Prediction: Inter San Carlos vs Herediano

Team pages: Inter San Carlos · Herediano

Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.9Total
Inter San Carlos0.71
Herediano1.19
1X2
22% 30% 48%
Inter San Carlos Draw Herediano
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 58% Not both to score 54%
Most likely score
0-1
Recent form · 10 last
Inter San Carlos 5-3-2 (W-D-L)
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Herediano 6-3-1 (W-D-L)
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Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Inter San Carlos 1543 · Herediano 1593
Inter San CarlosDrawHerediano
Our model21%33%46%
Market24%27%49%
Estimated total (ours) 1.9 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · -0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 69%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Herediano (rating 1543 vs 1593).
  • Cards-heavy: 10.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Inter San CarlosHerediano
Goals for / against (FT)1.3 / 0.70.9 / 0.3
Goals for / against (HT)0.4 / 0.20.4 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/60/10%20/70/10%
Corners (HT / FT)2.5 / 4.82.3 / 4.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)5.6 / 0.64.6 / 0.2

Standings · Costa Rica Primera Division

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Deportivo Saprissa 1100 513
2 Escorpiones de Belen FC 1100 303
3 Cartagines 1100 313
4 Herediano 1010 111
4 Alajuelense 1010 111
4 Puntarenas 1010 111
4 Sporting San Jose 1010 111
8 Inter San Carlos 1001 130
9 AD San Carlos 1001 030
10 Municipal Perez Zeledon 1001 150

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Inter San Carlos

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
26/07 Cartagines
Costa Rica Primera Division
0-1 1-3 43 L
24/05 ADR Jicaral
Costa Rica Segunda
0-0 0-0 312 D
18/05 ADR Jicaral
Costa Rica Segunda
0-0 1-0 65 W
12/05 Escorpiones de Belen FC
Costa Rica Segunda
0-0 0-0 111 D
05/05 Escorpiones de Belen FC
Costa Rica Segunda
0-0 0-0 35 D
28/04 Pitbulls Santa Barbara
Costa Rica Segunda
1-0 2-0 77 W
21/04 Pitbulls Santa Barbara
Costa Rica Segunda
1-0 2-1 56 W
05/04 AD Cofutpa
Costa Rica Segunda
0-0 3-0 93 W
31/03 AD Grecia
Costa Rica Segunda
1-0 3-1 65 W
25/03 ADR Jicaral
Costa Rica Segunda
1-1 1-2 45 L

Herediano

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
24/07 Puntarenas
Costa Rica Primera Division
1-1 1-1 22 D
18/07 Deportivo Saprissa
Costa Rica Super Cup
1-0 1-0 66 W
13/07 Alajuelense
Costa Rica Super Cup
0-0 1-0 13 W
17/05 Deportivo Saprissa
Costa Rica Primera Division
0-0 2-0 66 W
14/05 Deportivo Saprissa
Costa Rica Primera Division
1-2 1-2 63 L
10/05 Cartagines
Costa Rica Primera Division
0-0 0-0 66 D
03/05 Cartagines
Costa Rica Primera Division
1-0 1-0 19 W
26/04 Sporting San Jose
Costa Rica Primera Division
0-0 0-0 63 D
23/04 Municipal Perez Zeledon
Costa Rica Primera Division
0-0 1-0 94 W
19/04 AD San Carlos
Costa Rica Primera Division
0-0 1-0 56 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Inter San Carlos vs Herediano?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Herediano win (48%). Probabilities: Inter San Carlos 22%, draw 30%, Herediano 48%.

How many goals are expected in Inter San Carlos vs Herediano?

The model expects 1.9 goals (Inter San Carlos 0.71 · Herediano 1.19), with a 55% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Inter San Carlos vs Herediano?

The model gives a 54% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-1.