Football · El Salvador Apertura · 27/09, 04:00

Prediction: AD Isidro Metapan vs CD Cacahuatique

Team pages: AD Isidro Metapan · CD Cacahuatique

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.36Total

AD Isidro Metapan1.59

CD Cacahuatique0.77

1X2

57% 26% 17%

AD Isidro Metapan Draw CD Cacahuatique

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 55% Not both to score 51%

Most likely score

1-0 14%

Recent form · 10 last

AD Isidro Metapan 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

WWDWLWLLWD

CD Cacahuatique 1-5-4 (W-D-L)

WDDDLDLLLD

Head-to-head

AD Isidro Metapan 1–5–0 CD Cacahuatique (6 last)

CD Cacahuatique2-4AD Isidro Metapan
AD Isidro Metapan1-1CD Cacahuatique
CD Cacahuatique1-1AD Isidro Metapan
AD Isidro Metapan0-0CD Cacahuatique
CD Cacahuatique2-2AD Isidro Metapan
CD Cacahuatique0-0AD Isidro Metapan

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · AD Isidro Metapan 1522 · CD Cacahuatique 1436

	AD Isidro Metapan	Draw	CD Cacahuatique
Our model	56%	27%	17%
Market	57%	25%	18%

Estimated total (ours) 2.36 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours AD Isidro Metapan (rating 1522 vs 1436).
High corners: 11.1 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 9.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	AD Isidro Metapan	CD Cacahuatique
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 0.9	0.9 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.5	0.3 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/40/40%	0/60/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 6.5	2.5 / 4.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.8 / 0.2	4.9 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.57

X3.60

25.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)2.02

2 (+1)1.77

Line ⓘ

Over 2.52.02

Under 2.51.77

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 2.25

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:16

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.57 → 1.57	Bet365 1.57
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	5.00 → 5.00	Pinn 5.21 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.4% Pinnacle margin 11.9%

Time*	1	X	2
16:10 +6’	1.57	3.60	5.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
17:21 +94’	1.57	3.44	5.21

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · AD Isidro Metapan 1–5–0 CD Cacahuatique

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Date	Home	Score	Away
25/07/26 El Salvador Apertura	CD Cacahuatique	2-4 HT 1-0	AD Isidro Metapan
12/04/26 El Salvador Clausura	AD Isidro Metapan	1-1 HT 0-1	CD Cacahuatique
15/02/26 El Salvador Clausura	CD Cacahuatique	1-1 HT 0-1	AD Isidro Metapan
26/10/25 El Salvador Apertura	AD Isidro Metapan	0-0 HT 0-0	CD Cacahuatique
24/08/25 El Salvador Clausura	CD Cacahuatique	2-2 HT 0-1	AD Isidro Metapan
29/03/25 El Salvador Clausura	CD Cacahuatique	0-0 HT 0-0	AD Isidro Metapan

Standings · El Salvador Apertura

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	CD FAS	10	6	2	2	18	9	20
2	Internacional Santa Tecla	11	5	5	1	16	8	20
3	AD Isidro Metapan	11	6	2	3	15	10	20
4	CD Luis Angel Firpo	10	5	3	2	16	7	18
5	Municipal Limeno	11	5	2	4	16	12	17
6	CD Aguila	11	3	5	3	16	14	14
7	Alianza FC	9	3	4	2	14	13	13
8	Atlético Balboa	11	3	3	5	12	16	12
8	CD Platense Zacatecoluca	11	3	3	5	12	16	12
10	CD INCA Aruba	11	3	2	6	8	20	11
11	CD Cacahuatique	11	1	5	5	11	18	8
12	Fuerte San Francisco	11	1	4	6	8	19	7

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	AD Isidro Metapan	CD Cacahuatique
Internacional Santa Tecla	0-0 D	0-2 L
CD Platense Zacatecoluca	2-1 W	1-2 L
CD INCA Aruba	0-1 L	1-1 D
Municipal Limeno	1-3 L	1-3 L
Alianza FC	2-0 W	0-0 D
Fuerte San Francisco	0-1 L	0-0 D
CD Aguila	2-1 W	2-2 D
Atlético Balboa	0-0 D	4-2 W
CD FAS	2-0 W	0-2 L
Record vs common	4 W 2 D 3 L	1 W 4 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: AD Isidro Metapan (5 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

AD Isidro Metapan

WWDWLWLLWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
20/09	Internacional Santa Tecla El Salvador Apertura	0-0	0-0	8	5	D
09/09	CD Platense Zacatecoluca El Salvador Apertura	1-1	2-1	4	5	W
06/09	CD INCA Aruba El Salvador Apertura	0-1	0-1	12	6	L
29/08	Municipal Limeno El Salvador Apertura	0-1	1-3	13	3	L
23/08	Alianza FC El Salvador Apertura	1-0	2-0	6	5	W
15/08	Fuerte San Francisco El Salvador Apertura	0-1	0-1	8	0	L
08/08	CD Aguila El Salvador Apertura	0-0	2-1	4	7	W
02/08	Atlético Balboa El Salvador Apertura	0-0	0-0	1	8	D
31/07	CD FAS El Salvador Apertura	2-0	2-0	5	8	W
25/07	CD Cacahuatique El Salvador Apertura	0-1	4-2	4	3	W

CD Cacahuatique

WDDDLDLLLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/09	CD Luis Angel Firpo El Salvador Apertura	0-0	0-0	2	6	D
19/09	CD FAS El Salvador Apertura	0-1	0-2	5	5	L
13/09	Internacional Santa Tecla El Salvador Apertura	0-1	0-2	4	2	L
05/09	CD Platense Zacatecoluca El Salvador Apertura	0-2	1-2	6	10	L
29/08	CD INCA Aruba El Salvador Apertura	0-0	1-1	4	4	D
22/08	Municipal Limeno El Salvador Apertura	1-2	1-3	3	3	L
16/08	Alianza FC El Salvador Apertura	0-0	0-0	5	4	D
09/08	Fuerte San Francisco El Salvador Apertura	0-0	0-0	3	7	D
02/08	CD Aguila El Salvador Apertura	0-0	2-2	7	6	D
28/07	Atlético Balboa El Salvador Apertura	2-2	4-2	7	5	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in AD Isidro Metapan vs CD Cacahuatique?

According to our model, the most likely result is a AD Isidro Metapan win (57%). Probabilities: AD Isidro Metapan 57%, draw 26%, CD Cacahuatique 17%.

How many goals are expected in AD Isidro Metapan vs CD Cacahuatique?

The model expects 2.36 goals (AD Isidro Metapan 1.59 · CD Cacahuatique 0.77), with a 55% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in AD Isidro Metapan vs CD Cacahuatique?

The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.