Football · Uruguay Segunda · 01/08, 18:00

Prediction: La Luz vs Rentistas

Team pages: La Luz · Rentistas

Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.95Total
La Luz1.03
Rentistas0.93
1X2
37% 32% 31%
La Luz Draw Rentistas
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 59% Not both to score 52%
Most likely score
0-0
Recent form · 10 last
La Luz 4-3-3 (W-D-L)
DWDLLWDLWW
Rentistas 4-2-4 (W-D-L)
WLDLLWWLWD
Head-to-head
La Luz 1–2–1 Rentistas (4 last)
  • La Luz2-0Rentistas
  • Rentistas3-2La Luz
  • La Luz0-0Rentistas
  • Rentistas1-1La Luz
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · La Luz 1525 · Rentistas 1489
La LuzDrawRentistas
Our model36%34%30%
Market37%31%32%
Estimated total (ours) 1.95 goals · Bet365 line 2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 12.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

La LuzRentistas
Goals for / against (FT)0.9 / 0.81 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)0.5 / 0.30.6 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)40/40/20%30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)1.7 / 3.72.4 / 5.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)6.1 / 0.76.5 / 0.5

Head-to-head (H2H) · La Luz 121 Rentistas

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DateHomeScoreAway
26/08/25
Uruguay Segunda
La Luz2-0
HT 1-0
Rentistas
05/06/25
Uruguay Segunda
Rentistas3-2
HT 1-1
La Luz
11/10/24
Uruguay Segunda
La Luz0-0
HT 0-0
Rentistas
05/07/24
Uruguay Segunda
Rentistas1-1
HT 0-0
La Luz

Standings · Uruguay Segunda · Segunda Division 2026, Group B

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Club Oriental 6411 8513
2 Plaza Colonia 6330 9212
3 Colon FC 6231 859
4 Rentistas 6231 659
5 Miramar Misiones 6123 375
6 Paysandu FC 6114 474
7 CA River Plate 6114 6134

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentLa LuzRentistas
Miramar Misiones 1-0 W 1-0 W
CA River Plate 0-0 D 1-2 L
Cerrito 2-0 W 0-0 D
CA Atenas 0-4 L 3-1 W
Paysandu FC 1-2 L 1-2 L
Huracan DPA 1-1 D 2-1 W
Uruguay Montevideo 2-0 W 1-0 W
Club Oriental 0-0 D 0-3 L
Record vs common 3 W 3 D 2 L 4 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: La Luz (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

La Luz

DWDLLWDLWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
27/07 Miramar Misiones
Uruguay Segunda
1-0 1-0 59 W
13/07 Tacuarembo
Uruguay Segunda
2-0 2-0 36 W
04/07 Plaza Colonia
Uruguay Segunda
0-0 0-1 910 L
28/06 CA River Plate
Uruguay Segunda
0-0 0-0 23 D
21/06 Cerrito
Uruguay Segunda
1-0 2-0 111 W
14/06 CA Atenas
Uruguay Segunda
0-2 0-4 72 L
06/06 Paysandu FC
Uruguay Segunda
0-1 1-2 35 L
31/05 Huracan DPA
Uruguay Segunda
0-0 1-1 39 D
24/05 Uruguay Montevideo
Uruguay Segunda
1-0 2-0 29 W
18/05 Club Oriental
Uruguay Segunda
0-0 0-0 24 D

Rentistas

WLDLLWWLWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
18/07 Cerrito
Uruguay Segunda
0-0 0-0 48 D
12/07 CA Atenas
Uruguay Segunda
2-1 3-1 411 W
04/07 Paysandu FC
Uruguay Segunda
1-1 1-2 105 L
27/06 Huracan DPA
Uruguay Segunda
1-0 2-1 46 W
21/06 Uruguay Montevideo
Uruguay Segunda
0-0 1-0 610 W
14/06 Club Oriental
Uruguay Segunda
0-0 0-3 34 L
07/06 Colon FC
Uruguay Segunda
0-1 0-2 1110 L
31/05 Atletico Fenix Montevideo
Uruguay Segunda
0-0 1-1 64 D
23/05 CA River Plate
Uruguay Segunda
1-2 1-2 54 L
17/05 Miramar Misiones
Uruguay Segunda
1-0 1-0 58 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in La Luz vs Rentistas?

According to our model, the most likely result is a La Luz win (37%). Probabilities: La Luz 37%, draw 32%, Rentistas 31%.

How many goals are expected in La Luz vs Rentistas?

The model expects 1.95 goals (La Luz 1.03 · Rentistas 0.93), with a 55% chance of under 2 goals.

Will both teams score in La Luz vs Rentistas?

The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.