Football · Argentina Primera C Metropolitana · 04/08, 20:00

Prediction: Centro Espanol vs Leones de Rosario

Team pages: Centro Espanol · Leones de Rosario

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.06Total

Centro Espanol1.19

Leones de Rosario0.87

1X2

42% 32% 26%

Centro Espanol Draw Leones de Rosario

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 66% Not both to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Centro Espanol 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

WLDWWWLDLL

Leones de Rosario 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

LWWWDLDLDD

Head-to-head

Centro Espanol 1–0 Leones de Rosario (1 last)

Leones de Rosario1-4Centro Espanol

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Centro Espanol 1508 · Leones de Rosario 1475

	Centro Espanol	Draw	Leones de Rosario
Our model	42%	32%	26%
Market	42%	32%	26%

Estimated total (ours) 2.06 goals · Bet365 line 1.75 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 10.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Centro Espanol	Leones de Rosario
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 0.9	0.6 / 0.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.2	0.4 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/60/10%	30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 4.4	1 / 3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	6.1 / 0.3	4.4 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.15

X2.80

23.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.88

2 (+0.25)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 1.751.82

Under 1.751.98

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 1.65

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 20:15

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.25 → 2.15▼	Bet365 2.15
X	2.75 → 2.80▲	Bet365 2.80
2	3.25 → 3.50▲	Bet365 3.50

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 10.8%

Time*	1	X	2
18:02 +7’	2.25	2.75	3.25
20:13 +2’	2.15▼	2.80▲	3.50▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Centro Espanol 1–0–0 Leones de Rosario

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Date	Home	Score	Away
23/03/26 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	Leones de Rosario	1-4 HT 1-1	Centro Espanol

Standings · Argentina Primera C Metropolitana · Primera C 2026, Group B

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Lujan	21	11	6	4	28	16	39
2	Canuelas FC	21	9	9	3	23	13	36
3	Deportivo Espanol	22	7	11	4	18	14	32
4	Leones de Rosario	21	7	9	5	19	19	30
5	Yupanqui	21	7	8	6	25	22	29
6	General Lamadrid	22	7	8	7	19	23	29
7	Sportivo Barracas	21	8	4	9	25	23	28
8	Central Cordoba de Rosario	21	6	8	7	17	16	26
9	CA Atlas	21	6	8	7	17	19	26
10	El Porvenir	21	4	13	4	17	18	25
11	Central Ballester	20	6	4	10	19	24	22
12	Deportivo Muniz	22	4	10	8	16	21	22
13	CA Claypole	21	5	7	9	16	26	22
14	Fenix	21	5	6	10	14	22	21

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Centro Espanol

WLDWWWLDLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/07	Victoriano Arenas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-1	3	9	L
25/07	CA Lugano Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-1	9	6	L
12/07	JJ Urquiza Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	5	8	D
06/07	Club Mercedes Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-1	0-3	8	9	L
27/06	Deportivo Paraguayo Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-0	2-0	2	5	W
14/06	Puerto Nuevo Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	2-0	2	6	W
06/06	Club Leandro N. Alem Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	2-0	3-0	–	–	W
31/05	Defensores de Cambaceres Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	1-1	2	4	D
23/05	Juventud Unida San Miguel Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-1	2-3	6	6	L
16/05	Fenix Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-0	1-0	3	5	W

Leones de Rosario

LWWWDLDLDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/07	Deportivo Espanol Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	3	6	D
30/07	Newell's Argentina Copa Santa Fe	1-0	1-1	4	12	D
25/07	Central Cordoba de Rosario Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-1	0-2	1	5	L
13/07	CA Claypole Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-1	1-1	2	2	D
04/07	Central Ballester Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-1	0-1	4	6	L
27/06	El Porvenir Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	3	3	D
25/06	Atletico San Jorge Argentina Copa Santa Fe	1-0	1-0	1	1	W
15/06	Fenix Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-0	1-0	4	4	W
06/06	Sportivo Barracas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	2-0	7	3	W
30/05	Lujan Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-1	0-2	1	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Centro Espanol vs Leones de Rosario?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Centro Espanol win (42%). Probabilities: Centro Espanol 42%, draw 32%, Leones de Rosario 26%.

How many goals are expected in Centro Espanol vs Leones de Rosario?

The model expects 2.06 goals (Centro Espanol 1.19 · Leones de Rosario 0.87), with a 53% chance of over 1.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Centro Espanol vs Leones de Rosario?

The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.