Football · El Salvador Apertura · 11/10, 23:00
Prediction: CD Aguila vs AD Isidro Metapan
Team pages: CD Aguila · AD Isidro Metapan
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.75Total
CD Aguila1.52
AD Isidro Metapan1.22
1X2
CD Aguila
Draw
AD Isidro Metapan
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
CD Aguila
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
AD Isidro Metapan
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
CD Aguila
2–1–3
AD Isidro Metapan
(6 last)
- AD Isidro Metapan2-1CD Aguila
- CD Aguila1-1AD Isidro Metapan
- AD Isidro Metapan4-2CD Aguila
- AD Isidro Metapan0-2CD Aguila
- CD Aguila2-1AD Isidro Metapan
- CD Aguila1-2AD Isidro Metapan
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · CD Aguila 1528 · AD Isidro Metapan 1515
| CD Aguila | Draw | AD Isidro Metapan | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 28% | 29% |
| Market | 44% | 26% | 30% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.75 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 52%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours AD Isidro Metapan: 3-1-2.
- High corners: 11.9 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 10.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| CD Aguila | AD Isidro Metapan | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.8 / 1.3 | 1.2 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.4 | 0.3 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/50/10% | 20/50/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.7 / 4.8 | 3.1 / 7.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 6 / 0.4 | 4.5 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · CD Aguila 2–1–3 AD Isidro Metapan
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08/26 El Salvador Apertura | AD Isidro Metapan | 2-1 HT 0-0 | CD Aguila |
| 18/03/26 El Salvador Clausura | CD Aguila | 1-1 HT 1-0 | AD Isidro Metapan |
| 22/01/26 El Salvador Clausura | AD Isidro Metapan | 4-2 HT 1-0 | CD Aguila |
| 30/11/25 El Salvador Apertura | AD Isidro Metapan | 0-2 HT 0-1 | CD Aguila |
| 24/11/25 El Salvador Apertura | CD Aguila | 2-1 HT 0-1 | AD Isidro Metapan |
| 25/09/25 El Salvador Clausura | CD Aguila | 1-2 HT 1-2 | AD Isidro Metapan |
Standings · El Salvador Apertura
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CD Luis Angel Firpo | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 26 | 11 | 28 |
| 2 | CD FAS | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 24 | 12 | 27 |
| 3 | AD Isidro Metapan | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 20 | 12 | 26 |
| 4 | Internacional Santa Tecla | 14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 19 | 12 | 22 |
| 5 | CD Aguila | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 20 |
| 6 | CD Platense Zacatecoluca | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 19 | 20 | 19 |
| 7 | Alianza FC | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 19 | 18 |
| 8 | Municipal Limeno | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 21 | 22 | 17 |
| 9 | CD INCA Aruba | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 27 | 16 |
| 10 | Atlético Balboa | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 22 | 13 |
| 11 | Fuerte San Francisco | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 24 | 12 |
| 12 | CD Cacahuatique | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 26 | 11 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | CD Aguila | AD Isidro Metapan |
|---|---|---|
| CD Cacahuatique | 4-1 W | 2-0 W |
| Internacional Santa Tecla | 2-1 W | 0-0 D |
| CD Platense Zacatecoluca | 1-0 W | 2-1 W |
| CD INCA Aruba | 3-1 W | 0-1 L |
| Municipal Limeno | 0-0 D | 1-3 L |
| Alianza FC | 2-2 D | 2-0 W |
| Fuerte San Francisco | 4-1 W | 0-1 L |
| Atlético Balboa | 2-4 L | 3-2 W |
| Record vs common | 5 W 2 D 1 L | 4 W 1 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: CD Aguila (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
CD Aguila
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/10 | CD Cacahuatique El Salvador Apertura |
2-0 | 4-1 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 30/09 | Internacional Santa Tecla El Salvador Apertura |
0-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 27/09 | CD Luis Angel Firpo El Salvador Apertura |
0-1 | 0-2 | 9 | 12 | L |
| 20/09 | CD Platense Zacatecoluca El Salvador Apertura |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 12/09 | CD INCA Aruba El Salvador Apertura |
1-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 10/09 | Municipal Limeno El Salvador Apertura |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 10 | D |
| 06/09 | Alianza FC El Salvador Apertura |
1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 9 | D |
| 30/08 | Fuerte San Francisco El Salvador Apertura |
1-1 | 4-1 | 8 | 6 | W |
| 23/08 | CD FAS El Salvador Apertura |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 15/08 | Atlético Balboa El Salvador Apertura |
2-1 | 2-4 | 3 | 8 | L |
AD Isidro Metapan
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10 | Atlético Balboa El Salvador Apertura |
0-0 | 3-2 | 10 | 4 | W |
| 27/09 | CD Cacahuatique El Salvador Apertura |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 20/09 | Internacional Santa Tecla El Salvador Apertura |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 5 | D |
| 09/09 | CD Platense Zacatecoluca El Salvador Apertura |
1-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 06/09 | CD INCA Aruba El Salvador Apertura |
0-1 | 0-1 | 12 | 6 | L |
| 29/08 | Municipal Limeno El Salvador Apertura |
0-1 | 1-3 | 13 | 3 | L |
| 23/08 | Alianza FC El Salvador Apertura |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 15/08 | Fuerte San Francisco El Salvador Apertura |
0-1 | 0-1 | 8 | 0 | L |
| 08/08 | CD Aguila El Salvador Apertura |
0-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 02/08 | Atlético Balboa El Salvador Apertura |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 8 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in CD Aguila vs AD Isidro Metapan?
According to our model, the most likely result is a CD Aguila win (43%). Probabilities: CD Aguila 43%, draw 27%, AD Isidro Metapan 30%.
How many goals are expected in CD Aguila vs AD Isidro Metapan?
The model expects 2.75 goals (CD Aguila 1.52 · AD Isidro Metapan 1.22), with a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in CD Aguila vs AD Isidro Metapan?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.