Football · El Salvador Apertura · 05/09, 23:00
Prediction: Fuerte San Francisco vs CD FAS
Team pages: Fuerte San Francisco · CD FAS
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.46Total
Fuerte San Francisco0.88
CD FAS1.58
1X2
Fuerte San Francisco
Draw
CD FAS
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 56%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Fuerte San Francisco
2-4-4 (W-D-L)
CD FAS
6-1-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Fuerte San Francisco
1–2–3
CD FAS
(6 last)
- CD FAS3-1Fuerte San Francisco
- Fuerte San Francisco1-1CD FAS
- CD FAS3-0Fuerte San Francisco
- Fuerte San Francisco0-8CD FAS
- CD FAS0-3Fuerte San Francisco
- Fuerte San Francisco0-0CD FAS
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Fuerte San Francisco 1463 · CD FAS 1539
| Fuerte San Francisco | Draw | CD FAS | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 20% | 28% | 53% |
| Market | 21% | 26% | 53% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.46 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours CD FAS (rating 1463 vs 1539).
- H2H favours CD FAS: 3-2-1.
- High corners: 10.5 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Fuerte San Francisco | CD FAS | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 1.6 | 2 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.6 | 1.1 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 4.6 | 2.9 / 5.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.2 / 0.5 | 4.6 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Fuerte San Francisco 1–2–3 CD FAS
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/03/26 El Salvador Clausura | CD FAS | 3-1 HT 1-1 | Fuerte San Francisco |
| 25/01/26 El Salvador Clausura | Fuerte San Francisco | 1-1 HT 0-1 | CD FAS |
| 29/09/25 El Salvador Apertura | CD FAS | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Fuerte San Francisco |
| 27/07/25 El Salvador Clausura | Fuerte San Francisco | 0-8 HT 0-4 | CD FAS |
| 10/04/25 El Salvador Clausura | CD FAS | 0-3 HT 0-0 | Fuerte San Francisco |
| 12/02/25 El Salvador Clausura | Fuerte San Francisco | 0-0 HT 0-0 | CD FAS |
Standings · El Salvador Apertura
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Internacional Santa Tecla | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 12 | 3 | 15 |
| 2 | CD FAS | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 7 | 13 |
| 3 | AD Isidro Metapan | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 7 | 13 |
| 4 | CD Luis Angel Firpo | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 11 |
| 5 | Municipal Limeno | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 9 | 10 |
| 6 | Atlético Balboa | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 9 |
| 6 | CD Platense Zacatecoluca | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 9 |
| 8 | Alianza FC | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 8 |
| 9 | CD Cacahuatique | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 12 | 7 |
| 10 | CD Aguila | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 11 | 6 |
| 11 | Fuerte San Francisco | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 6 |
| 12 | CD INCA Aruba | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 16 | 2 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Fuerte San Francisco | CD FAS |
|---|---|---|
| CD Aguila | 1-4 L | 1-0 W |
| Atlético Balboa | 0-1 L | 1-1 D |
| AD Isidro Metapan | 1-0 W | 0-2 L |
| CD Cacahuatique | 0-0 D | 0-1 L |
| CD Luis Angel Firpo | 0-4 L | 3-1 W |
| CD Platense Zacatecoluca | 1-1 D | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 3 L | 2 W 1 D 3 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Fuerte San Francisco
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08 | CD Aguila El Salvador Apertura |
1-1 | 1-4 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 23/08 | Atlético Balboa El Salvador Apertura |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 15/08 | AD Isidro Metapan El Salvador Apertura |
1-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 0 | W |
| 09/08 | CD Cacahuatique El Salvador Apertura |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 7 | D |
| 01/08 | Internacional Santa Tecla El Salvador Apertura |
2-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 10 | D |
| 30/07 | CD Luis Angel Firpo El Salvador Apertura |
0-2 | 0-4 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 26/07 | CD Platense Zacatecoluca El Salvador Apertura |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 16/11 | Alianza FC El Salvador Apertura |
0-1 | 1-3 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 09/11 | AD Isidro Metapan El Salvador Apertura |
1-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 05/11 | Zacatecoluca FC El Salvador Apertura |
0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 7 | D |
CD FAS
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/08 | CD Luis Angel Firpo El Salvador Apertura |
3-0 | 3-1 | 9 | 5 | W |
| 23/08 | CD Aguila El Salvador Apertura |
0-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 6 | W |
| 17/08 | CD Platense Zacatecoluca El Salvador Apertura |
0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 5 | L |
| 10/08 | Atlético Balboa El Salvador Apertura |
1-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 3 | D |
| 03/08 | CD INCA Aruba El Salvador Apertura |
2-0 | 4-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 31/07 | AD Isidro Metapan El Salvador Apertura |
0-2 | 0-2 | 2 | 8 | L |
| 25/07 | Municipal Limeno El Salvador Apertura |
0-1 | 3-1 | 9 | 5 | W |
| 30/11 | CD Cacahuatique El Salvador Apertura |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 23/11 | CD Cacahuatique El Salvador Apertura |
2-2 | 3-2 | 7 | 9 | W |
| 16/11 | CD Platense Zacatecoluca El Salvador Apertura |
3-0 | 4-1 | 2 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Fuerte San Francisco vs CD FAS?
According to our model, the most likely result is an CD FAS win (53%). Probabilities: Fuerte San Francisco 20%, draw 27%, CD FAS 53%.
How many goals are expected in Fuerte San Francisco vs CD FAS?
The model expects 2.46 goals (Fuerte San Francisco 0.88 · CD FAS 1.58), with a 52% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Fuerte San Francisco vs CD FAS?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.