Football · El Salvador Apertura · 27/09, 23:00

Prediction: CD Platense Zacatecoluca vs Fuerte San Francisco

Team pages: CD Platense Zacatecoluca · Fuerte San Francisco

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.2Total

CD Platense Zacatecoluca1.37

Fuerte San Francisco0.83

1X2

49% 29% 22%

CD Platense Zacatecoluca Draw Fuerte San Francisco

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 62% Not both to score 51%

Most likely score

1-0 14%

Recent form · 10 last

CD Platense Zacatecoluca 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

DWWLDLWLLL

Fuerte San Francisco 1-3-6 (W-D-L)

LDDWLLLLLD

Head-to-head

CD Platense Zacatecoluca 0–5–1 Fuerte San Francisco (6 last)

Fuerte San Francisco1-1CD Platense Zacatecoluca
Fuerte San Francisco1-0CD Platense Zacatecoluca
Fuerte San Francisco1-1CD Platense Zacatecoluca
CD Platense Zacatecoluca1-1Fuerte San Francisco
CD Platense Zacatecoluca1-1Fuerte San Francisco
Fuerte San Francisco0-0CD Platense Zacatecoluca

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · CD Platense Zacatecoluca 1457 · Fuerte San Francisco 1443

	CD Platense Zacatecoluca	Draw	Fuerte San Francisco
Our model	48%	30%	22%
Market	50%	27%	23%

Estimated total (ours) 2.2 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 10.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	CD Platense Zacatecoluca	Fuerte San Francisco
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 1.5	0.7 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.5	0.5 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/50/20%	30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.1 / 3.4	1.9 / 3.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.5 / 0.5	4.9 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.80

X3.25

23.90

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.85

2 (+0.5)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.90

Under 2.251.90

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 2.55

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:50

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.80 → 1.80	Pinn 1.99 ★
X	3.25 → 3.25	Bet365 3.25
2	3.90 → 3.90	Bet365 3.90

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12% Pinnacle margin 9.3%

Time*	1	X	2
16:33 +17’	1.80	3.25	3.90

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
16:26 +24’	2.00	3.09	3.72
08:27 +53’	1.99▼	3.12▲	3.71▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · CD Platense Zacatecoluca 0–5–1 Fuerte San Francisco

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Date	Home	Score	Away
26/07/26 El Salvador Apertura	Fuerte San Francisco	1-1 HT 1-0	CD Platense Zacatecoluca
21/04/26 El Salvador Cup	Fuerte San Francisco	1-0 HT 1-0	CD Platense Zacatecoluca
15/04/26 El Salvador Clausura	Fuerte San Francisco	1-1 HT 1-0	CD Platense Zacatecoluca
09/04/26 El Salvador Cup	CD Platense Zacatecoluca	1-1 HT 0-0	Fuerte San Francisco
18/02/26 El Salvador Clausura	CD Platense Zacatecoluca	1-1 HT 1-1	Fuerte San Francisco
01/11/25 El Salvador Apertura	Fuerte San Francisco	0-0 HT 0-0	CD Platense Zacatecoluca

Standings · El Salvador Apertura

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	CD FAS	10	6	2	2	18	9	20
2	Internacional Santa Tecla	11	5	5	1	16	8	20
3	AD Isidro Metapan	11	6	2	3	15	10	20
4	CD Luis Angel Firpo	10	5	3	2	16	7	18
5	Municipal Limeno	11	5	2	4	16	12	17
6	CD Aguila	11	3	5	3	16	14	14
7	Alianza FC	9	3	4	2	14	13	13
8	Atlético Balboa	11	3	3	5	12	16	12
8	CD Platense Zacatecoluca	11	3	3	5	12	16	12
10	CD INCA Aruba	11	3	2	6	8	20	11
11	CD Cacahuatique	11	1	5	5	11	18	8
12	Fuerte San Francisco	11	1	4	6	8	19	7

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	CD Platense Zacatecoluca	Fuerte San Francisco
CD Aguila	0-1 L	1-4 L
Atlético Balboa	1-3 L	0-1 L
AD Isidro Metapan	1-2 L	1-0 W
CD Cacahuatique	2-1 W	0-0 D
Internacional Santa Tecla	0-3 L	2-2 D
Alianza FC	2-2 D	2-2 D
CD Luis Angel Firpo	0-1 L	0-4 L
CD FAS	2-1 W	0-1 L
CD INCA Aruba	2-0 W	1-2 L
Municipal Limeno	1-1 D	0-2 L
Record vs common	3 W 2 D 5 L	1 W 3 D 6 L

Better against common opponents: CD Platense Zacatecoluca (6 of 10 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

CD Platense Zacatecoluca

DWWLDLWLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
20/09	CD Aguila El Salvador Apertura	0-1	0-1	2	7	L
12/09	Atlético Balboa El Salvador Apertura	1-0	1-3	4	5	L
09/09	AD Isidro Metapan El Salvador Apertura	1-1	1-2	3	5	L
05/09	CD Cacahuatique El Salvador Apertura	2-0	2-1	4	10	W
29/08	Internacional Santa Tecla El Salvador Apertura	0-0	0-3	3	8	L
26/08	Alianza FC El Salvador Apertura	1-1	2-2	5	4	D
24/08	CD Luis Angel Firpo El Salvador Apertura	0-1	0-1	0	1	L
17/08	CD FAS El Salvador Apertura	0-0	2-1	7	5	W
08/08	CD INCA Aruba El Salvador Apertura	1-0	2-0	1	10	W
02/08	Municipal Limeno El Salvador Apertura	1-1	1-1	5	5	D

Fuerte San Francisco

LDDWLLLLLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/09	Alianza FC El Salvador Apertura	0-1	2-2	4	7	D
19/09	CD INCA Aruba El Salvador Apertura	1-0	1-2	4	9	L
13/09	Municipal Limeno El Salvador Apertura	0-1	0-2	2	3	L
05/09	CD FAS El Salvador Apertura	0-0	0-1	1	1	L
30/08	CD Aguila El Salvador Apertura	1-1	1-4	2	6	L
23/08	Atlético Balboa El Salvador Apertura	0-0	0-1	4	7	L
15/08	AD Isidro Metapan El Salvador Apertura	1-0	1-0	8	0	W
09/08	CD Cacahuatique El Salvador Apertura	0-0	0-0	5	7	D
01/08	Internacional Santa Tecla El Salvador Apertura	2-1	2-2	4	10	D
30/07	CD Luis Angel Firpo El Salvador Apertura	0-2	0-4	1	2	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CD Platense Zacatecoluca vs Fuerte San Francisco?

According to our model, the most likely result is a CD Platense Zacatecoluca win (49%). Probabilities: CD Platense Zacatecoluca 49%, draw 29%, Fuerte San Francisco 22%.

How many goals are expected in CD Platense Zacatecoluca vs Fuerte San Francisco?

The model expects 2.2 goals (CD Platense Zacatecoluca 1.37 · Fuerte San Francisco 0.83), with a 52% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in CD Platense Zacatecoluca vs Fuerte San Francisco?

The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.