Football · Italy Serie B · 06/09, 15:00
Prediction: Modena vs Avellino
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.17Total
Modena1.79
Avellino1.38
1X2
Modena
Draw
Avellino
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 61%
Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Modena
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Avellino
4-1-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Modena
0–2–4
Avellino
(6 last)
- Avellino1-0Modena
- Modena1-1Avellino
- Modena1-1Avellino
- Avellino2-0Modena
- Avellino1-0Modena
- Modena1-2Avellino
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Avellino: 4-2-0.
- Cards-heavy: 7.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Modena | Avellino | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1.3 | 1.1 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.7 | 0.4 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/10/50% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.5 / 3.7 | 1.5 / 3.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.7 / 0.1 | 4.1 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Modena 0–2–4 Avellino
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/05/26 Italy Serie B | Avellino | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Modena |
| 31/08/25 Italy Serie B | Modena | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Avellino |
| 23/01/16 Italy Serie B | Modena | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Avellino |
| 12/09/15 Italy Serie B | Avellino | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Modena |
| 02/04/15 Italy Serie B | Avellino | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Modena |
| 08/11/14 Italy Serie B | Modena | 1-2 HT 0-2 | Avellino |
Standings · Italy Serie B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Modena | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 6 |
| 2 | Mantova | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 6 |
| 3 | Palermo | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| 4 | Ascoli | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 4 | Cesena | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 6 | Padova | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 6 | Sudtirol | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 8 | Avellino | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
| 9 | Arezzo | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
| 10 | Pisa | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| 11 | Empoli | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
| 12 | Vicenza | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 3 |
| 13 | Juve Stabia | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 14 | Benevento | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
| 14 | Carrarese | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
| 14 | Verona | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
| 14 | Sampdoria | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
| 18 | Catanzaro | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 | Virtus Entella | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 | Cremonese | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Modena | Avellino |
|---|---|---|
| Catanzaro | 2-2 D | 0-3 L |
| Bari | 1-3 L | 2-0 W |
| Record vs common | 0 W 1 D 1 L | 1 W 0 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Modena
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/08 | Cremonese Italy Serie B |
2-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 22/08 | Benevento Italy Serie B |
0-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 12/05 | Juve Stabia Italy Serie B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 08/05 | Avellino Italy Serie B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 0 | 2 | L |
| 01/05 | AC Reggiana Italy Serie B |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 24/04 | Monza Italy Serie B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 18/04 | Frosinone Italy Serie B |
1-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 14/04 | Catanzaro Italy Serie B |
1-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 11/04 | Sudtirol Italy Serie B |
1-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 2 | D |
| 06/04 | Bari Italy Serie B |
0-2 | 1-3 | 7 | 4 | L |
Avellino
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08 | Vicenza Italy Serie B |
2-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 22/08 | Arezzo Italy Serie B |
1-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 12/05 | Catanzaro Italy Serie B |
0-1 | 0-3 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 08/05 | Modena Italy Serie B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 01/05 | Empoli Italy Serie B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 24/04 | Bari Italy Serie B |
0-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 18/04 | Mantova Italy Serie B |
0-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 11/04 | Catanzaro Italy Serie B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 8 | D |
| 05/04 | Palermo Italy Serie B |
0-1 | 0-2 | 0 | 5 | L |
| 22/03 | Sampdoria Italy Serie B |
0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 7 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Modena vs Avellino?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Modena win (46%). Probabilities: Modena 46%, draw 25%, Avellino 29%.
How many goals are expected in Modena vs Avellino?
The model expects 3.17 goals (Modena 1.79 · Avellino 1.38), with a 59% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Modena vs Avellino?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.