Football · Uruguay Segunda · 02/08, 01:30

Prediction: Plaza Colonia vs Miramar Misiones

Team pages: Plaza Colonia · Miramar Misiones

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.38Total

Plaza Colonia1.47

Miramar Misiones0.91

1X2

49% 29% 22%

Plaza Colonia Draw Miramar Misiones

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Plaza Colonia 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

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Miramar Misiones 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Plaza Colonia 3–1–2 Miramar Misiones (6 last)

Miramar Misiones0-2Plaza Colonia
Plaza Colonia1-3Miramar Misiones
Miramar Misiones0-1Plaza Colonia
Miramar Misiones3-1Plaza Colonia
Plaza Colonia2-2Miramar Misiones
Plaza Colonia2-1Miramar Misiones

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Plaza Colonia 1518 · Miramar Misiones 1489

	Plaza Colonia	Draw	Miramar Misiones
Our model	49%	29%	22%
Market	49%	28%	23%

Estimated total (ours) 2.38 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Plaza Colonia: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 13.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Plaza Colonia	Miramar Misiones
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 1	1.3 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.5	0.7 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/80/10%	40/10/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 5.5	1.6 / 4.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	6.6 / 0.4	6.8 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.83

X3.20

24.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.88

2 (+0.75)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 21.80

Under 22.00

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 2.35

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 22:45

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.83 → 1.83	Bet365 1.83
X	3.20 → 3.20	Bet365 3.20
2	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10.8%

Time*	1	X	2
22:41 +4’	1.83	3.20	4.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Plaza Colonia 3–1–2 Miramar Misiones

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Date	Home	Score	Away
22/03/26 Uruguay Segunda	Miramar Misiones	0-2 HT 0-0	Plaza Colonia
03/08/25 Uruguay Clausura	Plaza Colonia	1-3 HT 0-3	Miramar Misiones
02/02/25 Uruguay Apertura	Miramar Misiones	0-1 HT 0-1	Plaza Colonia
01/09/18 Uruguay Segunda	Miramar Misiones	3-1 HT 2-0	Plaza Colonia
07/04/18 Uruguay Segunda	Plaza Colonia	2-2	Miramar Misiones
21/03/15 Uruguay Segunda	Plaza Colonia	2-1	Miramar Misiones

Standings · Uruguay Segunda · Segunda Division 2026, Group B

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Club Oriental	6	4	1	1	8	5	13
2	Plaza Colonia	6	3	3	0	9	2	12
3	Colon FC	6	2	3	1	8	5	9
4	Rentistas	6	2	3	1	6	5	9
5	Miramar Misiones	6	1	2	3	3	7	5
6	Paysandu FC	6	1	1	4	4	7	4
7	CA River Plate	6	1	1	4	6	13	4

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Plaza Colonia	Miramar Misiones
La Luz	1-0 W	0-1 L
Cerrito	0-1 L	0-1 L
CA Atenas	1-2 L	1-1 D
Paysandu FC	2-1 W	3-2 W
Huracan DPA	0-0 D	0-1 L
Uruguay Montevideo	0-2 L	3-1 W
Club Oriental	3-1 W	2-2 D
Colon FC	1-0 W	3-1 W
Record vs common	4 W 1 D 3 L	3 W 2 D 3 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Plaza Colonia

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/07	Tacuarembo Uruguay Segunda	0-0	2-0	3	5	W
11/07	CA River Plate Uruguay Segunda	1-2	2-3	4	5	L
04/07	La Luz Uruguay Segunda	0-0	1-0	2	10	W
28/06	Cerrito Uruguay Segunda	0-0	0-1	8	6	L
21/06	CA Atenas Uruguay Segunda	1-1	1-2	7	6	L
14/06	Paysandu FC Uruguay Segunda	1-1	2-1	4	9	W
06/06	Huracan DPA Uruguay Segunda	0-0	0-0	9	7	D
30/05	Uruguay Montevideo Uruguay Segunda	0-0	0-2	7	5	L
22/05	Club Oriental Uruguay Segunda	1-1	3-1	8	6	W
16/05	Colon FC Uruguay Segunda	1-0	1-0	3	11	W

Miramar Misiones

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/07	La Luz Uruguay Segunda	0-1	0-1	7	9	L
12/07	Cerrito Uruguay Segunda	0-1	0-1	4	7	L
06/07	CA Atenas Uruguay Segunda	1-0	1-1	6	3	D
28/06	Paysandu FC Uruguay Segunda	0-1	3-2	4	8	W
19/06	Huracan DPA Uruguay Segunda	0-1	0-1	6	5	L
13/06	Uruguay Montevideo Uruguay Segunda	2-0	3-1	2	8	W
08/06	Club Oriental Uruguay Segunda	1-1	2-2	7	8	D
31/05	Colon FC Uruguay Segunda	2-0	3-1	3	8	W
25/05	Atletico Fenix Montevideo Uruguay Segunda	1-0	1-1	2	7	D
17/05	Rentistas Uruguay Segunda	0-1	0-1	4	8	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Plaza Colonia vs Miramar Misiones?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Plaza Colonia win (49%). Probabilities: Plaza Colonia 49%, draw 29%, Miramar Misiones 22%.

How many goals are expected in Plaza Colonia vs Miramar Misiones?

The model expects 2.38 goals (Plaza Colonia 1.47 · Miramar Misiones 0.91), with a 55% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Plaza Colonia vs Miramar Misiones?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.