Football · Scotland League Cup · 16/08, 17:00

Prediction: Rangers vs St Mirren

Team pages: Rangers · St Mirren

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.94Total
Rangers2.19
St Mirren0.75
1X2
70% 18% 11%
Rangers Draw St Mirren
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
2-0
Recent form · 10 last
Rangers 2-2-6 (W-D-L)
LLLLWWDDLL
St Mirren 7-2-1 (W-D-L)
DDWWWWWLWW
Head-to-head
Rangers 2–2–2 St Mirren (6 last)
  • St Mirren0-1Rangers
  • Rangers2-1St Mirren
  • St Mirren1-1Rangers
  • St Mirren2-2Rangers
  • Rangers0-2St Mirren
  • St Mirren2-1Rangers
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Rangers 1482 · St Mirren 1578
RangersDrawSt Mirren
Our model69%20%11%
Market71%17%12%
Estimated total (ours) 2.94 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours St Mirren (rating 1482 vs 1578).
  • High corners: 12.8 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 6.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

RangersSt Mirren
Goals for / against (FT)1.5 / 1.82.2 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)0.8 / 1.10.8 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/40/40%50/30/20%
Corners (HT / FT)3 / 6.33.4 / 6.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.1 / 03 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Rangers 222 St Mirren

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DateHomeScoreAway
15/03/26
Scotland Premiership
St Mirren0-1
HT 0-1
Rangers
30/12/25
Scotland Premiership
Rangers2-1
HT 1-0
St Mirren
24/08/25
Scotland Premiership
St Mirren1-1
HT 1-0
Rangers
26/04/25
Scotland Premiership
St Mirren2-2
HT 1-1
Rangers
22/02/25
Scotland Premiership
Rangers0-2
HT 0-0
St Mirren
26/12/24
Scotland Premiership
St Mirren2-1
HT 1-0
Rangers

Standings · Scotland League Cup · League Cup 26/27, Group C

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#Team PWL GFGAPts
1 St Mirren 431 1249
2 Dunfermline 431 1049
3 East Kilbride 422 13106
4 Dumbarton 413 6133
5 Cove Rangers 413 3133

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentRangersSt Mirren
Dundee Utd 1-1 D 1-1 D
Falkirk 5-2 W 2-0 W
Record vs common 1 W 1 D 0 L 1 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Rangers (1 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Rangers

LLLLWWDDLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
09/08 Hibernian
Scotland Premiership
0-1 1-2 72 L
06/08 Jagiellonia Bialystok
UEFA Europa League Qualifying
1-2 1-2 54 L
31/07 Dundee Utd
Scotland Premiership
0-1 1-1 104 D
26/07 West Ham
Elite Club Friendlies
0-0 0-0 40 D
22/07 St Etienne
Elite Club Friendlies
1-1 2-1 41 W
16/05 Falkirk
Scotland Premiership
3-2 5-2 43 W
13/05 Hibernian
Scotland Premiership
1-1 1-2 94 L
10/05 Celtic
Scotland Premiership
1-1 1-3 78 L
04/05 Hearts
Scotland Premiership
1-0 1-2 63 L
26/04 Motherwell
Scotland Premiership
0-2 2-3 72 L

St Mirren

DDWWWWWLWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
08/08 St Johnstone
Scotland Premiership
0-0 1-0 53 W
01/08 Falkirk
Scotland Premiership
1-0 2-0 74 W
26/07 Dunfermline
Scotland League Cup
0-0 0-1 86 L
21/07 East Kilbride
Scotland League Cup
0-2 4-3 47 W
18/07 Cove Rangers
Scotland League Cup
2-0 4-0 61 W
11/07 Dumbarton
Scotland League Cup
2-0 4-0 70 W
27/06 Arbroath
UK Friendlies
2-1 4-2 90 W
25/05 Partick
Scotland Premiership Play-Offs
0-0 1-0 45 W
21/05 Partick
Scotland Premiership Play-Offs
1-0 1-1 52 D
17/05 Dundee Utd
Scotland Premiership
0-1 1-1 102 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Rangers vs St Mirren?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Rangers win (70%). Probabilities: Rangers 70%, draw 18%, St Mirren 11%.

How many goals are expected in Rangers vs St Mirren?

The model expects 2.94 goals (Rangers 2.19 · St Mirren 0.75), with a 53% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Rangers vs St Mirren?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.