Prediction: Dundee Utd vs Celtic
Team pages: Dundee Utd · Celtic
- Dundee Utd2-0Celtic
- Celtic4-0Dundee Utd
- Dundee Utd2-1Celtic
- Dundee Utd0-5Celtic
- Celtic3-0Dundee Utd
- Celtic2-0Dundee Utd
| Dundee Utd | Draw | Celtic | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 18% | 25% | 57% |
| Market | 19% | 23% | 58% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Celtic (rating 1494 vs 1561).
- H2H favours Celtic: 4-0-2.
- High corners: 12.4 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 6.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Dundee Utd | Celtic | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1.2 | 2.3 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.6 | 1.1 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/20/40% | 30/60/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.1 / 7.2 | 2.5 / 5.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.4 / 0.1 | 2.8 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Dundee Utd 2–0–4 Celtic
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/03/26 Scotland Premiership | Dundee Utd | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Celtic |
| 10/01/26 Scotland Premiership | Celtic | 4-0 HT 2-0 | Dundee Utd |
| 17/12/25 Scotland Premiership | Dundee Utd | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Celtic |
| 26/04/25 Scotland Premiership | Dundee Utd | 0-5 HT 0-3 | Celtic |
| 15/02/25 Scotland Premiership | Celtic | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Dundee Utd |
| 08/01/25 Scotland Premiership | Celtic | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Dundee Utd |
Standings · Scotland League Cup · League Cup 26/27, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dundee Utd | 4 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 1 | 9 |
| 2 | Montrose | 4 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 9 |
| 3 | Arbroath | 4 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 6 |
| 4 | Stirling | 4 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 3 |
| 5 | Spartans | 4 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 3 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Dundee Utd | Celtic |
|---|---|---|
| Hearts | 0-4 L | 3-1 W |
| Rangers | 1-1 D | 3-1 W |
| Record vs common | 0 W 1 D 1 L | 2 W 0 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Celtic (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Dundee Utd
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | Hearts Scotland Premiership |
0-2 | 0-4 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 31/07 | Rangers Scotland Premiership |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 25/07 | Salford City UK Friendlies |
0-2 | 2-3 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 21/07 | Spartans Scotland League Cup |
1-0 | 4-0 | 17 | 3 | W |
| 18/07 | Arbroath Scotland League Cup |
1-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 14/07 | Montrose Scotland League Cup |
0-1 | 0-1 | 12 | 3 | L |
| 11/07 | Stirling Scotland League Cup |
0-0 | 1-0 | 12 | 1 | W |
| 17/05 | St Mirren Scotland Premiership |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 12/05 | Livingston Scotland Premiership |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 6 | D |
| 09/05 | Aberdeen Scotland Premiership |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 6 | L |
Celtic
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | Kilmarnock Scotland Premiership |
3-0 | 5-1 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 03/08 | Dundee Scotland Premiership |
0-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 2 | W |
| 25/07 | AC Milan Elite Club Friendlies |
2-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | D |
| 18/07 | Middlesbrough UK Friendlies |
1-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 0 | D |
| 14/07 | Sporting Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 1-4 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 07/07 | Shelbourne Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 0 | D |
| 23/05 | Dunfermline Scotland FA Cup |
2-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 16/05 | Hearts Scotland Premiership |
1-1 | 3-1 | 9 | 9 | W |
| 13/05 | Motherwell Scotland Premiership |
1-1 | 3-2 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 10/05 | Rangers Scotland Premiership |
1-1 | 3-1 | 1 | 8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Dundee Utd vs Celtic?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Celtic win (57%). Probabilities: Dundee Utd 19%, draw 24%, Celtic 57%.
How many goals are expected in Dundee Utd vs Celtic?
The model expects 2.77 goals (Dundee Utd 0.95 · Celtic 1.82), with a 53% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Dundee Utd vs Celtic?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.