Football · Costa Rica Primera Division · 04/08, 04:00
Prediction: Municipal Perez Zeledon vs Cartagines
Team pages: Municipal Perez Zeledon · Cartagines
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.76Total
Municipal Perez Zeledon1.13
Cartagines1.63
1X2
Municipal Perez Zeledon
Draw
Cartagines
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Municipal Perez Zeledon
1-3-6 (W-D-L)
Cartagines
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Municipal Perez Zeledon
1–1–4
Cartagines
(6 last)
- Municipal Perez Zeledon3-1Cartagines
- Cartagines1-0Municipal Perez Zeledon
- Municipal Perez Zeledon1-3Cartagines
- Cartagines1-1Municipal Perez Zeledon
- Cartagines3-0Municipal Perez Zeledon
- Municipal Perez Zeledon0-1Cartagines
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Municipal Perez Zeledon 1429 · Cartagines 1533
| Municipal Perez Zeledon | Draw | Cartagines | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 25% | 27% | 48% |
| Market | 24% | 28% | 47% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.76 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Cartagines (rating 1429 vs 1533).
- H2H favours Cartagines: 4-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 10.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Municipal Perez Zeledon | Cartagines | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 2.3 | 1.6 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.7 | 0.8 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/80/20% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 3.3 | 1.9 / 5.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.1 / 0.2 | 5.2 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Municipal Perez Zeledon 1–1–4 Cartagines
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/03/26 Costa Rica Primera Division | Municipal Perez Zeledon | 3-1 HT 0-1 | Cartagines |
| 08/02/26 Costa Rica Primera Division | Cartagines | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Municipal Perez Zeledon |
| 25/11/25 Costa Rica Primera Division | Municipal Perez Zeledon | 1-3 HT 1-2 | Cartagines |
| 19/09/25 Costa Rica Primera Division | Cartagines | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Municipal Perez Zeledon |
| 13/04/25 Costa Rica Primera Division | Cartagines | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Municipal Perez Zeledon |
| 24/02/25 Costa Rica Primera Division | Municipal Perez Zeledon | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Cartagines |
Standings · Costa Rica Primera Division
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deportivo Saprissa | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Escorpiones de Belen FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Cartagines | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | Herediano | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 4 | Alajuelense | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 4 | Puntarenas | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 4 | Sporting San Jose | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 8 | Inter San Carlos | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 9 | AD San Carlos | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 | Municipal Perez Zeledon | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Municipal Perez Zeledon | Cartagines |
|---|---|---|
| AD San Carlos | 1-1 D | 2-1 W |
| Herediano | 0-1 L | 0-0 D |
| Guadalupe FC | 0-1 L | 5-0 W |
| Sporting San Jose | 2-3 L | 3-2 W |
| Municipal Liberia | 1-1 D | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 0 W 2 D 3 L | 3 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Cartagines (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Municipal Perez Zeledon
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07 | Deportivo Saprissa Costa Rica Primera Division |
0-0 | 1-5 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 25/04 | AD San Carlos Costa Rica Primera Division |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 7 | D |
| 23/04 | Herediano Costa Rica Primera Division |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 19/04 | Guadalupe FC Costa Rica Primera Division |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 12/04 | Puntarenas Costa Rica Primera Division |
2-2 | 3-3 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 05/04 | Deportivo Saprissa Costa Rica Primera Division |
0-0 | 0-4 | 2 | 8 | L |
| 22/03 | Cartagines Costa Rica Primera Division |
0-1 | 3-1 | 7 | 6 | W |
| 14/03 | Alajuelense Costa Rica Primera Division |
0-1 | 0-3 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 10/03 | Sporting San Jose Costa Rica Primera Division |
1-1 | 2-3 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 04/03 | Municipal Liberia Costa Rica Primera Division |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | D |
Cartagines
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/07 | CSD Municipal CONCACAF Central American Cup |
1-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 2 | D |
| 26/07 | Inter San Carlos Costa Rica Primera Division |
1-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 10/05 | Herediano Costa Rica Primera Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 03/05 | Herediano Costa Rica Primera Division |
0-1 | 0-1 | 10 | 9 | L |
| 27/04 | Guadalupe FC Costa Rica Primera Division |
2-0 | 5-0 | 8 | 1 | W |
| 22/04 | AD San Carlos Costa Rica Primera Division |
1-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 18/04 | Municipal Liberia Costa Rica Primera Division |
0-1 | 0-1 | 10 | 7 | L |
| 11/04 | Herediano Costa Rica Primera Division |
1-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 03/04 | Sporting San Jose Costa Rica Primera Division |
1-1 | 3-2 | 3 | 8 | W |
| 22/03 | Municipal Perez Zeledon Costa Rica Primera Division |
1-0 | 1-3 | 2 | 6 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Municipal Perez Zeledon vs Cartagines?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Cartagines win (48%). Probabilities: Municipal Perez Zeledon 25%, draw 28%, Cartagines 48%.
How many goals are expected in Municipal Perez Zeledon vs Cartagines?
The model expects 2.76 goals (Municipal Perez Zeledon 1.13 · Cartagines 1.63), with a 55% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Municipal Perez Zeledon vs Cartagines?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.