Football · Costa Rica Primera Division · 02/08, 04:00

Prediction: Alajuelense vs Escorpiones de Belen FC

Team pages: Alajuelense · Escorpiones de Belen FC

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.6Total
Alajuelense1.75
Escorpiones de Belen FC0.85
1X2
59% 23% 18%
Alajuelense Draw Escorpiones de Belen FC
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Alajuelense 3-3-4 (W-D-L)
LLDWDWLLDW
Escorpiones de Belen FC 6-4-0 (W-D-L)
WDWWWDWDDW
Head-to-head
Alajuelense 1–0 Escorpiones de Belen FC (1 last)
  • Alajuelense5-1Escorpiones de Belen FC
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Alajuelense 1516 · Escorpiones de Belen FC 1588
AlajuelenseDrawEscorpiones de Belen FC
Our model58%26%17%
Market59%22%19%
Estimated total (ours) 2.6 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Escorpiones de Belen FC (rating 1516 vs 1588).
  • High corners: 11.3 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 10.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

AlajuelenseEscorpiones de Belen FC
Goals for / against (FT)1.4 / 1.22.4 / 0.4
Goals for / against (HT)0.8 / 0.51 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)40/40/20%33/56/11%
Corners (HT / FT)2.4 / 4.63.9 / 6.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)5.1 / 0.35 / 0.7

Head-to-head (H2H) · Alajuelense 100 Escorpiones de Belen FC

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DateHomeScoreAway
05/09/24
Costa Rica Cup
Alajuelense5-1
HT 2-1
Escorpiones de Belen FC

Standings · Costa Rica Primera Division

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Deportivo Saprissa 1100 513
2 Escorpiones de Belen FC 1100 303
3 Cartagines 1100 313
4 Herediano 1010 111
4 Alajuelense 1010 111
4 Puntarenas 1010 111
4 Sporting San Jose 1010 111
8 Inter San Carlos 1001 130
9 AD San Carlos 1001 030
10 Municipal Perez Zeledon 1001 150

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Alajuelense

LLDWDWLLDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
30/07 Xelaju
CONCACAF Central American Cup
0-0 1-0 34 W
26/07 Sporting San Jose
Costa Rica Primera Division
0-1 1-1 34 D
13/07 Herediano
Costa Rica Super Cup
0-0 0-1 43 L
27/04 Municipal Liberia
Costa Rica Primera Division
0-1 1-2 65 L
24/04 Puntarenas
Costa Rica Primera Division
3-1 5-2 64 W
20/04 Deportivo Saprissa
Costa Rica Primera Division
1-1 1-1 56 D
12/04 Sporting San Jose
Costa Rica Primera Division
1-0 2-0 49 W
06/04 Guadalupe FC
Costa Rica Primera Division
1-0 1-1 77 D
22/03 Herediano
Costa Rica Primera Division
1-1 1-2 66 L
18/03 Los Angeles FC
CONCACAF Champions Cup
1-0 1-2 26 L

Escorpiones de Belen FC

WDWWWDWDDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
27/07 AD San Carlos
Costa Rica Primera Division
3-0 W
12/05 Inter San Carlos
Costa Rica Segunda
0-0 0-0 1011 D
05/05 Inter San Carlos
Costa Rica Segunda
0-0 0-0 65 D
25/04 PFA Santa Cruz
Costa Rica Segunda
1-0 4-1 410 W
18/04 PFA Santa Cruz
Costa Rica Segunda
1-1 1-1 46 D
04/04 FC Aserri
Costa Rica Segunda
5-0 8-0 50 W
30/03 Futbol Consultants Desamparados
Costa Rica Segunda
0-0 1-0 62 W
26/03 CS Uruguay de Coronado
Costa Rica Segunda
0-0 2-0 104 W
24/03 Pitbulls Santa Barbara
Costa Rica Segunda
0-1 1-1 57 D
17/03 Cariari Pococi
Costa Rica Segunda
2-0 4-1 106 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Alajuelense vs Escorpiones de Belen FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Alajuelense win (59%). Probabilities: Alajuelense 59%, draw 23%, Escorpiones de Belen FC 18%.

How many goals are expected in Alajuelense vs Escorpiones de Belen FC?

The model expects 2.6 goals (Alajuelense 1.75 · Escorpiones de Belen FC 0.85), with a 55% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Alajuelense vs Escorpiones de Belen FC?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.