Football · Italy Serie B · 30/08, 19:00
Prediction: Mantova vs Empoli
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.35Total
Mantova1.49
Empoli0.86
1X2
Mantova
Draw
Empoli
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 58%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Mantova
6-1-3 (W-D-L)
Empoli
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Mantova
0–1–1
Empoli
(2 last)
- Empoli2-2Mantova
- Mantova0-1Empoli
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 58%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mantova (rating 1562 vs 1522).
- Cards-heavy: 8.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Mantova | Empoli | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 1.4 | 1.2 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.3 | 0.4 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/20/20% | 20/60/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.7 / 3.5 | 2.3 / 4.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.2 / 0 | 4.1 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Mantova 0–1–1 Empoli
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/03/26 Italy Serie B | Empoli | 2-2 HT 0-2 | Mantova |
| 21/12/25 Italy Serie B | Mantova | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Empoli |
Standings · Italy Serie B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vicenza | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 2 | Ascoli | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Mantova | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Modena | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Arezzo | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | Padova | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 6 | Empoli | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 6 | Sudtirol | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 6 | Palermo | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 10 | Cesena | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 10 | Sampdoria | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 12 | Catanzaro | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 | Benevento | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 | Carrarese | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 | Verona | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 | Avellino | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 | Pisa | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 | Cremonese | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 | Virtus Entella | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 | Juve Stabia | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -2 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Mantova | Empoli |
|---|---|---|
| Monza | 3-2 W | 2-2 D |
| Avellino | 0-2 L | 1-0 W |
| Spezia | 2-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Virtus Entella | 1-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 3 W 0 D 1 L | 1 W 3 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Mantova (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mantova
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08 | Carrarese Italy Serie B |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 08/05 | Frosinone Italy Serie B |
0-2 | 0-5 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 01/05 | Monza Italy Serie B |
2-0 | 3-2 | 0 | 5 | W |
| 25/04 | Sudtirol Italy Serie B |
2-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 18/04 | Avellino Italy Serie B |
0-0 | 0-2 | 10 | 1 | L |
| 12/04 | Spezia Italy Serie B |
1-0 | 2-0 | 0 | 5 | W |
| 06/04 | Virtus Entella Italy Serie B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 21/03 | Modena Italy Serie B |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 17/03 | Cesena Italy Serie B |
1-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 14/03 | Empoli Italy Serie B |
2-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | D |
Empoli
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08 | Cremonese Italy Serie B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 08/05 | Monza Italy Serie B |
1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 01/05 | Avellino Italy Serie B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 25/04 | Venezia Italy Serie B |
0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 19/04 | Virtus Entella Italy Serie B |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 12/04 | Padova Italy Serie B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 06/04 | Sampdoria Italy Serie B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 22/03 | Pescara Italy Serie B |
2-1 | 4-2 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 17/03 | Spezia Italy Serie B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 6 | D |
| 14/03 | Mantova Italy Serie B |
0-2 | 2-2 | 9 | 5 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mantova vs Empoli?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Mantova win (51%). Probabilities: Mantova 51%, draw 29%, Empoli 20%.
How many goals are expected in Mantova vs Empoli?
The model expects 2.35 goals (Mantova 1.49 · Empoli 0.86), with a 50% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Mantova vs Empoli?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.