Football · Argentina Primera C Metropolitana · 04/08, 20:00

Prediction: CA Atlas vs Sacachispas

Team pages: CA Atlas · Sacachispas

Prediction summary

Expected goals

1.62Total

CA Atlas0.55

Sacachispas1.07

1X2

19% 33% 48%

CA Atlas Draw Sacachispas

Markets

Under 1.5 goals 51% Not both to score 57%

Most likely score

0-0

Recent form · 10 last

CA Atlas 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

DLLDWWWWLD

Sacachispas 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

WLWDWLWWDL

Head-to-head

CA Atlas 0–1 Sacachispas (1 last)

Sacachispas2-0CA Atlas

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · CA Atlas 1505 · Sacachispas 1529

	CA Atlas	Draw	Sacachispas
Our model	18%	36%	47%
Market	20%	31%	49%

Estimated total (ours) 1.62 goals · Bet365 line 1.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 73%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 12.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	CA Atlas	Sacachispas
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 0.8	0.9 / 0.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.4	0.4 / 0.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/80/0%	30/70/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.5 / 4.4	2.9 / 4.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.6 / 0.6	7.1 / 0.5

Odds Bet365

14.50

X2.88

21.83

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.90

2 (-0.5)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 1.751.98

Under 1.751.82

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 1.55

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 19:12

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.25 → 4.50▲	Bet365 4.50
X	2.75 → 2.88▲	Bet365 2.88
2	2.25 → 1.83▼	Bet365 1.83

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.6%

Time*	1	X	2
18:02 +7’	3.25	2.75	2.25
19:09 +4’	4.50▲	2.88▲	1.83▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · CA Atlas 0–0–1 Sacachispas

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
20/03/26 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	Sacachispas	2-0 HT 0-0	CA Atlas

Standings · Argentina Primera C Metropolitana · Primera C 2026, Group B

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Lujan	21	11	6	4	28	16	39
2	Canuelas FC	21	9	9	3	23	13	36
3	Deportivo Espanol	22	7	11	4	18	14	32
4	Leones de Rosario	21	7	9	5	19	19	30
5	Yupanqui	21	7	8	6	25	22	29
6	General Lamadrid	22	7	8	7	19	23	29
7	Sportivo Barracas	21	8	4	9	25	23	28
8	Central Cordoba de Rosario	21	6	8	7	17	16	26
9	CA Atlas	21	6	8	7	17	19	26
10	El Porvenir	21	4	13	4	17	18	25
11	Central Ballester	20	6	4	10	19	24	22
12	Deportivo Muniz	22	4	10	8	16	21	22
13	CA Claypole	21	5	7	9	16	26	22
14	Fenix	21	5	6	10	14	22	21

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	CA Atlas	Sacachispas
CA Claypole	2-1 W	3-0 W
Berazategui	0-0 D	1-0 W
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 0 L	2 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Sacachispas (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

CA Atlas

DLLDWWWWLD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/07	Deportivo Muniz Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-1	1-1	7	6	D
25/07	Deportivo Espanol Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-1	3	2	L
11/07	Central Cordoba de Rosario Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	1-0	2	7	W
05/07	CA Claypole Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	2-0	2-1	2	6	W
30/06	Central Ballester Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-0	2-0	6	2	W
13/06	El Porvenir Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	1-0	3	10	W
06/06	Fenix Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-1	1-1	7	6	D
01/06	Sportivo Barracas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-1	4	8	L
24/05	Lujan Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	2-2	2-3	3	9	L
16/05	Berazategui Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	7	6	D

Sacachispas

WLWDWLWWDL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/07	Puerto Nuevo Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-1	5	10	L
27/07	Club Leandro N. Alem Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-1	1-1	8	8	D
11/07	Defensores de Cambaceres Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	2-0	6	8	W
05/07	Juventud Unida San Miguel Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-0	1-0	12	7	W
27/06	CA Lugano Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-1	1	8	L
15/06	Argentino de Rosario Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	1-0	6	5	W
06/06	Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	4	13	D
03/06	Berazategui Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-0	1-0	4	5	W
25/05	Victoriano Arenas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-1	0	4	L
17/05	CA Claypole Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-0	3-0	2	8	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CA Atlas vs Sacachispas?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Sacachispas win (48%). Probabilities: CA Atlas 19%, draw 33%, Sacachispas 48%.

How many goals are expected in CA Atlas vs Sacachispas?

The model expects 1.62 goals (CA Atlas 0.55 · Sacachispas 1.07), with a 56% chance of under 1.75 goals.

Will both teams score in CA Atlas vs Sacachispas?

The model gives a 57% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.