Football · El Salvador Apertura · 29/09, 23:00

Prediction: Atlético Balboa vs CD Cacahuatique

Team pages: Atlético Balboa · CD Cacahuatique

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.46Total

Atlético Balboa1.36

CD Cacahuatique1.09

1X2

42% 29% 29%

Atlético Balboa Draw CD Cacahuatique

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Atlético Balboa 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

DDWWLLLWLD

CD Cacahuatique 0-5-5 (W-D-L)

DDDLDLLLDL

Head-to-head

Atlético Balboa 1–1–4 CD Cacahuatique (6 last)

CD Cacahuatique4-2Atlético Balboa
Atlético Balboa0-1CD Cacahuatique
CD Cacahuatique1-0Atlético Balboa
CD Cacahuatique2-2Atlético Balboa
Atlético Balboa1-0CD Cacahuatique
CD Cacahuatique2-1Atlético Balboa

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Atlético Balboa 1482 · CD Cacahuatique 1439

	Atlético Balboa	Draw	CD Cacahuatique
Our model	42%	30%	29%
Market	42%	29%	29%

Estimated total (ours) 2.46 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Atlético Balboa (rating 1482 vs 1439).
H2H favours CD Cacahuatique: 4-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 9.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Atlético Balboa	CD Cacahuatique
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 1.3	0.5 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.6	0.1 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/70/30%	0/50/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.1 / 2.9	2.8 / 4.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5 / 0.3	4.7 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.15

X3.10

23.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.95

2 (+0.25)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.95

Under 2.251.85

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 2.15

Market movement

Match winner · 3 moves · last 21:11

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.85 → 2.15▲	Pinn 2.23 ★
X	3.30 → 3.10▼	Bet365 3.10
2	3.70 → 3.10▼	Pinn 3.20

See the full journey (3)

Bet365 margin 11% Pinnacle margin 9.3%

Time*	1	X	2
17:47 +20’	1.85	3.30	3.70
19:02 +7’	1.95▲	3.25▼	3.40▼
21:08 +3’	2.15▲	3.10▼	3.10▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
18:56 +13’	2.30	2.96	3.13
21:03 +9’	2.23▼	3.01▲	3.20▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Over/Under 2.25

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Atlético Balboa 1–1–4 CD Cacahuatique

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Date	Home	Score	Away
28/07/26 El Salvador Apertura	CD Cacahuatique	4-2 HT 2-2	Atlético Balboa
06/04/24 El Salvador Segunda Division	Atlético Balboa	0-1	CD Cacahuatique
11/02/24 El Salvador Segunda Division	CD Cacahuatique	1-0	Atlético Balboa
05/11/23 El Salvador Segunda Division	CD Cacahuatique	2-2	Atlético Balboa
24/09/23 El Salvador Segunda Division	Atlético Balboa	1-0	CD Cacahuatique
23/04/23 El Salvador Segunda Division	CD Cacahuatique	2-1	Atlético Balboa

Standings · El Salvador Apertura

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	CD FAS	11	7	2	2	21	10	23
2	AD Isidro Metapan	12	7	2	3	17	10	23
3	CD Luis Angel Firpo	11	6	3	2	18	7	21
4	Internacional Santa Tecla	12	5	6	1	17	9	21
5	Municipal Limeno	12	5	2	5	17	15	17
6	Alianza FC	10	3	5	2	15	14	14
7	CD Aguila	12	3	5	4	16	16	14
8	Atlético Balboa	12	3	4	5	13	17	13
9	CD Platense Zacatecoluca	12	3	4	5	12	16	13
10	CD INCA Aruba	12	3	3	6	9	21	12
11	CD Cacahuatique	12	1	5	6	11	20	8
12	Fuerte San Francisco	12	1	5	6	8	19	8

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Atlético Balboa	CD Cacahuatique
Internacional Santa Tecla	1-1 D	0-2 L
CD Luis Angel Firpo	1-3 L	0-0 D
CD Platense Zacatecoluca	3-1 W	1-2 L
CD INCA Aruba	0-1 L	1-1 D
Municipal Limeno	0-2 L	1-3 L
Alianza FC	0-2 L	0-0 D
Fuerte San Francisco	1-0 W	0-0 D
CD Aguila	4-2 W	2-2 D
CD FAS	1-1 D	0-2 L
AD Isidro Metapan	0-0 D	0-2 L
Record vs common	3 W 3 D 4 L	0 W 5 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: Atlético Balboa (6 of 10 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Atlético Balboa

DDWWLLLWLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/09	Internacional Santa Tecla El Salvador Apertura	0-1	1-1	4	3	D
21/09	CD Luis Angel Firpo El Salvador Apertura	1-1	1-3	1	5	L
12/09	CD Platense Zacatecoluca El Salvador Apertura	0-1	3-1	4	5	W
09/09	CD INCA Aruba El Salvador Apertura	0-0	0-1	5	2	L
06/09	Municipal Limeno El Salvador Apertura	0-0	0-2	2	8	L
30/08	Alianza FC El Salvador Apertura	0-0	0-2	1	4	L
23/08	Fuerte San Francisco El Salvador Apertura	0-0	1-0	2	7	W
15/08	CD Aguila El Salvador Apertura	1-2	4-2	1	8	W
10/08	CD FAS El Salvador Apertura	1-1	1-1	0	3	D
02/08	AD Isidro Metapan El Salvador Apertura	0-0	0-0	9	8	D

CD Cacahuatique

DDDLDLLLDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/09	AD Isidro Metapan El Salvador Apertura	0-1	0-2	8	3	L
24/09	CD Luis Angel Firpo El Salvador Apertura	0-0	0-0	2	6	D
19/09	CD FAS El Salvador Apertura	0-1	0-2	5	5	L
13/09	Internacional Santa Tecla El Salvador Apertura	0-1	0-2	4	2	L
05/09	CD Platense Zacatecoluca El Salvador Apertura	0-2	1-2	6	10	L
29/08	CD INCA Aruba El Salvador Apertura	0-0	1-1	4	4	D
22/08	Municipal Limeno El Salvador Apertura	1-2	1-3	3	3	L
16/08	Alianza FC El Salvador Apertura	0-0	0-0	5	4	D
09/08	Fuerte San Francisco El Salvador Apertura	0-0	0-0	3	7	D
02/08	CD Aguila El Salvador Apertura	0-0	2-2	7	6	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Atlético Balboa vs CD Cacahuatique?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Atlético Balboa win (42%). Probabilities: Atlético Balboa 42%, draw 29%, CD Cacahuatique 29%.

How many goals are expected in Atlético Balboa vs CD Cacahuatique?

The model expects 2.46 goals (Atlético Balboa 1.36 · CD Cacahuatique 1.09), with a 51% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Atlético Balboa vs CD Cacahuatique?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.