Football · Cyprus Division 1 · 29/08, 18:00

Prediction: Aris Limassol vs Apollon Limassol

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.01Total
Aris Limassol1.49
Apollon Limassol1.52
1X2
36% 27% 37%
Aris Limassol Draw Apollon Limassol
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 65% Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Aris Limassol 2-2-6 (W-D-L)
DLDWLLWLLL
Apollon Limassol 4-2-4 (W-D-L)
DDWLLWLWWL
Head-to-head
Aris Limassol 5–1 Apollon Limassol (6 last)
  • Apollon Limassol3-2Aris Limassol
  • Aris Limassol3-0Apollon Limassol
  • Apollon Limassol0-2Aris Limassol
  • Aris Limassol3-1Apollon Limassol
  • Apollon Limassol2-3Aris Limassol
  • Aris Limassol2-1Apollon Limassol
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Aris Limassol 1491 · Apollon Limassol 1522
Aris LimassolDrawApollon Limassol
Our model36%26%37%
Market36%27%37%
Estimated total (ours) 3.01 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Aris Limassol: 5-0-1.
  • Cards-heavy: 8.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Aris LimassolApollon Limassol
Goals for / against (FT)1.3 / 1.91.6 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)0.4 / 1.11 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/10/70%40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)3 / 5.52.4 / 4.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.9 / 0.14.4 / 0.3

Head-to-head (H2H) · Aris Limassol 501 Apollon Limassol

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DateHomeScoreAway
16/05/26
Cyprus Division 1
Apollon Limassol3-2
HT 3-0
Aris Limassol
18/04/26
Cyprus Division 1
Aris Limassol3-0
HT 3-0
Apollon Limassol
14/12/25
Cyprus Division 1
Apollon Limassol0-2
HT 0-1
Aris Limassol
23/08/25
Cyprus Division 1
Aris Limassol3-1
HT 1-0
Apollon Limassol
18/05/25
Cyprus Division 1
Apollon Limassol2-3
HT 1-0
Aris Limassol
13/04/25
Cyprus Division 1
Aris Limassol2-1
HT 1-1
Apollon Limassol

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentAris LimassolApollon Limassol
AEK Larnaca 3-4 L 0-1 L
Pafos FC 0-2 L 2-1 W
Apoel Nicosia 1-0 W 2-0 W
Omonia Nicosia 0-3 L 2-5 L
Record vs common 1 W 0 D 3 L 2 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Apollon Limassol (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Aris Limassol

DLDWLLWLLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
22/05 AEK Larnaca
Cyprus Division 1
0-1 3-4 35 L
16/05 Apollon Limassol
Cyprus Division 1
0-3 2-3 72 L
10/05 Pafos FC
Cyprus Division 1
0-1 0-2 106 L
06/05 Apoel Nicosia
Cyprus Division 1
0-0 1-0 86 W
02/05 Omonia Nicosia
Cyprus Division 1
0-2 0-3 33 L
25/04 AEK Larnaca
Cyprus Division 1
0-1 0-2 73 L
18/04 Apollon Limassol
Cyprus Division 1
3-0 3-0 33 W
14/04 Pafos FC
Cyprus Division 1
1-0 1-1 43 D
05/04 Apoel Nicosia
Cyprus Division 1
0-1 1-2 85 L
21/03 Omonia Nicosia
Cyprus Division 1
0-2 2-2 24 D

Apollon Limassol

DDWLLWLWWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
22/05 Omonia Nicosia
Cyprus Division 1
1-1 2-5 44 L
16/05 Aris Limassol
Cyprus Division 1
3-0 3-2 12 W
10/05 Apoel Nicosia
Cyprus Division 1
1-0 2-0 36 W
06/05 AEK Larnaca
Cyprus Division 1
0-1 0-1 110 L
03/05 Pafos FC
Cyprus Division 1
2-1 2-1 27 W
26/04 Omonia Nicosia
Cyprus Division 1
1-2 2-3 67 L
18/04 Aris Limassol
Cyprus Division 1
0-3 0-3 33 L
14/04 Apoel Nicosia
Cyprus Division 1
1-0 3-2 64 W
05/04 AEK Larnaca
Cyprus Division 1
0-0 1-1 152 D
22/03 Pafos FC
Cyprus Division 1
1-1 1-1 82 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Aris Limassol vs Apollon Limassol?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Apollon Limassol win (37%). Probabilities: Aris Limassol 36%, draw 27%, Apollon Limassol 37%.

How many goals are expected in Aris Limassol vs Apollon Limassol?

The model expects 3.01 goals (Aris Limassol 1.49 · Apollon Limassol 1.52), with a 51% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Aris Limassol vs Apollon Limassol?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.