Prediction: Mantova vs Sampdoria
Team pages: Mantova · Sampdoria
- Mantova2-1Sampdoria
- Sampdoria0-1Mantova
- Mantova2-2Sampdoria
- Sampdoria1-0Mantova
| Mantova | Draw | Sampdoria | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 29% | 27% |
| Market | 43% | 31% | 26% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mantova (rating 1568 vs 1467).
- H2H favours Mantova: 2-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 8.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Mantova | Sampdoria | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 1.4 | 0.8 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.3 | 0.2 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/30/20% | 20/50/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 3.3 | 2.8 / 5.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.2 / 0 | 4.3 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Mantova 2–1–1 Sampdoria
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/02/26 Italy Serie B | Mantova | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Sampdoria |
| 02/11/25 Italy Serie B | Sampdoria | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Mantova |
| 25/01/25 Italy Serie B | Mantova | 2-2 HT 0-2 | Sampdoria |
| 27/10/24 Italy Serie B | Sampdoria | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Mantova |
Standings · Italy Serie B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mantova | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Sudtirol | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 7 |
| 3 | Ascoli | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 7 |
| 4 | Modena | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 6 |
| 4 | Pisa | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 6 |
| 4 | Avellino | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 6 |
| 7 | Palermo | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| 8 | Empoli | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| 9 | Cesena | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 5 |
| 10 | Verona | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 4 |
| 11 | Padova | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 4 |
| 12 | Vicenza | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 4 |
| 13 | Cremonese | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 3 |
| 14 | Arezzo | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 3 |
| 15 | Sampdoria | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
| 16 | Virtus Entella | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 1 |
| 17 | Benevento | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 1 |
| 17 | Carrarese | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 1 |
| 19 | Juve Stabia | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 1 |
| 20 | Catanzaro | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 0 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Mantova | Sampdoria |
|---|---|---|
| Cesena | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| Empoli | 3-1 W | 1-0 W |
| Carrarese | 2-1 W | 0-2 L |
| Monza | 3-2 W | 0-3 L |
| Sudtirol | 3-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Avellino | 0-2 L | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 4 W 1 D 1 L | 3 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Mantova (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mantova
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09 | Cesena Italy Serie B |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | D |
| 30/08 | Empoli Italy Serie B |
0-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 8 | W |
| 22/08 | Carrarese Italy Serie B |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 08/05 | Frosinone Italy Serie B |
0-2 | 0-5 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 01/05 | Monza Italy Serie B |
2-0 | 3-2 | 0 | 5 | W |
| 25/04 | Sudtirol Italy Serie B |
2-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 18/04 | Avellino Italy Serie B |
0-0 | 0-2 | 10 | 1 | L |
| 12/04 | Spezia Italy Serie B |
1-0 | 2-0 | 0 | 5 | W |
| 06/04 | Virtus Entella Italy Serie B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 21/03 | Modena Italy Serie B |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
Sampdoria
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08 | Juve Stabia Italy Serie B |
1-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 23/08 | Cesena Italy Serie B |
0-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 08/05 | AC Reggiana Italy Serie B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 3 | L |
| 01/05 | Sudtirol Italy Serie B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 25/04 | Cesena Italy Serie B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 17/04 | Monza Italy Serie B |
0-2 | 0-3 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 11/04 | Pescara Italy Serie B |
0-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 06/04 | Empoli Italy Serie B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 22/03 | Avellino Italy Serie B |
0-0 | 2-1 | 9 | 7 | W |
| 18/03 | Carrarese Italy Serie B |
0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 5 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mantova vs Sampdoria?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Mantova win (44%). Probabilities: Mantova 44%, draw 30%, Sampdoria 26%.
How many goals are expected in Mantova vs Sampdoria?
The model expects 2.49 goals (Mantova 1.43 · Sampdoria 1.06), with a 52% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Mantova vs Sampdoria?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.