Football · El Salvador Apertura · 14/09, 01:30

Prediction: CD Luis Angel Firpo vs AD Isidro Metapan

Team pages: CD Luis Angel Firpo · AD Isidro Metapan

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.31Total

CD Luis Angel Firpo1.3

AD Isidro Metapan1.02

1X2

42% 29% 28%

CD Luis Angel Firpo Draw AD Isidro Metapan

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 59% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

CD Luis Angel Firpo 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

WLDDWWDWLW

AD Isidro Metapan 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

LWWDWLWLLW

Head-to-head

CD Luis Angel Firpo 2–1–3 AD Isidro Metapan (6 last)

CD Luis Angel Firpo1-1AD Isidro Metapan
AD Isidro Metapan1-2CD Luis Angel Firpo
CD Luis Angel Firpo0-2AD Isidro Metapan
AD Isidro Metapan1-0CD Luis Angel Firpo
CD Luis Angel Firpo2-1AD Isidro Metapan
AD Isidro Metapan2-1CD Luis Angel Firpo

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · CD Luis Angel Firpo 1530 · AD Isidro Metapan 1495

	CD Luis Angel Firpo	Draw	AD Isidro Metapan
Our model	42%	31%	28%
Market	43%	28%	29%

Estimated total (ours) 2.31 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours AD Isidro Metapan: 3-1-2.
High corners: 11.3 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 9.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	CD Luis Angel Firpo	AD Isidro Metapan
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 0.6	1.3 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.3	0.4 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/40/10%	20/30/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 5.4	2.5 / 5.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.7 / 0.6	5.1 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

12.10

X3.20

23.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.88

2 (+0.25)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.82

Under 2.251.98

Diff.: 0 · xG: 2.25

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 22:57

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.35 → 2.10▼	Bet365 2.10
X	3.10 → 3.20▲	Pinn 3.64 ★
2	2.70 → 3.10▲	Pinn 3.52

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.1% Pinnacle margin 9.2%

Time*	1	X	2
19:57 +25’	2.35	3.10	2.70
22:52 +5’	2.10▼	3.20▲	3.10▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
20:07 +16’	2.08	3.22	3.33
06:34 +61’	2.01▼	3.44▲	3.28▼
12:25 +14’	1.81▼	3.70▲	3.69▲
14:08 +94’	1.88▲	3.64▼	3.52▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · CD Luis Angel Firpo 2–1–3 AD Isidro Metapan

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Date	Home	Score	Away
10/05/26 El Salvador Clausura	CD Luis Angel Firpo	1-1 HT 0-0	AD Isidro Metapan
07/05/26 El Salvador Clausura	AD Isidro Metapan	1-2 HT 0-1	CD Luis Angel Firpo
16/04/26 El Salvador Clausura	CD Luis Angel Firpo	0-2 HT 0-1	AD Isidro Metapan
19/02/26 El Salvador Clausura	AD Isidro Metapan	1-0 HT 0-0	CD Luis Angel Firpo
02/11/25 El Salvador Apertura	CD Luis Angel Firpo	2-1 HT 0-0	AD Isidro Metapan
01/09/25 El Salvador Clausura	AD Isidro Metapan	2-1 HT 0-1	CD Luis Angel Firpo

Standings · El Salvador Apertura

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	CD FAS	8	5	1	2	14	7	16
2	AD Isidro Metapan	9	5	1	3	13	9	16
3	Internacional Santa Tecla	8	4	3	1	12	6	15
4	CD Luis Angel Firpo	7	4	2	1	12	4	14
5	Municipal Limeno	9	4	2	3	12	9	14
6	Atlético Balboa	10	3	3	4	11	13	12
7	CD Platense Zacatecoluca	10	3	3	4	12	15	12
8	CD Aguila	10	2	5	3	15	14	11
9	Alianza FC	7	2	3	2	9	9	9
10	CD INCA Aruba	10	2	2	6	6	19	8
11	CD Cacahuatique	8	1	4	3	11	14	7
12	Fuerte San Francisco	8	1	3	4	5	13	6

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	CD Luis Angel Firpo	AD Isidro Metapan
CD FAS	1-3 L	2-0 W
CD Platense Zacatecoluca	1-0 W	2-1 W
CD INCA Aruba	0-0 D	0-1 L
Municipal Limeno	2-0 W	1-3 L
Fuerte San Francisco	4-0 W	0-1 L
CD Aguila	1-1 D	2-1 W
Alianza FC	0-0 D	2-0 W
Record vs common	3 W 3 D 1 L	4 W 0 D 3 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

CD Luis Angel Firpo

WLDDWWDWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/09	Internacional Santa Tecla El Salvador Apertura	3-0	3-0	6	5	W
31/08	CD FAS El Salvador Apertura	0-3	1-3	12	5	L
24/08	CD Platense Zacatecoluca El Salvador Apertura	1-0	1-0	0	1	W
17/08	CD INCA Aruba El Salvador Apertura	0-0	0-0	8	7	D
09/08	Municipal Limeno El Salvador Apertura	1-0	2-0	4	5	W
30/07	Fuerte San Francisco El Salvador Apertura	2-0	4-0	6	2	W
26/07	CD Aguila El Salvador Apertura	0-0	1-1	4	3	D
21/12	Alianza FC El Salvador Apertura	0-0	0-0	8	5	D
14/12	CD Aguila El Salvador Apertura	0-0	0-1	3	8	L
07/12	CD Aguila El Salvador Apertura	1-0	3-1	3	12	W

AD Isidro Metapan

LWWDWLWLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/09	CD Platense Zacatecoluca El Salvador Apertura	1-1	2-1	4	5	W
06/09	CD INCA Aruba El Salvador Apertura	0-1	0-1	12	6	L
29/08	Municipal Limeno El Salvador Apertura	0-1	1-3	13	3	L
23/08	Alianza FC El Salvador Apertura	1-0	2-0	6	5	W
15/08	Fuerte San Francisco El Salvador Apertura	0-1	0-1	8	0	L
08/08	CD Aguila El Salvador Apertura	0-0	2-1	4	7	W
02/08	Atlético Balboa El Salvador Apertura	0-0	0-0	1	8	D
31/07	CD FAS El Salvador Apertura	2-0	2-0	5	8	W
25/07	CD Cacahuatique El Salvador Apertura	0-1	4-2	4	3	W
30/11	CD Aguila El Salvador Apertura	0-1	0-2	2	10	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CD Luis Angel Firpo vs AD Isidro Metapan?

According to our model, the most likely result is a CD Luis Angel Firpo win (42%). Probabilities: CD Luis Angel Firpo 42%, draw 29%, AD Isidro Metapan 28%.

How many goals are expected in CD Luis Angel Firpo vs AD Isidro Metapan?

The model expects 2.31 goals (CD Luis Angel Firpo 1.3 · AD Isidro Metapan 1.02), with a 50% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in CD Luis Angel Firpo vs AD Isidro Metapan?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.