Football · Romania Liga 2 · 18/10, 12:30
Prediction: FC Bacau vs Gloria Bistrita
Team pages: FC Bacau · Gloria Bistrita
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.64Total
FC Bacau1.43
Gloria Bistrita1.2
1X2
FC Bacau
Draw
Gloria Bistrita
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
FC Bacau
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Gloria Bistrita
6-0-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
FC Bacau
0–1–0
Gloria Bistrita
(1 last)
- FC Bacau1-1Gloria Bistrita
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · FC Bacau 1535 · Gloria Bistrita 1500
| FC Bacau | Draw | Gloria Bistrita | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 28% | 30% |
| Market | 42% | 27% | 31% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.64 goals · Bet365 line 2.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 9.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FC Bacau | Gloria Bistrita | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2 / 1.3 | 1.6 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.6 | 0.7 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/30/30% | 20/50/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 4.9 | 1.8 / 5.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5 / 0 | 4.6 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Bacau 0–1–0 Gloria Bistrita
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/02/26 Romania Liga 2 | FC Bacau | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Gloria Bistrita |
Standings · Romania Liga 2
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CSM Slatina | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 8 | 25 |
| 2 | Stiinta Poli Timisoara | 10 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 20 | 8 | 24 |
| 3 | Gloria Popesti Leordeni | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 24 | 14 | 21 |
| 4 | Scolar Resita | 10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 11 | 21 |
| 5 | Chindia Targoviste | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 10 | 18 |
| 6 | CS Concordia Chiajna | 10 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 24 | 16 | 18 |
| 7 | Cetate Suceava | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 20 | 12 | 18 |
| 8 | AFC Metalul Buzau | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 7 | 18 |
| 9 | CS Afumati | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 14 | 17 |
| 10 | FC Bacau | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 19 | 9 | 15 |
| 11 | FC Bihor Oradea | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 10 | 15 |
| 12 | Gloria Bistrita | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 10 | 15 |
| 13 | Metaloglobus Bucuresti | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 15 | 12 |
| 14 | ASA Targu Mures | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 16 | 11 |
| 15 | CSM Ramnicu Valcea | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 11 |
| 16 | FC Unirea 2004 Slobozia | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 12 | 13 | 7 |
| 17 | CSA Steaua Bucuresti | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 18 | 7 |
| 18 | CS Dinamo Bucuresti | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 15 | 30 | 7 |
| 19 | CSM Satu Mare | 10 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 6 |
| 20 | CSC 1599 Selimbar | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 20 | 6 |
| 21 | CS Stefanesti | 10 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 7 | 23 | 6 |
| 22 | CSC Dumbravita | 10 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 21 | 3 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | FC Bacau | Gloria Bistrita |
|---|---|---|
| CSM Ramnicu Valcea | 2-2 D | 1-0 W |
| CSA Steaua Bucuresti | 3-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Gloria Popesti Leordeni | 2-3 L | 2-3 L |
| CS Stefanesti | 3-0 W | 2-1 W |
| CSC 1599 Selimbar | 1-4 L | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 2 L | 3 W 0 D 2 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
FC Bacau
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10 | FC Bihor Oradea Romania Liga 2 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 10 | L |
| 19/09 | Cetate Suceava Romania Liga 2 |
1-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 15/09 | Scolar Resita Romania Liga 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 06/09 | CSC Dumbravita Romania Liga 2 |
1-0 | 6-1 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 31/08 | CSM Slatina Romania Liga 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 22/08 | CSM Ramnicu Valcea Romania Liga 2 |
1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 11 | D |
| 16/08 | CSA Steaua Bucuresti Romania Liga 2 |
2-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 08/08 | Gloria Popesti Leordeni Romania Liga 2 |
1-1 | 2-3 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 01/08 | CS Stefanesti Romania Liga 2 |
1-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 09/05 | CSC 1599 Selimbar Romania Liga 2 |
1-2 | 1-4 | – | – | L |
Gloria Bistrita
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10 | CSM Ramnicu Valcea Romania Liga 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 10 | 4 | W |
| 19/09 | CSA Steaua Bucuresti Romania Liga 2 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 12/09 | Gloria Popesti Leordeni Romania Liga 2 |
2-3 | 2-3 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 05/09 | CS Stefanesti Romania Liga 2 |
2-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 29/08 | CSM Satu Mare Romania Liga 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 13 | 4 | W |
| 22/08 | ASA Targu Mures Romania Liga 2 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 15/08 | CS Concordia Chiajna Romania Liga 2 |
1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 9 | L |
| 07/08 | FC Unirea 2004 Slobozia Romania Liga 2 |
0-0 | 3-0 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 01/08 | CSC 1599 Selimbar Romania Liga 2 |
0-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 09/05 | Muscelul Campulung Romania Liga 2 |
2-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in FC Bacau vs Gloria Bistrita?
According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Bacau win (42%). Probabilities: FC Bacau 42%, draw 28%, Gloria Bistrita 31%.
How many goals are expected in FC Bacau vs Gloria Bistrita?
The model expects 2.64 goals (FC Bacau 1.43 · Gloria Bistrita 1.2), with a 51% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in FC Bacau vs Gloria Bistrita?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.