Football · Costa Rica Primera Division · 26/07, 01:00
Prediction: Cartagines vs Inter San Carlos
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.49Total
Cartagines1.65
Inter San Carlos0.84
1X2
Cartagines
Draw
Inter San Carlos
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Cartagines
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
Inter San Carlos
5-4-1 (W-D-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Cartagines 1517 · Inter San Carlos 1559
| Cartagines | Draw | Inter San Carlos | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 27% | 18% |
| Market | 56% | 26% | 18% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.49 goals · Bet365 line 2.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 58%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Inter San Carlos (rating 1517 vs 1559).
- High corners: 10.5 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 12 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Cartagines | Inter San Carlos | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 1.3 | 1.3 / 0.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.6 | 0.4 / 0.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 33/67/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 5.6 | 2.7 / 4.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 6.1 / 0.4 | 5.9 / 0.7 |
Standings · Costa Rica Primera Division
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AD San Carlos | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Escorpiones de Belen FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Cartagines | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Herediano | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Deportivo Saprissa | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Inter San Carlos | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Alajuelense | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Municipal Perez Zeledon | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Puntarenas | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Sporting San Jose | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Cartagines
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/05 | Herediano Costa Rica Primera Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 03/05 | Herediano Costa Rica Primera Division |
0-1 | 0-1 | 10 | 9 | L |
| 27/04 | Guadalupe FC Costa Rica Primera Division |
2-0 | 5-0 | 8 | 1 | W |
| 22/04 | AD San Carlos Costa Rica Primera Division |
1-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 18/04 | Municipal Liberia Costa Rica Primera Division |
0-1 | 0-1 | 10 | 7 | L |
| 11/04 | Herediano Costa Rica Primera Division |
1-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 03/04 | Sporting San Jose Costa Rica Primera Division |
1-1 | 3-2 | 3 | 8 | W |
| 22/03 | Municipal Perez Zeledon Costa Rica Primera Division |
1-0 | 1-3 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 15/03 | Deportivo Saprissa Costa Rica Primera Division |
0-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 9 | W |
| 08/03 | Puntarenas Costa Rica Primera Division |
1-0 | 3-2 | 3 | 7 | W |
Inter San Carlos
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/05 | ADR Jicaral Costa Rica Segunda |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 12 | D |
| 18/05 | ADR Jicaral Costa Rica Segunda |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 12/05 | Escorpiones de Belen FC Costa Rica Segunda |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 11 | D |
| 05/05 | Escorpiones de Belen FC Costa Rica Segunda |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 28/04 | Pitbulls Santa Barbara Costa Rica Segunda |
1-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 7 | W |
| 21/04 | Pitbulls Santa Barbara Costa Rica Segunda |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 05/04 | AD Cofutpa Costa Rica Segunda |
0-0 | 3-0 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 31/03 | AD Grecia Costa Rica Segunda |
1-0 | 3-1 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 25/03 | ADR Jicaral Costa Rica Segunda |
1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 15/03 | PFA Santa Cruz Costa Rica Segunda |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Cartagines vs Inter San Carlos?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Cartagines win (56%). Probabilities: Cartagines 56%, draw 27%, Inter San Carlos 18%.
How many goals are expected in Cartagines vs Inter San Carlos?
The model expects 2.49 goals (Cartagines 1.65 · Inter San Carlos 0.84), with a 53% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Cartagines vs Inter San Carlos?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.