Prediction: Hearts vs Inverness CT
Team pages: Hearts · Inverness CT
- Hearts1-0Inverness CT
- Hearts3-0Inverness CT
- Inverness CT1-1Hearts
- Hearts2-1Inverness CT
- Hearts1-0Inverness CT
- Hearts1-1Inverness CT
| Hearts | Draw | Inverness CT | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 78% | 16% | 6% |
| Market | 78% | 16% | 6% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Inverness CT (rating 1481 vs 1548).
- H2H favours Hearts: 4-2-0.
- High corners: 11.5 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 5.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Hearts | Inverness CT | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 2.1 | 1.3 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.8 | 0.7 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/30/30% | 50/30/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.6 / 6.3 | 2.6 / 5.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.5 / 0.1 | 2.2 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Hearts 4–2–0 Inverness CT
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07/21 Scotland League Cup | Hearts | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Inverness CT |
| 24/04/21 Scotland Championship | Hearts | 3-0 HT 3-0 | Inverness CT |
| 26/02/21 Scotland Championship | Inverness CT | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Hearts |
| 07/11/20 Scotland Championship | Hearts | 2-1 HT 0-0 | Inverness CT |
| 06/10/20 Scotland League Cup | Hearts | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Inverness CT |
| 08/07/19 Club Friendly List | Hearts | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Inverness CT |
Standings · Scotland League Cup · League Cup 26/27, Group F
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inverness CT | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 11 |
| 2 | East Fife | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 9 |
| 3 | St Johnstone | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 7 |
| 4 | Linlithgow Rose | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 3 |
| 5 | Morton | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Hearts
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | Dundee Utd Scotland Premiership |
2-0 | 4-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 06/08 | Benfica UEFA Europa League Qualifying |
0-3 | 1-6 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 01/08 | Aberdeen Scotland Premiership |
1-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 28/07 | SK Sturm Graz UEFA Champions League Qualifying |
0-0 | 0-2 | 8 | 1 | L |
| 21/07 | SK Sturm Graz UEFA Champions League Qualifying |
0-1 | 0-4 | 12 | 3 | L |
| 17/07 | Rayo Vallecano Europe Friendlies |
2-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 0 | W |
| 10/07 | Livingston UK Friendlies |
1-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 16/05 | Celtic Scotland Premiership |
1-1 | 1-3 | 6 | 9 | L |
| 13/05 | Falkirk Scotland Premiership |
2-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 09/05 | Motherwell Scotland Premiership |
1-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 4 | D |
Inverness CT
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Arbroath Scotland Championship |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 6 | D |
| 01/08 | Dunfermline Scotland Championship |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 25/07 | Morton Scotland League Cup |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 21/07 | St Johnstone Scotland League Cup |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 18/07 | Linlithgow Rose Scotland League Cup |
2-0 | 2-0 | 13 | 0 | W |
| 11/07 | East Fife Scotland League Cup |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 6 | D |
| 07/07 | Cove Rangers UK Friendlies |
1-1 | 4-1 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 04/07 | Ross County UK Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-4 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 03/07 | Forres Mechanics Club Friendly List |
1-0 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 27/06 | Clachnacuddin UK Friendlies |
1-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 0 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Hearts vs Inverness CT?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Hearts win (78%). Probabilities: Hearts 78%, draw 16%, Inverness CT 6%.
How many goals are expected in Hearts vs Inverness CT?
The model expects 2.96 goals (Hearts 2.4 · Inverness CT 0.55), with a 53% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Hearts vs Inverness CT?
The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.