Football · Costa Rica Primera Division · 03/08, 00:00
Prediction: Deportivo Saprissa vs AD San Carlos
Team pages: Deportivo Saprissa · AD San Carlos
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.2Total
Deportivo Saprissa2.35
AD San Carlos0.85
1X2
Deportivo Saprissa
Draw
AD San Carlos
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 60%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
2-0
Recent form · 10 last
Deportivo Saprissa
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
AD San Carlos
1-2-7 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Deportivo Saprissa
6–0
AD San Carlos
(6 last)
- AD San Carlos1-3Deportivo Saprissa
- Deportivo Saprissa2-1AD San Carlos
- AD San Carlos0-2Deportivo Saprissa
- Deportivo Saprissa2-0AD San Carlos
- Deportivo Saprissa3-0AD San Carlos
- AD San Carlos0-1Deportivo Saprissa
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Deportivo Saprissa 1616 · AD San Carlos 1408
| Deportivo Saprissa | Draw | AD San Carlos | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 70% | 19% | 11% |
| Market | 70% | 19% | 11% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.2 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Deportivo Saprissa (rating 1616 vs 1408).
- H2H favours Deportivo Saprissa: 6-0-0.
- Cards-heavy: 9.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Deportivo Saprissa | AD San Carlos | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.1 / 0.9 | 0.8 / 1.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.4 | 0.6 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/30/20% | 11/56/33% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.9 / 5.3 | 1.9 / 4.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.4 / 0.4 | 4.8 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Deportivo Saprissa 6–0–0 AD San Carlos
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/03/26 Costa Rica Primera Division | AD San Carlos | 1-3 HT 0-1 | Deportivo Saprissa |
| 08/02/26 Costa Rica Primera Division | Deportivo Saprissa | 2-1 HT 2-1 | AD San Carlos |
| 16/10/25 Costa Rica Primera Division | AD San Carlos | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Deportivo Saprissa |
| 02/08/25 Costa Rica Primera Division | Deportivo Saprissa | 2-0 HT 1-0 | AD San Carlos |
| 09/03/25 Costa Rica Primera Division | Deportivo Saprissa | 3-0 HT 1-0 | AD San Carlos |
| 12/01/25 Costa Rica Primera Division | AD San Carlos | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Deportivo Saprissa |
Standings · Costa Rica Primera Division
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deportivo Saprissa | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Escorpiones de Belen FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Cartagines | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | Herediano | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 4 | Alajuelense | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 4 | Puntarenas | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 4 | Sporting San Jose | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 8 | Inter San Carlos | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 9 | AD San Carlos | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 | Municipal Perez Zeledon | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Deportivo Saprissa | AD San Carlos |
|---|---|---|
| Municipal Perez Zeledon | 5-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Herediano | 0-1 L | 0-1 L |
| Municipal Liberia | 2-0 W | 1-5 L |
| Puntarenas | 3-1 W | 0-0 D |
| Guadalupe FC | 5-0 W | 4-0 W |
| Alajuelense | 1-1 D | 0-2 L |
| Record vs common | 4 W 1 D 1 L | 1 W 2 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Deportivo Saprissa (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Deportivo Saprissa
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/07 | UMECIT CONCACAF Central American Cup |
1-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 25/07 | Municipal Perez Zeledon Costa Rica Primera Division |
0-0 | 5-1 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 18/07 | Herediano Costa Rica Super Cup |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 17/05 | Herediano Costa Rica Primera Division |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 14/05 | Herediano Costa Rica Primera Division |
2-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 11/05 | Municipal Liberia Costa Rica Primera Division |
1-0 | 2-0 | 10 | 8 | W |
| 04/05 | Municipal Liberia Costa Rica Primera Division |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 27/04 | Puntarenas Costa Rica Primera Division |
1-0 | 3-1 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 23/04 | Guadalupe FC Costa Rica Primera Division |
1-0 | 5-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 20/04 | Alajuelense Costa Rica Primera Division |
1-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 6 | D |
AD San Carlos
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/07 | Escorpiones de Belen FC Costa Rica Primera Division |
– | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 25/04 | Municipal Perez Zeledon Costa Rica Primera Division |
1-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 7 | D |
| 22/04 | Cartagines Costa Rica Primera Division |
1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 6 | L |
| 19/04 | Herediano Costa Rica Primera Division |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 13/04 | Guadalupe FC Costa Rica Primera Division |
2-0 | 4-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 07/04 | Municipal Liberia Costa Rica Primera Division |
1-3 | 1-5 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 23/03 | Deportivo Saprissa Costa Rica Primera Division |
0-1 | 1-3 | 8 | 5 | L |
| 15/03 | Sporting San Jose Costa Rica Primera Division |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 08/03 | Alajuelense Costa Rica Primera Division |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 05/03 | Puntarenas Costa Rica Primera Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Deportivo Saprissa vs AD San Carlos?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Deportivo Saprissa win (70%). Probabilities: Deportivo Saprissa 70%, draw 19%, AD San Carlos 11%.
How many goals are expected in Deportivo Saprissa vs AD San Carlos?
The model expects 3.2 goals (Deportivo Saprissa 2.35 · AD San Carlos 0.85), with a 54% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Deportivo Saprissa vs AD San Carlos?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.