Football · Uruguay Segunda · 04/08, 00:00

Prediction: Paysandu FC vs Club Oriental

Team pages: Paysandu FC · Club Oriental

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.38Total
Paysandu FC1.11
Club Oriental1.27
1X2
31% 29% 39%
Paysandu FC Draw Club Oriental
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Paysandu FC 4-0-6 (W-D-L)
LLLWLLLWWW
Club Oriental 3-5-2 (W-D-L)
DLWDWDDLDW
Head-to-head
Paysandu FC 0–1 Club Oriental (1 last)
  • Club Oriental1-0Paysandu FC
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Paysandu FC 1486 · Club Oriental 1517
Paysandu FCDrawClub Oriental
Our model31%30%39%
Market32%29%40%
Estimated total (ours) 2.38 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 11.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Paysandu FCClub Oriental
Goals for / against (FT)1.3 / 1.51.4 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)0.6 / 0.50.5 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/70/10%30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)2.4 / 4.32.5 / 4.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)6.6 / 0.44.9 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · Paysandu FC 001 Club Oriental

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DateHomeScoreAway
05/04/26
Uruguay Segunda
Club Oriental1-0
HT 1-0
Paysandu FC

Standings · Uruguay Segunda · Segunda Division 2026, Group B

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Club Oriental 6411 8513
2 Plaza Colonia 6330 9212
3 Colon FC 6231 859
4 Rentistas 6231 659
5 Miramar Misiones 6123 375
6 Paysandu FC 6114 474
7 CA River Plate 6114 6134

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentPaysandu FCClub Oriental
Colon FC 3-2 W 1-1 D
Atletico Fenix Montevideo 1-0 W 2-2 D
Rentistas 2-1 W 3-0 W
Miramar Misiones 2-3 L 2-2 D
Tacuarembo 0-1 L 2-0 W
Plaza Colonia 1-2 L 1-3 L
La Luz 2-1 W 0-0 D
CA River Plate 0-1 L 1-2 L
Record vs common 4 W 0 D 4 L 2 W 4 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Paysandu FC (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Paysandu FC

LLLWLLLWWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
25/07 Colon FC
Uruguay Segunda
1-1 3-2 53 W
14/07 Atletico Fenix Montevideo
Uruguay Segunda
0-0 1-0 58 W
04/07 Rentistas
Uruguay Segunda
1-1 2-1 45 W
28/06 Miramar Misiones
Uruguay Segunda
1-0 2-3 18 L
20/06 Tacuarembo
Uruguay Segunda
0-1 0-1 614 L
14/06 Plaza Colonia
Uruguay Segunda
1-1 1-2 59 L
06/06 La Luz
Uruguay Segunda
1-0 2-1 55 W
30/05 Cerrito
Uruguay Segunda
0-0 0-1 87 L
23/05 CA Atenas
Uruguay Segunda
1-1 2-3 36 L
16/05 CA River Plate
Uruguay Segunda
0-0 0-1 15 L

Club Oriental

DLWDWDDLDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
19/07 Huracan DPA
Uruguay Segunda
0-0 1-0 67 W
12/07 Uruguay Montevideo
Uruguay Segunda
0-1 1-1 14 D
05/07 CA River Plate
Uruguay Segunda
0-1 1-2 75 L
28/06 Colon FC
Uruguay Segunda
1-0 1-1 54 D
20/06 Atletico Fenix Montevideo
Uruguay Segunda
1-0 2-2 53 D
14/06 Rentistas
Uruguay Segunda
0-0 3-0 44 W
08/06 Miramar Misiones
Uruguay Segunda
1-1 2-2 28 D
01/06 Tacuarembo
Uruguay Segunda
1-0 2-0 45 W
22/05 Plaza Colonia
Uruguay Segunda
1-1 1-3 16 L
18/05 La Luz
Uruguay Segunda
0-0 0-0 74 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Paysandu FC vs Club Oriental?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Club Oriental win (39%). Probabilities: Paysandu FC 31%, draw 29%, Club Oriental 39%.

How many goals are expected in Paysandu FC vs Club Oriental?

The model expects 2.38 goals (Paysandu FC 1.11 · Club Oriental 1.27), with a 51% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Paysandu FC vs Club Oriental?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.