Football · Costa Rica Primera Division · 27/07, 01:00

Prediction: AD San Carlos vs Escorpiones de Belen FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.68Total

AD San Carlos1.52

Escorpiones de Belen FC1.16

1X2

44% 28% 27%

AD San Carlos Draw Escorpiones de Belen FC

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

AD San Carlos 1-3-6 (W-D-L)

DDLLLLWLLD

Escorpiones de Belen FC 5-4-1 (W-D-L)

LWDWWWDWDD

Head-to-head

AD San Carlos 1–1–0 Escorpiones de Belen FC (2 last)

AD San Carlos2-1Escorpiones de Belen FC
AD San Carlos2-2Escorpiones de Belen FC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · AD San Carlos 1442 · Escorpiones de Belen FC 1558

	AD San Carlos	Draw	Escorpiones de Belen FC
Our model	44%	28%	28%
Market	44%	29%	27%

Estimated total (ours) 2.68 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Escorpiones de Belen FC (rating 1442 vs 1558).
High corners: 10.8 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 9.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	AD San Carlos	Escorpiones de Belen FC
Goals for / against (FT)	0.9 / 1.6	2.1 / 0.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.7	0.9 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/50/30%	30/60/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.9 / 4.3	3.7 / 6.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.9 / 0.4	4.6 / 0.6

Odds Bet365

12.10

X3.20

23.40

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.82

2 (+0.25)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.82

Under 2.51.98

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 2.6

Market movement

Match winner · 5 moves · last 18:30

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.20 → 2.10▼	Bet365 2.10
X	3.00 → 3.20▲	Bet365 3.20
2	3.10 → 3.40▲	Bet365 3.40

See the full journey (5)

Bet365 margin 8.3%

Time*	1	X	2
20:51 +1’	2.20	3.00	3.10
03:26 +3’	2.55▲	3.00	2.70▼
15:16 +7’	2.10▼	3.20▲	3.40▲
16:58 +4’	2.55▲	3.00▼	2.70▼
18:29 +1’	2.10▼	3.20▲	3.40▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Over/Under 2.5

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · AD San Carlos 1–1–0 Escorpiones de Belen FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
16/08/23 Costa Rica Cup	AD San Carlos	2-1 HT 0-0	Escorpiones de Belen FC
30/12/22 Club Friendly List	AD San Carlos	2-2 HT 1-0	Escorpiones de Belen FC

Standings · Costa Rica Primera Division

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Deportivo Saprissa	1	1	0	0	5	1	3
2	Herediano	1	0	1	0	1	1	1
2	Puntarenas	1	0	1	0	1	1	1
4	AD San Carlos	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	Escorpiones de Belen FC	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	Cartagines	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	Inter San Carlos	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	Alajuelense	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	Sporting San Jose	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
10	Municipal Perez Zeledon	1	0	0	1	1	5	0

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

AD San Carlos

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/04	Municipal Perez Zeledon Costa Rica Primera Division	1-1	1-1	6	7	D
22/04	Cartagines Costa Rica Primera Division	1-1	1-2	1	6	L
19/04	Herediano Costa Rica Primera Division	0-0	0-1	4	6	L
13/04	Guadalupe FC Costa Rica Primera Division	2-0	4-0	6	4	W
07/04	Municipal Liberia Costa Rica Primera Division	1-3	1-5	1	4	L
23/03	Deportivo Saprissa Costa Rica Primera Division	0-1	1-3	8	5	L
15/03	Sporting San Jose Costa Rica Primera Division	0-0	0-1	2	6	L
08/03	Alajuelense Costa Rica Primera Division	0-1	0-2	6	2	L
05/03	Puntarenas Costa Rica Primera Division	0-0	0-0	3	6	D
02/03	Cartagines Costa Rica Primera Division	1-0	1-1	6	7	D

Escorpiones de Belen FC

LWDWWWDWDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/05	Inter San Carlos Costa Rica Segunda	0-0	0-0	10	11	D
05/05	Inter San Carlos Costa Rica Segunda	0-0	0-0	6	5	D
25/04	PFA Santa Cruz Costa Rica Segunda	1-0	4-1	4	10	W
18/04	PFA Santa Cruz Costa Rica Segunda	1-1	1-1	4	6	D
04/04	FC Aserri Costa Rica Segunda	5-0	8-0	5	0	W
30/03	Futbol Consultants Desamparados Costa Rica Segunda	0-0	1-0	6	2	W
26/03	CS Uruguay de Coronado Costa Rica Segunda	0-0	2-0	10	4	W
24/03	Pitbulls Santa Barbara Costa Rica Segunda	0-1	1-1	5	7	D
17/03	Cariari Pococi Costa Rica Segunda	2-0	4-1	10	6	W
08/03	AD Carmelita Costa Rica Segunda	0-0	0-2	5	1	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in AD San Carlos vs Escorpiones de Belen FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a AD San Carlos win (44%). Probabilities: AD San Carlos 44%, draw 28%, Escorpiones de Belen FC 27%.

How many goals are expected in AD San Carlos vs Escorpiones de Belen FC?

The model expects 2.68 goals (AD San Carlos 1.52 · Escorpiones de Belen FC 1.16), with a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in AD San Carlos vs Escorpiones de Belen FC?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.