Prediction: Cesena vs Mantova
- Mantova3-0Cesena
- Cesena3-2Mantova
- Mantova1-2Cesena
- Mantova3-0Cesena
- Cesena4-2Mantova
- Mantova1-2Cesena
| Cesena | Draw | Mantova | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 28% | 33% |
| Market | 38% | 30% | 32% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mantova (rating 1508 vs 1569).
- H2H favours Cesena: 4-0-2.
- Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Cesena | Mantova | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 1.5 | 1.8 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.8 | 0.7 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 50/30/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 4.8 | 1.7 / 3.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.6 / 0.1 | 4.5 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Cesena 4–0–2 Mantova
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/03/26 Italy Serie B | Mantova | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Cesena |
| 13/12/25 Italy Serie B | Cesena | 3-2 HT 1-2 | Mantova |
| 02/08/25 Europe Friendlies | Mantova | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Cesena |
| 01/05/25 Italy Serie B | Mantova | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Cesena |
| 29/09/24 Italy Serie B | Cesena | 4-2 HT 3-0 | Mantova |
| 05/05/24 Italy Serie C Super Cup | Mantova | 1-2 HT 0-0 | Cesena |
Standings · Italy Serie B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Modena | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 6 |
| 2 | Mantova | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 6 |
| 3 | Palermo | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| 4 | Ascoli | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 4 | Cesena | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 6 | Padova | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 6 | Sudtirol | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 8 | Avellino | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
| 9 | Arezzo | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
| 10 | Pisa | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| 11 | Empoli | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
| 12 | Vicenza | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 3 |
| 13 | Juve Stabia | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 14 | Benevento | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
| 14 | Carrarese | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
| 14 | Verona | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
| 14 | Sampdoria | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
| 18 | Catanzaro | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 | Virtus Entella | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 | Cremonese | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Cesena | Mantova |
|---|---|---|
| Virtus Entella | 2-1 W | 1-0 W |
| Carrarese | 0-0 D | 2-1 W |
| Sudtirol | 1-1 D | 3-0 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 0 L | 3 W 0 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Mantova (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Cesena
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08 | Virtus Entella Italy Serie B |
2-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 23/08 | Sampdoria Italy Serie B |
1-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 08/05 | Padova Italy Serie B |
3-3 | 3-4 | 11 | 6 | L |
| 01/05 | Carrarese Italy Serie B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 25/04 | Sampdoria Italy Serie B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 18/04 | Palermo Italy Serie B |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 11/04 | Juve Stabia Italy Serie B |
0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 06/04 | Sudtirol Italy Serie B |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 21/03 | Catanzaro Italy Serie B |
0-1 | 3-1 | 7 | 6 | W |
| 17/03 | Mantova Italy Serie B |
0-1 | 0-3 | 3 | 4 | L |
Mantova
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08 | Empoli Italy Serie B |
0-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 8 | W |
| 22/08 | Carrarese Italy Serie B |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 08/05 | Frosinone Italy Serie B |
0-2 | 0-5 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 01/05 | Monza Italy Serie B |
2-0 | 3-2 | 0 | 5 | W |
| 25/04 | Sudtirol Italy Serie B |
2-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 18/04 | Avellino Italy Serie B |
0-0 | 0-2 | 10 | 1 | L |
| 12/04 | Spezia Italy Serie B |
1-0 | 2-0 | 0 | 5 | W |
| 06/04 | Virtus Entella Italy Serie B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 21/03 | Modena Italy Serie B |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 17/03 | Cesena Italy Serie B |
1-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Cesena vs Mantova?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Cesena win (38%). Probabilities: Cesena 38%, draw 29%, Mantova 33%.
How many goals are expected in Cesena vs Mantova?
The model expects 2.68 goals (Cesena 1.4 · Mantova 1.28), with a 52% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Cesena vs Mantova?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.