Football · El Salvador Apertura · 27/09, 02:00

Prediction: CD Luis Angel Firpo vs CD Aguila

Team pages: CD Luis Angel Firpo · CD Aguila

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.45Total

CD Luis Angel Firpo1.41

CD Aguila1.05

1X2

44% 28% 27%

CD Luis Angel Firpo Draw CD Aguila

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

CD Luis Angel Firpo 5-4-1 (W-D-L)

DDWWDWLWWD

CD Aguila 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

DDLLLWDDWW

Head-to-head

CD Luis Angel Firpo 2–2–2 CD Aguila (6 last)

CD Aguila1-1CD Luis Angel Firpo
CD Luis Angel Firpo0-1CD Aguila
CD Aguila1-2CD Luis Angel Firpo
CD Aguila1-1CD Luis Angel Firpo
CD Luis Angel Firpo1-0CD Aguila
CD Luis Angel Firpo0-1CD Aguila

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · CD Luis Angel Firpo 1526 · CD Aguila 1502

	CD Luis Angel Firpo	Draw	CD Aguila
Our model	44%	29%	27%
Market	45%	28%	28%

Estimated total (ours) 2.45 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

High corners: 10.5 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 10.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	CD Luis Angel Firpo	CD Aguila
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 0.5	1.5 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.4	0.6 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/50/10%	30/70/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	3 / 6	2.5 / 4.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.1 / 0.3	6.4 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.00

X3.25

23.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.77

2 (+0.25)2.02

Line ⓘ

Over 2.52.00

Under 2.51.80

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 2.4

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:11

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.00 → 2.00	Pinn 2.13 ★
X	3.25 → 3.25	Bet365 3.25
2	3.25 → 3.25	Pinn 3.34

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5% Pinnacle margin 9.1%

Time*	1	X	2
16:05 +6’	2.00	3.25	3.25

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
15:39 +32’	2.13	3.10	3.34

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · CD Luis Angel Firpo 2–2–2 CD Aguila

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Date	Home	Score	Away
26/07/26 El Salvador Apertura	CD Aguila	1-1 HT 0-0	CD Luis Angel Firpo
17/05/26 El Salvador Clausura	CD Luis Angel Firpo	0-1 HT 0-0	CD Aguila
13/05/26 El Salvador Clausura	CD Aguila	1-2 HT 0-1	CD Luis Angel Firpo
01/05/26 El Salvador Clausura	CD Aguila	1-1 HT 0-1	CD Luis Angel Firpo
08/03/26 El Salvador Clausura	CD Luis Angel Firpo	1-0 HT 0-0	CD Aguila
14/12/25 El Salvador Apertura	CD Luis Angel Firpo	0-1 HT 0-0	CD Aguila

Standings · El Salvador Apertura

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	CD FAS	10	6	2	2	18	9	20
2	Internacional Santa Tecla	11	5	5	1	16	8	20
3	AD Isidro Metapan	11	6	2	3	15	10	20
4	CD Luis Angel Firpo	10	5	3	2	16	7	18
5	Municipal Limeno	11	5	2	4	16	12	17
6	CD Aguila	11	3	5	3	16	14	14
7	Alianza FC	9	3	4	2	14	13	13
8	Atlético Balboa	11	3	3	5	12	16	12
8	CD Platense Zacatecoluca	11	3	3	5	12	16	12
10	CD INCA Aruba	11	3	2	6	8	20	11
11	CD Cacahuatique	11	1	5	5	11	18	8
12	Fuerte San Francisco	11	1	4	6	8	19	7

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	CD Luis Angel Firpo	CD Aguila
CD Cacahuatique	0-0 D	2-2 D
Atlético Balboa	3-1 W	2-4 L
Internacional Santa Tecla	3-0 W	0-0 D
CD FAS	1-3 L	0-1 L
CD Platense Zacatecoluca	1-0 W	1-0 W
CD INCA Aruba	0-0 D	3-1 W
Municipal Limeno	2-0 W	0-0 D
Fuerte San Francisco	4-0 W	4-1 W
Alianza FC	0-0 D	2-2 D
Record vs common	5 W 3 D 1 L	3 W 4 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: CD Luis Angel Firpo (4 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

CD Luis Angel Firpo

DDWWDWLWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/09	CD Cacahuatique El Salvador Apertura	0-0	0-0	8	6	D
21/09	Atlético Balboa El Salvador Apertura	1-1	3-1	4	5	W
07/09	Internacional Santa Tecla El Salvador Apertura	3-0	3-0	6	5	W
31/08	CD FAS El Salvador Apertura	0-3	1-3	12	5	L
24/08	CD Platense Zacatecoluca El Salvador Apertura	1-0	1-0	0	1	W
17/08	CD INCA Aruba El Salvador Apertura	0-0	0-0	8	7	D
09/08	Municipal Limeno El Salvador Apertura	1-0	2-0	4	5	W
30/07	Fuerte San Francisco El Salvador Apertura	2-0	4-0	6	2	W
26/07	CD Aguila El Salvador Apertura	0-0	1-1	4	3	D
21/12	Alianza FC El Salvador Apertura	0-0	0-0	8	5	D

CD Aguila

DDLLLWDDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
20/09	CD Platense Zacatecoluca El Salvador Apertura	1-0	1-0	4	7	W
12/09	CD INCA Aruba El Salvador Apertura	1-0	3-1	3	0	W
10/09	Municipal Limeno El Salvador Apertura	0-0	0-0	7	10	D
06/09	Alianza FC El Salvador Apertura	1-1	2-2	4	9	D
30/08	Fuerte San Francisco El Salvador Apertura	1-1	4-1	8	6	W
23/08	CD FAS El Salvador Apertura	0-0	0-1	3	6	L
15/08	Atlético Balboa El Salvador Apertura	2-1	2-4	3	8	L
08/08	AD Isidro Metapan El Salvador Apertura	0-0	1-2	2	7	L
02/08	CD Cacahuatique El Salvador Apertura	0-0	2-2	7	6	D
31/07	Internacional Santa Tecla El Salvador Apertura	0-0	0-0	4	7	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CD Luis Angel Firpo vs CD Aguila?

According to our model, the most likely result is a CD Luis Angel Firpo win (44%). Probabilities: CD Luis Angel Firpo 44%, draw 28%, CD Aguila 27%.

How many goals are expected in CD Luis Angel Firpo vs CD Aguila?

The model expects 2.45 goals (CD Luis Angel Firpo 1.41 · CD Aguila 1.05), with a 54% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in CD Luis Angel Firpo vs CD Aguila?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.