Football · Italy Serie B · 05/09, 19:30

Prediction: Carrarese vs Empoli

Team pages: Carrarese · Empoli

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.33Total
Carrarese1.18
Empoli1.16
1X2
35% 30% 34%
Carrarese Draw Empoli
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 59% Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1 15%
Recent form · 10 last
Carrarese 3-3-4 (W-D-L)
WWWLDLDLLD
Empoli 3-3-4 (W-D-L)
DWLLDLWDWL
Head-to-head
Carrarese 1–1–0 Empoli (2 last)
  • Carrarese3-0Empoli
  • Empoli2-2Carrarese
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Carrarese 1489 · Empoli 1491
CarrareseDrawEmpoli
Our model35%31%34%
Market36%29%35%
Estimated total (ours) 2.33 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 65%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 8.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

CarrareseEmpoli
Goals for / against (FT)1.3 / 1.31.1 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)0.3 / 0.50.4 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)10/60/30%20/70/10%
Corners (HT / FT)2.6 / 62.4 / 4.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.9 / 0.54.4 / 0.3

Head-to-head (H2H) · Carrarese 110 Empoli

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DateHomeScoreAway
23/01/26
Italy Serie B
Carrarese3-0
HT 1-0
Empoli
28/09/25
Italy Serie B
Empoli2-2
HT 1-1
Carrarese

Standings · Italy Serie B

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Modena 2200 516
2 Mantova 2200 526
3 Palermo 2200 426
4 Ascoli 2110 324
4 Cesena 2110 324
6 Padova 2110 214
6 Sudtirol 2110 214
8 Avellino 2101 423
9 Arezzo 2101 443
10 Pisa 2101 223
11 Empoli 2101 233
12 Vicenza 2101 353
13 Juve Stabia 2101 221
14 Benevento 2011 231
14 Carrarese 2011 231
14 Verona 2011 231
14 Sampdoria 2011 231
18 Catanzaro 2002 350
19 Virtus Entella 2002 130
20 Cremonese 2002 040

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentCarrareseEmpoli
Mantova 1-2 L 1-3 L
Virtus Entella 1-2 L 1-1 D
Pescara 2-2 D 4-2 W
Spezia 3-1 W 1-1 D
Sampdoria 2-0 W 0-1 L
Record vs common 2 W 1 D 2 L 1 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Carrarese (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Carrarese

WWWLDLDLLD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
29/08 Ascoli
Italy Serie B
0-0 1-1 97 D
22/08 Mantova
Italy Serie B
0-1 1-2 22 L
08/05 Virtus Entella
Italy Serie B
0-1 1-2 55 L
01/05 Cesena
Italy Serie B
0-0 0-0 103 D
25/04 Frosinone
Italy Serie B
0-0 0-3 85 L
19/04 Pescara
Italy Serie B
1-1 2-2 62 D
12/04 AC Reggiana
Italy Serie B
0-2 0-2 84 L
06/04 Spezia
Italy Serie B
2-0 3-1 29 W
22/03 Bari
Italy Serie B
0-0 3-0 62 W
18/03 Sampdoria
Italy Serie B
0-0 2-0 45 W

Empoli

DWLLDLWDWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
30/08 Mantova
Italy Serie B
0-0 1-3 68 L
22/08 Cremonese
Italy Serie B
1-0 1-0 25 W
08/05 Monza
Italy Serie B
1-1 2-2 45 D
01/05 Avellino
Italy Serie B
0-0 1-0 45 W
25/04 Venezia
Italy Serie B
0-0 0-2 62 L
19/04 Virtus Entella
Italy Serie B
0-1 1-1 64 D
12/04 Padova
Italy Serie B
0-0 0-1 43 L
06/04 Sampdoria
Italy Serie B
0-0 0-1 44 L
22/03 Pescara
Italy Serie B
2-1 4-2 65 W
17/03 Spezia
Italy Serie B
0-0 1-1 16 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Carrarese vs Empoli?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Carrarese win (35%). Probabilities: Carrarese 35%, draw 30%, Empoli 34%.

How many goals are expected in Carrarese vs Empoli?

The model expects 2.33 goals (Carrarese 1.18 · Empoli 1.16), with a 51% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Carrarese vs Empoli?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.