Prediction: Kilmarnock vs Ayr
Team pages: Kilmarnock · Ayr
- Kilmarnock1-0Ayr
- Ayr3-2Kilmarnock
- Ayr1-3Kilmarnock
- Kilmarnock1-2Ayr
- Ayr0-1Kilmarnock
- Kilmarnock2-0Ayr
| Kilmarnock | Draw | Ayr | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 24% | 16% |
| Market | 61% | 23% | 17% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- H2H favours Kilmarnock: 4-0-2.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Kilmarnock | Ayr | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2 / 1.3 | 2.1 / 0.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.6 | 0.9 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/60/10% | 44/33/22% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 4.8 | 2.4 / 4.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.4 / 0.1 | 1.8 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Kilmarnock 4–0–2 Ayr
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07/25 UK Friendlies | Kilmarnock | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Ayr |
| 11/07/24 Club Friendly List | Ayr | 3-2 HT 2-1 | Kilmarnock |
| 11/03/22 Scotland Championship | Ayr | 1-3 HT 1-3 | Kilmarnock |
| 09/02/22 Scotland Championship | Kilmarnock | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Ayr |
| 26/10/21 Scotland Championship | Ayr | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Kilmarnock |
| 02/08/21 Scotland Championship | Kilmarnock | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Ayr |
Standings · Scotland League Cup · League Cup 26/27, Group H
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kilmarnock | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 9 |
| 2 | Hamilton | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 8 |
| 3 | Raith | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 8 |
| 4 | Peterhead | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 5 |
| 5 | Elgin | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kilmarnock
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | Celtic Scotland Premiership |
0-3 | 1-5 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 02/08 | St Johnstone Scotland Premiership |
1-1 | 3-4 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 25/07 | Peterhead Scotland League Cup |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 21/07 | Hamilton Scotland League Cup |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 18/07 | Elgin Scotland League Cup |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 14/07 | Raith Scotland League Cup |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 04/07 | Linfield UK Friendlies |
2-1 | 3-2 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 01/07 | Glentoran UK Friendlies |
2-0 | 4-0 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 17/05 | Livingston Scotland Premiership |
2-1 | 4-1 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 12/05 | Dundee Scotland Premiership |
0-0 | 3-1 | 6 | 7 | W |
Ayr
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Dunfermline Scotland Championship |
1-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 1 | D |
| 01/08 | Arbroath Scotland Championship |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 25/07 | Alloa Scotland League Cup |
3-0 | 4-1 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 18/07 | FC Edinburgh Scotland League Cup |
0-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 14/07 | Falkirk Scotland League Cup |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 11/07 | Stranraer Scotland League Cup |
0-1 | 3-2 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 04/07 | Airdrieonians UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 30/06 | Dumbarton UK Friendlies |
2-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 27/06 | Glenafton Athletic FC Club Friendly List |
– | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 01/05 | St Johnstone Scotland Championship |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 2 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Kilmarnock vs Ayr?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Kilmarnock win (60%). Probabilities: Kilmarnock 60%, draw 23%, Ayr 16%.
How many goals are expected in Kilmarnock vs Ayr?
The model expects 2.76 goals (Kilmarnock 1.89 · Ayr 0.88), with a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Kilmarnock vs Ayr?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.