Football · Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women · 25/07, 13:00
Prediction: PK-35 (W) vs HJK (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.1Total
PK-35 (W)0.55
HJK (W)2.55
1X2
PK-35 (W)
Draw
HJK (W)
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 63%
Not both to score 52%
Most likely score
0-2
Recent form · 10 last
PK-35 (W)
7-2-1 (W-D-L)
HJK (W)
10-0-0 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
PK-35 (W)
0–6
HJK (W)
(6 last)
- HJK (W)2-0PK-35 (W)
- PK-35 (W)0-4HJK (W)
- PK-35 (W)1-4HJK (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · PK-35 (W) 1559 · HJK (W) 1642
| PK-35 (W) | Draw | HJK (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 5% | 15% | 80% |
| Market | 5% | 9% | 86% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.1 goals · Bet365 line 3.75 · -0.6
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours HJK (W) (rating 1559 vs 1642).
- H2H favours HJK (W): 6-0-0.
- High corners: 11.4 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| PK-35 (W) | HJK (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.9 / 0.9 | 3.3 / 0.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.4 | 2 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/60/10% | 80/20/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 4.5 | 3 / 6.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 0.8 / 0 | 1 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · PK-35 (W) 0–0–6 HJK (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08/25 Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women | HJK (W) | 2-0 HT 1-0 | PK-35 (W) |
| 14/06/25 Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women | PK-35 (W) | 0-4 HT 0-1 | HJK (W) |
| 29/06/24 Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women | PK-35 (W) | 1-4 HT 1-2 | HJK (W) |
| 13/04/24 Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women | HJK (W) | 4-2 HT 2-1 | PK-35 (W) |
| 05/08/23 Finland Cup Women | HJK (W) | 3-2 HT 1-1 | PK-35 (W) |
| 23/07/23 Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women | HJK (W) | 3-0 HT 1-0 | PK-35 (W) |
Standings · Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | HJK (W) | 13 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 36 | 9 | 36 |
| 2 | Aland United (W) | 13 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 35 | 18 | 25 |
| 3 | KuPS (W) | 13 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 30 | 21 | 25 |
| 4 | HPS (W) | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 13 | 24 |
| 5 | Ilves (W) | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 25 | 25 | 19 |
| 6 | IF Gnistan (W) | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 21 | 31 | 13 |
| 7 | PK-35 Vantaa (W) | 13 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 13 | 34 | 7 |
| 8 | VIFK (W) | 13 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 7 | 34 | 2 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
PK-35 (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | Ilves (W) Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women Play-Offs |
0-0 | 1-3 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 11/10 | JyPK (W) Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women Play-Offs |
0-2 | 4-2 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 04/10 | HJK II (W) Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 28/09 | EBK (W) Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women |
2-1 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 24/09 | KTP (W) Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women |
1-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 19/09 | Ilves (W) Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women Play-Offs |
0-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 13/09 | JyPK (W) Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women |
0-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 06/09 | HJK II (W) Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women |
2-0 | 3-1 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 30/08 | EBK (W) Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women |
1-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 23/08 | KTP (W) Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | D |
HJK (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/07 | HPS (W) Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women |
1-0 | 4-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 12/07 | IF Gnistan (W) Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 13 | 3 | W |
| 08/07 | KuPS (W) Finland Cup Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 04/07 | KuPS (W) Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women |
2-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 30/06 | PK-35 Vantaa (W) Finland Cup Women |
3-0 | 4-1 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 27/06 | Ilves (W) Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women |
3-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 15/06 | HJK U18 (W) Finland Cup Women |
5-1 | 6-1 | 13 | 0 | W |
| 12/06 | Aland United (W) Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women |
2-1 | 3-2 | – | – | W |
| 29/05 | VIFK (W) Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women |
1-0 | 4-0 | 8 | 1 | W |
| 23/05 | PK-35 Vantaa (W) Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women |
3-0 | 5-0 | 7 | 0 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in PK-35 (W) vs HJK (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is an HJK (W) win (83%). Probabilities: PK-35 (W) 5%, draw 12%, HJK (W) 83%.
How many goals are expected in PK-35 (W) vs HJK (W)?
The model expects 3.1 goals (PK-35 (W) 0.55 · HJK (W) 2.55), with a 58% chance of under 3.75 goals.
Will both teams score in PK-35 (W) vs HJK (W)?
The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.