Prediction: Dunfermline vs Ross County
Team pages: Dunfermline · Ross County
- Ross County2-2Dunfermline
- Dunfermline3-0Ross County
- Ross County3-2Dunfermline
- Dunfermline2-2Ross County
- Ross County1-0Dunfermline
- Ross County1-0Dunfermline
| Dunfermline | Draw | Ross County | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 26% | 30% |
| Market | 43% | 29% | 28% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ross County (rating 1546 vs 1610).
- H2H favours Ross County: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 5.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Dunfermline | Ross County | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 1 | 2.7 / 0.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.5 | 0.8 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/40/20% | 56/22/22% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 5.2 | 2.6 / 5.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.9 / 0 | 3.8 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Dunfermline 1–2–3 Ross County
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/03/26 Scotland Championship | Ross County | 2-2 HT 2-1 | Dunfermline |
| 03/03/26 Scotland Championship | Dunfermline | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Ross County |
| 25/10/25 Scotland Championship | Ross County | 3-2 HT 2-1 | Dunfermline |
| 30/08/25 Scotland Championship | Dunfermline | 2-2 HT 1-1 | Ross County |
| 16/07/22 Scotland League Cup | Ross County | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Dunfermline |
| 09/04/19 Scotland Championship | Ross County | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Dunfermline |
Standings · Scotland League Cup · League Cup 26/27, Group D
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ross County | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 3 | 11 |
| 2 | Dundee | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 3 | 10 |
| 3 | Clyde | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 6 |
| 4 | Airdrieonians | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 3 |
| 5 | Annan Athletic | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 16 | 0 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Dunfermline | Ross County |
|---|---|---|
| Inverness CT | 0-0 D | 4-0 W |
| Clyde | 2-1 W | 3-1 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 0 L | 2 W 0 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Ross County (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Dunfermline
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Ayr Scotland Championship |
1-1 | 1-1 | 12 | 1 | D |
| 01/08 | Inverness CT Scotland Championship |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 26/07 | St Mirren Scotland League Cup |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 21/07 | Cove Rangers Scotland League Cup |
3-0 | 5-0 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 14/07 | Dumbarton Scotland League Cup |
2-0 | 4-1 | 11 | 1 | W |
| 11/07 | East Kilbride Scotland League Cup |
0-1 | 0-3 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 04/07 | Kelty Hearts UK Friendlies |
1-0 | 3-0 | 1 | 0 | W |
| 27/06 | Clyde UK Friendlies |
2-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 25/06 | FC Botosani Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 23/05 | Celtic Scotland FA Cup |
0-2 | 1-3 | 2 | 2 | L |
Ross County
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Montrose Scotland League One |
1-1 | 2-1 | 10 | 7 | W |
| 01/08 | Peterhead Scotland League One |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 25/07 | Airdrieonians Scotland League Cup |
1-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 21/07 | Dundee Scotland League Cup |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 6 | D |
| 18/07 | Clyde Scotland League Cup |
2-1 | 3-1 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 14/07 | Nairn County UK Friendlies |
0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | D |
| 11/07 | Annan Athletic Scotland League Cup |
1-0 | 4-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 04/07 | Inverness CT UK Friendlies |
1-0 | 4-0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 30/06 | Clachnacuddin UK Friendlies |
1-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 0 | W |
| 27/06 | Forres Mechanics Club Friendly List |
– | 5-1 | – | – | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Dunfermline vs Ross County?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Dunfermline win (44%). Probabilities: Dunfermline 44%, draw 27%, Ross County 29%.
How many goals are expected in Dunfermline vs Ross County?
The model expects 3.07 goals (Dunfermline 1.7 · Ross County 1.37), with a 55% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Dunfermline vs Ross County?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.