hearts Scotland Premiership |
0-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 25/07 | Kelty Hearts Scotland League Cup |
2-0 | 3-0 | 14 | 2 | W |
| 22/07 | Queen of South Scotland League Cup |
1-1 | 4-1 | 16 | 2 | W |
| 18/07 | Queen's Park Scotland League Cup |
2-0 | 2-1 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 14/07 | Brora Rangers FC Scotland League Cup |
1-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 11/07 | Linfield UK Friendlies |
2-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 04/07 | FC Twente Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 17/05 | Dundee Scotland Premiership |
2-1 | 2-3 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 12/05 | St Mirren Scotland Premiership |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 3 | L |
Dundee
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Aberdeen Scotland Premiership |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 03/08 | Celtic Scotland Premiership |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 25/07 | Clyde Scotland League Cup |
0-0 | 4-0 | 7 | 0 | W |
| 21/07 | Ross County Scotland League Cup |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 18/07 | Everton Elite Club Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-4 | 1 | 0 | L |
| 14/07 | Annan Athletic Scotland League Cup |
0-0 | 5-0 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 11/07 | Airdrieonians Scotland League Cup |
1-2 | 4-2 | 16 | 2 | W |
| 08/07 | Brechin Club Friendly List |
1-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 04/07 | Maccabi Haifa Europe Friendlies |
0-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 02/07 | Paksi Club Friendly List |
1-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Aberdeen vs Dundee?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Aberdeen win (45%). Probabilities: Aberdeen 45%, draw 27%, Dundee 28%.
How many goals are expected in Aberdeen vs Dundee?
The model expects 3.01 goals (Aberdeen 1.69 · Dundee 1.32), with a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Aberdeen vs Dundee?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.