Prediction: Stenhousemuir vs Motherwell
Team pages: Stenhousemuir · Motherwell
- Stenhousemuir0-1Motherwell
| Stenhousemuir | Draw | Motherwell | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 10% | 20% | 70% |
| Market | 11% | 18% | 71% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 7.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Stenhousemuir | Motherwell | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 0.8 | 1.5 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.4 | 0.8 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/60/0% | 40/40/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.7 / 4.7 | 1.7 / 3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.1 / 0 | 3.2 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Stenhousemuir 0–0–1 Motherwell
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/07/25 Scotland League Cup | Stenhousemuir | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Motherwell |
Standings · Scotland League Cup · League Cup 26/27, Group E
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stenhousemuir | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 10 |
| 2 | Partick | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 13 | 3 | 9 |
| 3 | Livingston | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 1 | 8 |
| 4 | Forfar | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 3 |
| 5 | Brechin | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 13 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Stenhousemuir
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Morton Scotland Championship |
0-0 | 2-0 | 9 | 2 | W |
| 01/08 | Raith Scotland Championship |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 25/07 | Livingston Scotland League Cup |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 21/07 | Partick Scotland League Cup |
2-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | D |
| 18/07 | Brechin Scotland League Cup |
2-1 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 11/07 | Forfar Scotland League Cup |
0-0 | 2-0 | 13 | 0 | W |
| 16/05 | Alloa Scotland Championship Play-Offs |
0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 11 | L |
| 13/05 | Alloa Scotland Championship Play-Offs |
2-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 09/05 | Queen of South Scotland Championship Play-Offs |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 05/05 | Queen of South Scotland Championship Play-Offs |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 5 | D |
Motherwell
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | Falkirk Scotland Premiership |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 06/08 | HJK Helsinki UEFA Conference League Qualifying |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 02/08 | Hibernian Scotland Premiership |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 30/07 | HB Torshavn UEFA Conference League Qualifying |
2-0 | 3-0 | 1 | 0 | W |
| 23/07 | HB Torshavn UEFA Conference League Qualifying |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 17/07 | Genk Europe Friendlies |
1-2 | 3-4 | 6 | 0 | L |
| 05/07 | AGF Aarhus Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-4 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 16/05 | Hibernian Scotland Premiership |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 10 | W |
| 13/05 | Celtic Scotland Premiership |
1-1 | 2-3 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 09/05 | Hearts Scotland Premiership |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Stenhousemuir vs Motherwell?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Motherwell win (71%). Probabilities: Stenhousemuir 10%, draw 19%, Motherwell 71%.
How many goals are expected in Stenhousemuir vs Motherwell?
The model expects 2.85 goals (Stenhousemuir 0.7 · Motherwell 2.15), with a 54% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Stenhousemuir vs Motherwell?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.