Football · El Salvador Apertura · 13/09, 23:00

Prediction: CD Cacahuatique vs Internacional Santa Tecla

Team pages: CD Cacahuatique · Internacional Santa Tecla

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.62Total

CD Cacahuatique1.22

Internacional Santa Tecla1.4

1X2

31% 29% 40%

CD Cacahuatique Draw Internacional Santa Tecla

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

CD Cacahuatique 1-4-5 (W-D-L)

LLLWDDDLDL

Internacional Santa Tecla 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

DLDDDWWWWL

Head-to-head

CD Cacahuatique 2–1–1 Internacional Santa Tecla (4 last)

CD Cacahuatique5-0Internacional Santa Tecla
Internacional Santa Tecla2-1CD Cacahuatique
CD Cacahuatique0-0Internacional Santa Tecla
Internacional Santa Tecla1-2CD Cacahuatique

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · CD Cacahuatique 1446 · Internacional Santa Tecla 1535

	CD Cacahuatique	Draw	Internacional Santa Tecla
Our model	31%	29%	40%
Market	31%	29%	40%

Estimated total (ours) 2.62 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Internacional Santa Tecla (rating 1446 vs 1535).
H2H favours CD Cacahuatique: 2-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 9.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	CD Cacahuatique	Internacional Santa Tecla
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 1.9	1.5 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.9	0.5 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/50/40%	30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.1 / 4.1	2.8 / 5.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.9 / 0.6	4.8 / 0.9

Odds Bet365

12.88

X3.10

22.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.77

2 (-0.25)2.02

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.95

Under 2.251.85

Diff.: 0.55 · xG: 2.8

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 03:17

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.75 → 2.88▲	Pinn 3.02
X	3.30 → 3.10▼	Bet365 3.10
2	2.25 → 2.25	Pinn 2.39 ★

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.5% Pinnacle margin 9.1%

Time*	1	X	2
22:37 +18’	2.75	3.30	2.25
03:09 +8’	2.88▲	3.10▼	2.25

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
22:24 +31’	3.02	2.93	2.39

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · CD Cacahuatique 2–1–1 Internacional Santa Tecla

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Date	Home	Score	Away
21/03/26 El Salvador Clausura	CD Cacahuatique	5-0 HT 4-0	Internacional Santa Tecla
25/01/26 El Salvador Clausura	Internacional Santa Tecla	2-1 HT 0-0	CD Cacahuatique
29/09/25 El Salvador Apertura	CD Cacahuatique	0-0 HT 0-0	Internacional Santa Tecla
28/07/25 El Salvador Clausura	Internacional Santa Tecla	1-2 HT 1-0	CD Cacahuatique

Standings · El Salvador Apertura

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	CD FAS	8	5	1	2	14	7	16
2	AD Isidro Metapan	9	5	1	3	13	9	16
3	Internacional Santa Tecla	8	4	3	1	12	6	15
4	CD Luis Angel Firpo	7	4	2	1	12	4	14
5	Municipal Limeno	9	4	2	3	12	9	14
6	CD Platense Zacatecoluca	9	3	3	3	11	12	12
7	Alianza FC	7	2	3	2	9	9	9
8	Atlético Balboa	9	2	3	4	8	12	9
9	CD Aguila	9	1	5	3	12	13	8
10	CD INCA Aruba	9	2	2	5	5	16	8
11	CD Cacahuatique	8	1	4	3	11	14	7
12	Fuerte San Francisco	8	1	3	4	5	13	6

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	CD Cacahuatique	Internacional Santa Tecla
CD Platense Zacatecoluca	1-2 L	3-0 W
CD INCA Aruba	1-1 D	4-1 W
Municipal Limeno	1-3 L	1-0 W
Alianza FC	0-0 D	2-0 W
Fuerte San Francisco	0-0 D	2-2 D
CD Aguila	2-2 D	0-0 D
Atlético Balboa	4-2 W	0-0 D
Record vs common	1 W 4 D 2 L	4 W 3 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Internacional Santa Tecla (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

CD Cacahuatique

LLLWDDDLDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
05/09	CD Platense Zacatecoluca El Salvador Apertura	0-2	1-2	6	10	L
29/08	CD INCA Aruba El Salvador Apertura	0-0	1-1	4	4	D
22/08	Municipal Limeno El Salvador Apertura	1-2	1-3	3	3	L
16/08	Alianza FC El Salvador Apertura	0-0	0-0	5	4	D
09/08	Fuerte San Francisco El Salvador Apertura	0-0	0-0	3	7	D
02/08	CD Aguila El Salvador Apertura	0-0	2-2	7	6	D
28/07	Atlético Balboa El Salvador Apertura	2-2	4-2	7	5	W
25/07	AD Isidro Metapan El Salvador Apertura	1-0	2-4	4	3	L
14/12	Alianza FC El Salvador Apertura	0-1	0-3	2	5	L
07/12	Alianza FC El Salvador Apertura	0-2	1-2	0	8	L

Internacional Santa Tecla

DLDDDWWWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/09	CD Luis Angel Firpo El Salvador Apertura	0-3	0-3	1	5	L
29/08	CD Platense Zacatecoluca El Salvador Apertura	0-0	3-0	5	8	W
22/08	CD INCA Aruba El Salvador Apertura	0-0	4-1	4	1	W
15/08	Municipal Limeno El Salvador Apertura	1-0	1-0	6	7	W
09/08	Alianza FC El Salvador Apertura	1-0	2-0	7	0	W
01/08	Fuerte San Francisco El Salvador Apertura	1-2	2-2	10	10	D
31/07	CD Aguila El Salvador Apertura	0-0	0-0	3	7	D
25/07	Atlético Balboa El Salvador Apertura	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
16/11	Zacatecoluca FC El Salvador Apertura	2-1	2-3	7	4	L
09/11	Municipal Limeno El Salvador Apertura	0-1	1-1	4	9	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CD Cacahuatique vs Internacional Santa Tecla?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Internacional Santa Tecla win (40%). Probabilities: CD Cacahuatique 31%, draw 29%, Internacional Santa Tecla 40%.

How many goals are expected in CD Cacahuatique vs Internacional Santa Tecla?

The model expects 2.62 goals (CD Cacahuatique 1.22 · Internacional Santa Tecla 1.4), with a 53% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in CD Cacahuatique vs Internacional Santa Tecla?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.