Football · Uruguay Segunda · 01/08, 15:00

Prediction: Huracan DPA vs Uruguay Montevideo

Team pages: Huracan DPA · Uruguay Montevideo

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.05Total

Huracan DPA1.11

Uruguay Montevideo0.94

1X2

39% 31% 30%

Huracan DPA Draw Uruguay Montevideo

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 66% Not both to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Huracan DPA 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

WLDDWWLLLL

Uruguay Montevideo 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

DLWLLLWLDD

Head-to-head

Huracan DPA 0–1–1 Uruguay Montevideo (2 last)

Uruguay Montevideo1-1Huracan DPA
Huracan DPA0-1Uruguay Montevideo

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Huracan DPA 1468 · Uruguay Montevideo 1462

	Huracan DPA	Draw	Uruguay Montevideo
Our model	38%	33%	29%
Market	40%	29%	31%

Estimated total (ours) 2.05 goals · Bet365 line 2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 66%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 12 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Huracan DPA	Uruguay Montevideo
Goals for / against (FT)	0.6 / 1.1	1 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.1 / 0.7	0.2 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/40/50%	10/40/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.8 / 4.4	3.3 / 5.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.6 / 0.3	6.4 / 0.8

Odds Bet365

12.25

X3.10

22.88

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)2.00

2 (+0.25)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 21.85

Under 21.95

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 2.05

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 22:34

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.25 → 2.25	Bet365 2.25
X	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10
2	2.88 → 2.88	Bet365 2.88

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
22:27 +6’	2.25	3.10	2.88

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Huracan DPA 0–1–1 Uruguay Montevideo

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Date	Home	Score	Away
22/03/26 Uruguay Segunda	Uruguay Montevideo	1-1 HT 0-1	Huracan DPA
02/11/19 Uruguay Segunda B Nacional	Huracan DPA	0-1 HT 0-0	Uruguay Montevideo

Standings · Uruguay Segunda · Segunda Division 2026, Group A

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Atletico Fenix Montevideo	6	3	2	1	13	7	11
2	Huracan DPA	6	2	4	0	9	6	10
3	Uruguay Montevideo	6	2	3	1	7	5	9
4	Cerrito	6	2	3	1	8	8	9
5	La Luz	6	1	4	1	5	6	7
6	CA Atenas	6	1	1	4	5	11	4
7	Tacuarembo	6	0	3	3	5	9	3

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Huracan DPA	Uruguay Montevideo
Club Oriental	0-1 L	1-1 D
Colon FC	0-2 L	0-1 L
Atletico Fenix Montevideo	0-2 L	3-2 W
Rentistas	1-2 L	0-1 L
Miramar Misiones	1-0 W	1-3 L
Tacuarembo	2-1 W	0-1 L
Plaza Colonia	0-0 D	2-0 W
La Luz	1-1 D	0-2 L
Cerrito	0-2 L	2-2 D
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 5 L	2 W 2 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: Uruguay Montevideo (5 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Huracan DPA

WLDDWWLLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/07	Club Oriental Uruguay Segunda	0-0	0-1	5	7	L
11/07	Colon FC Uruguay Segunda	0-2	0-2	7	7	L
05/07	Atletico Fenix Montevideo Uruguay Segunda	0-1	0-2	3	1	L
27/06	Rentistas Uruguay Segunda	0-1	1-2	10	6	L
19/06	Miramar Misiones Uruguay Segunda	1-0	1-0	2	5	W
13/06	Tacuarembo Uruguay Segunda	0-1	2-1	5	6	W
06/06	Plaza Colonia Uruguay Segunda	0-0	0-0	1	7	D
31/05	La Luz Uruguay Segunda	0-0	1-1	6	9	D
24/05	Cerrito Uruguay Segunda	0-2	0-2	2	7	L
17/05	CA Atenas Uruguay Segunda	0-0	1-0	3	4	W

Uruguay Montevideo

DLWLLLWLDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/07	CA River Plate Uruguay Segunda	0-1	1-1	7	6	D
12/07	Club Oriental Uruguay Segunda	1-0	1-1	2	4	D
06/07	Colon FC Uruguay Segunda	0-0	0-1	2	7	L
27/06	Atletico Fenix Montevideo Uruguay Segunda	1-2	3-2	10	11	W
21/06	Rentistas Uruguay Segunda	0-0	0-1	4	10	L
13/06	Miramar Misiones Uruguay Segunda	0-2	1-3	7	8	L
07/06	Tacuarembo Uruguay Segunda	0-0	0-1	5	3	L
30/05	Plaza Colonia Uruguay Segunda	0-0	2-0	6	5	W
24/05	La Luz Uruguay Segunda	0-1	0-2	4	9	L
16/05	Cerrito Uruguay Segunda	0-1	2-2	7	9	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Huracan DPA vs Uruguay Montevideo?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Huracan DPA win (39%). Probabilities: Huracan DPA 39%, draw 31%, Uruguay Montevideo 30%.

How many goals are expected in Huracan DPA vs Uruguay Montevideo?

The model expects 2.05 goals (Huracan DPA 1.11 · Uruguay Montevideo 0.94), with a 51% chance of under 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Huracan DPA vs Uruguay Montevideo?

The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.