Prediction: Palermo vs Sampdoria
Team pages: Palermo · Sampdoria
- Sampdoria3-3Palermo
- Palermo1-0Sampdoria
- Sampdoria1-1Palermo
- Palermo1-1Sampdoria
- Palermo2-0Sampdoria
- Palermo2-2Sampdoria
| Palermo | Draw | Sampdoria | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 29% | 21% |
| Market | 50% | 29% | 21% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Palermo (rating 1560 vs 1482).
- H2H favours Palermo: 2-4-0.
- Cards-heavy: 8.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Palermo | Sampdoria | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 1.1 | 0.8 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.6 | 0.2 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/30/20% | 20/50/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 4.2 | 2.8 / 5.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.9 / 0.4 | 4.3 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Palermo 2–4–0 Sampdoria
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/02/26 Italy Serie B | Sampdoria | 3-3 HT 0-1 | Palermo |
| 12/12/25 Italy Serie B | Palermo | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Sampdoria |
| 08/03/25 Italy Serie B | Sampdoria | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Palermo |
| 24/11/24 Italy Serie B | Palermo | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Sampdoria |
| 17/05/24 Italy Serie B | Palermo | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Sampdoria |
| 06/04/24 Italy Serie B | Palermo | 2-2 HT 2-1 | Sampdoria |
Standings · Italy Serie B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Modena | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 6 |
| 2 | Mantova | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 6 |
| 3 | Palermo | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| 4 | Ascoli | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 4 | Cesena | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 6 | Padova | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 6 | Sudtirol | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 8 | Avellino | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
| 9 | Arezzo | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
| 10 | Pisa | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| 11 | Empoli | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
| 12 | Vicenza | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 3 |
| 13 | Juve Stabia | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 14 | Benevento | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
| 14 | Carrarese | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
| 14 | Verona | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
| 14 | Sampdoria | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
| 18 | Catanzaro | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 | Virtus Entella | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 | Cremonese | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Palermo | Sampdoria |
|---|---|---|
| Juve Stabia | 1-0 W | 1-2 L |
| AC Reggiana | 1-1 D | 0-1 L |
| Cesena | 2-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Avellino | 2-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 1 D 0 L | 1 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Palermo (4 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Palermo
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08 | Arezzo Italy Serie B |
1-0 | 3-2 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 23/08 | Juve Stabia Italy Serie B |
1-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 20/05 | Catanzaro Italy Serie B |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 8 | W |
| 17/05 | Catanzaro Italy Serie B |
0-3 | 0-3 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 08/05 | Venezia Italy Serie B |
0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 01/05 | Catanzaro Italy Serie B |
1-2 | 3-2 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 25/04 | AC Reggiana Italy Serie B |
1-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 18/04 | Cesena Italy Serie B |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 10/04 | Frosinone Italy Serie B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 6 | D |
| 05/04 | Avellino Italy Serie B |
1-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 5 | W |
Sampdoria
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08 | Juve Stabia Italy Serie B |
1-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 23/08 | Cesena Italy Serie B |
0-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 08/05 | AC Reggiana Italy Serie B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 3 | L |
| 01/05 | Sudtirol Italy Serie B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 25/04 | Cesena Italy Serie B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 17/04 | Monza Italy Serie B |
0-2 | 0-3 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 11/04 | Pescara Italy Serie B |
0-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 06/04 | Empoli Italy Serie B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 22/03 | Avellino Italy Serie B |
0-0 | 2-1 | 9 | 7 | W |
| 18/03 | Carrarese Italy Serie B |
0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 5 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Palermo vs Sampdoria?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Palermo win (50%). Probabilities: Palermo 50%, draw 29%, Sampdoria 21%.
How many goals are expected in Palermo vs Sampdoria?
The model expects 2.35 goals (Palermo 1.47 · Sampdoria 0.88), with a 51% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Palermo vs Sampdoria?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.