Football · El Salvador Apertura · 07/09, 01:30

Prediction: CD Luis Angel Firpo vs Internacional Santa Tecla

Team pages: CD Luis Angel Firpo · Internacional Santa Tecla

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.4Total

CD Luis Angel Firpo1.37

Internacional Santa Tecla1.02

1X2

44% 28% 27%

CD Luis Angel Firpo Draw Internacional Santa Tecla

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

CD Luis Angel Firpo 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

WWLDDWWDWL

Internacional Santa Tecla 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

LDLDDDWWWW

Head-to-head

CD Luis Angel Firpo 2–2–0 Internacional Santa Tecla (4 last)

Internacional Santa Tecla0-3CD Luis Angel Firpo
CD Luis Angel Firpo0-0Internacional Santa Tecla
Internacional Santa Tecla1-1CD Luis Angel Firpo
CD Luis Angel Firpo2-0Internacional Santa Tecla

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · CD Luis Angel Firpo 1579 · Internacional Santa Tecla 1522

	CD Luis Angel Firpo	Draw	Internacional Santa Tecla
Our model	44%	30%	27%
Market	45%	27%	28%

Estimated total (ours) 2.4 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours CD Luis Angel Firpo (rating 1579 vs 1522).
H2H favours CD Luis Angel Firpo: 2-2-0.
High corners: 11.4 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 9.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	CD Luis Angel Firpo	Internacional Santa Tecla
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 0.8	1.5 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.5	0.5 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/50/10%	30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.7 / 5.4	3.2 / 6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.8 / 0.4	5 / 0.9

Odds Bet365

12.00

X3.30

23.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.98

2 (+0.5)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.77

Under 2.252.02

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 2.55

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 07:06

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.00 → 2.00	Bet365 2.00
X	3.30 → 3.30	Bet365 3.30
2	3.20 → 3.20	Bet365 3.20

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.6%

Time*	1	X	2
07:00 +6’	2.00	3.30	3.20

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · CD Luis Angel Firpo 2–2–0 Internacional Santa Tecla

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Date	Home	Score	Away
29/03/26 El Salvador Clausura	Internacional Santa Tecla	0-3 HT 0-0	CD Luis Angel Firpo
01/02/26 El Salvador Clausura	CD Luis Angel Firpo	0-0 HT 0-0	Internacional Santa Tecla
05/10/25 El Salvador Clausura	Internacional Santa Tecla	1-1 HT 1-0	CD Luis Angel Firpo
03/08/25 El Salvador Clausura	CD Luis Angel Firpo	2-0 HT 0-0	Internacional Santa Tecla

Standings · El Salvador Apertura

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Internacional Santa Tecla	7	4	3	0	12	3	15
2	CD FAS	7	4	1	2	13	7	13
3	AD Isidro Metapan	7	4	1	2	11	7	13
4	CD Luis Angel Firpo	6	3	2	1	9	4	11
5	Municipal Limeno	7	3	1	3	10	9	10
6	Atlético Balboa	7	2	3	2	8	9	9
6	CD Platense Zacatecoluca	7	2	3	2	8	9	9
8	Alianza FC	6	2	2	2	7	7	8
9	CD Cacahuatique	7	1	4	2	10	12	7
10	CD Aguila	7	1	3	3	10	11	6
11	Fuerte San Francisco	7	1	3	3	5	12	6
12	CD INCA Aruba	7	0	2	5	3	16	2

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	CD Luis Angel Firpo	Internacional Santa Tecla
CD Platense Zacatecoluca	1-0 W	3-0 W
CD INCA Aruba	0-0 D	4-1 W
Municipal Limeno	2-0 W	1-0 W
Fuerte San Francisco	4-0 W	2-2 D
CD Aguila	1-1 D	0-0 D
Alianza FC	0-0 D	2-0 W
Record vs common	3 W 3 D 0 L	4 W 2 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Internacional Santa Tecla (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

CD Luis Angel Firpo

WWLDDWWDWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/08	CD FAS El Salvador Apertura	0-3	1-3	12	5	L
24/08	CD Platense Zacatecoluca El Salvador Apertura	1-0	1-0	0	1	W
17/08	CD INCA Aruba El Salvador Apertura	0-0	0-0	8	7	D
09/08	Municipal Limeno El Salvador Apertura	1-0	2-0	4	5	W
30/07	Fuerte San Francisco El Salvador Apertura	2-0	4-0	6	2	W
26/07	CD Aguila El Salvador Apertura	0-0	1-1	4	3	D
21/12	Alianza FC El Salvador Apertura	0-0	0-0	8	5	D
14/12	CD Aguila El Salvador Apertura	0-0	0-1	3	8	L
07/12	CD Aguila El Salvador Apertura	1-0	3-1	3	12	W
30/11	CD Platense Zacatecoluca El Salvador Apertura	2-2	6-2	6	4	W

Internacional Santa Tecla

LDLDDDWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/08	CD Platense Zacatecoluca El Salvador Apertura	0-0	3-0	5	8	W
22/08	CD INCA Aruba El Salvador Apertura	0-0	4-1	4	1	W
15/08	Municipal Limeno El Salvador Apertura	1-0	1-0	6	7	W
09/08	Alianza FC El Salvador Apertura	1-0	2-0	7	0	W
01/08	Fuerte San Francisco El Salvador Apertura	1-2	2-2	10	10	D
31/07	CD Aguila El Salvador Apertura	0-0	0-0	3	7	D
25/07	Atlético Balboa El Salvador Apertura	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
16/11	Zacatecoluca FC El Salvador Apertura	2-1	2-3	7	4	L
09/11	Municipal Limeno El Salvador Apertura	0-1	1-1	4	9	D
05/11	CD Aguila El Salvador Apertura	0-3	0-3	8	7	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CD Luis Angel Firpo vs Internacional Santa Tecla?

According to our model, the most likely result is a CD Luis Angel Firpo win (44%). Probabilities: CD Luis Angel Firpo 44%, draw 28%, Internacional Santa Tecla 27%.

How many goals are expected in CD Luis Angel Firpo vs Internacional Santa Tecla?

The model expects 2.4 goals (CD Luis Angel Firpo 1.37 · Internacional Santa Tecla 1.02), with a 52% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in CD Luis Angel Firpo vs Internacional Santa Tecla?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.