Prediction: Rangers vs St Mirren
Team pages: Rangers · St Mirren
- St Mirren0-1Rangers
- Rangers2-1St Mirren
- St Mirren1-1Rangers
- St Mirren2-2Rangers
- Rangers0-2St Mirren
- St Mirren2-1Rangers
| Rangers | Draw | St Mirren | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 69% | 20% | 11% |
| Market | 71% | 17% | 12% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours St Mirren (rating 1482 vs 1578).
- High corners: 12.8 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 6.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Rangers | St Mirren | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 1.8 | 2.2 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 1.1 | 0.8 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/40/40% | 50/30/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3 / 6.3 | 3.4 / 6.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.1 / 0 | 3 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Rangers 2–2–2 St Mirren
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/03/26 Scotland Premiership | St Mirren | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Rangers |
| 30/12/25 Scotland Premiership | Rangers | 2-1 HT 1-0 | St Mirren |
| 24/08/25 Scotland Premiership | St Mirren | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Rangers |
| 26/04/25 Scotland Premiership | St Mirren | 2-2 HT 1-1 | Rangers |
| 22/02/25 Scotland Premiership | Rangers | 0-2 HT 0-0 | St Mirren |
| 26/12/24 Scotland Premiership | St Mirren | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Rangers |
Standings · Scotland League Cup · League Cup 26/27, Group C
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | St Mirren | 4 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 4 | 9 |
| 2 | Dunfermline | 4 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 4 | 9 |
| 3 | East Kilbride | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 10 | 6 |
| 4 | Dumbarton | 4 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 3 |
| 5 | Cove Rangers | 4 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 3 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Rangers | St Mirren |
|---|---|---|
| Dundee Utd | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| Falkirk | 5-2 W | 2-0 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 0 L | 1 W 1 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Rangers (1 of 2 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Rangers
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | Hibernian Scotland Premiership |
0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 06/08 | Jagiellonia Bialystok UEFA Europa League Qualifying |
1-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 31/07 | Dundee Utd Scotland Premiership |
0-1 | 1-1 | 10 | 4 | D |
| 26/07 | West Ham Elite Club Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | D |
| 22/07 | St Etienne Elite Club Friendlies |
1-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 16/05 | Falkirk Scotland Premiership |
3-2 | 5-2 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 13/05 | Hibernian Scotland Premiership |
1-1 | 1-2 | 9 | 4 | L |
| 10/05 | Celtic Scotland Premiership |
1-1 | 1-3 | 7 | 8 | L |
| 04/05 | Hearts Scotland Premiership |
1-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 26/04 | Motherwell Scotland Premiership |
0-2 | 2-3 | 7 | 2 | L |
St Mirren
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | St Johnstone Scotland Premiership |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 01/08 | Falkirk Scotland Premiership |
1-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 26/07 | Dunfermline Scotland League Cup |
0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 6 | L |
| 21/07 | East Kilbride Scotland League Cup |
0-2 | 4-3 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 18/07 | Cove Rangers Scotland League Cup |
2-0 | 4-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 11/07 | Dumbarton Scotland League Cup |
2-0 | 4-0 | 7 | 0 | W |
| 27/06 | Arbroath UK Friendlies |
2-1 | 4-2 | 9 | 0 | W |
| 25/05 | Partick Scotland Premiership Play-Offs |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 21/05 | Partick Scotland Premiership Play-Offs |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 17/05 | Dundee Utd Scotland Premiership |
0-1 | 1-1 | 10 | 2 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Rangers vs St Mirren?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Rangers win (70%). Probabilities: Rangers 70%, draw 18%, St Mirren 11%.
How many goals are expected in Rangers vs St Mirren?
The model expects 2.94 goals (Rangers 2.19 · St Mirren 0.75), with a 53% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Rangers vs St Mirren?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.

