Football · Finland Kakkonen Group A · 25/07, 18:15

Prediction: Kiffen vs HIFK 2

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.43Total

Kiffen1.76

HIFK 21.66

1X2

40% 24% 36%

Kiffen Draw HIFK 2

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Kiffen 8-1-1 (W-D-L)

LDWWWWWWWW

HIFK 2 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

LDLWLWWWDL

Head-to-head

Kiffen 0–3–0 HIFK 2 (3 last)

HIFK 23-3Kiffen
Kiffen0-0HIFK 2
HIFK 20-0Kiffen

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Kiffen 1597 · HIFK 2 1500

	Kiffen	Draw	HIFK 2
Our model	40%	24%	36%
Market	41%	23%	36%

Estimated total (ours) 3.43 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kiffen (rating 1597 vs 1500).
Cards-heavy: 10.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Kiffen	HIFK 2
Goals for / against (FT)	2.5 / 1.3	1.9 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	1.2 / 0.2	0.8 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	70/20/10%	30/70/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 5.5	2.2 / 4.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.1 / 0	5.8 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.20

X3.90

22.45

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.80

2 (0)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.80

Under 3.252.00

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 3.6

View on Bet365 ↗

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 10:13

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.20 → 2.20	Bet365 2.20
X	3.90 → 3.90	Bet365 3.90
2	2.45 → 2.45	Bet365 2.45

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.9%

Time*	1	X	2
10:05 +8’	2.20	3.90	2.45

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Kiffen 0–3–0 HIFK 2

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Date	Home	Score	Away
18/05/26 Finland Kakkonen Group A	HIFK 2	3-3 HT 1-0	Kiffen
09/09/18 Finland Kakkonen Group B	Kiffen	0-0 HT 0-0	HIFK 2
05/05/18 Finland Kakkonen Group B	HIFK 2	0-0 HT 0-0	Kiffen

Standings · Finland Kakkonen Group A · Kakkonen 2026, Group A

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Kiffen	13	9	1	3	31	21	28
2	HIFK 2	13	7	3	3	27	15	24
3	HPS	13	7	2	4	28	21	23
4	PEPO	13	6	4	3	20	18	22
5	Atlantis	13	6	1	6	40	31	19
6	PPJ	13	4	7	2	25	19	19
7	Reipas	13	5	2	6	26	25	17
8	Puiu	13	4	2	7	18	26	14
9	MyPa	13	3	2	8	14	28	11
10	Union Plaani	13	1	2	10	14	39	5

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Kiffen	HIFK 2
PEPO	2-0 W	2-1 W
Atlantis	5-3 W	2-3 L
PPJ	2-1 W	1-2 L
Reipas	3-2 W	1-1 D
HPS	2-1 W	0-2 L
Puiu	2-0 W	2-0 W
Union Plaani	2-0 W	3-0 W
MyPa	3-1 W	4-0 W
Record vs common	8 W 0 D 0 L	4 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Kiffen (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Kiffen

LDWWWWWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/07	PEPO Finland Kakkonen Group A	1-0	2-0	6	4	W
10/07	Atlantis Finland Kakkonen Group A	3-0	5-3	2	4	W
02/07	PPJ Finland Kakkonen Group A	1-0	2-1	3	6	W
27/06	Reipas Finland Kakkonen Group A	2-1	3-2	5	4	W
12/06	HPS Finland Kakkonen Group A	0-0	2-1	8	5	W
08/06	Puiu Finland Kakkonen Group A	2-0	2-0	8	5	W
29/05	Union Plaani Finland Kakkonen Group A	2-0	2-0	8	4	W
23/05	MyPa Finland Kakkonen Group A	1-0	3-1	4	5	W
18/05	HIFK 2 Finland Kakkonen Group A	0-1	3-3	7	8	D
09/05	PEPO Finland Kakkonen Group A	0-0	1-2	4	6	L

HIFK 2

LDLWLWWWDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/07	PPJ Finland Kakkonen Group A	1-1	1-2	5	4	L
12/07	Reipas Finland Kakkonen Group A	0-0	1-1	3	4	D
04/07	MyPa Finland Kakkonen Group A	1-0	4-0	6	7	W
27/06	Union Plaani Finland Kakkonen Group A	2-0	3-0	–	–	W
13/06	PEPO Finland Kakkonen Group A	0-0	2-1	7	5	W
06/06	Atlantis Finland Kakkonen Group A	2-2	2-3	1	1	L
29/05	Puiu Finland Kakkonen Group A	0-0	2-0	3	8	W
22/05	HPS Finland Kakkonen Group A	0-0	0-2	7	10	L
18/05	Kiffen Finland Kakkonen Group A	1-0	3-3	5	8	D
13/05	JaPS Finland Cup	1-1	1-3	6	6	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Kiffen vs HIFK 2?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Kiffen win (40%). Probabilities: Kiffen 40%, draw 24%, HIFK 2 36%.

How many goals are expected in Kiffen vs HIFK 2?

The model expects 3.43 goals (Kiffen 1.76 · HIFK 2 1.66), with a 52% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Kiffen vs HIFK 2?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.