Football · Finland Kakkonen Group A · 01/08, 16:00

Prediction: Puiu vs Atlantis

Team pages: Puiu · Atlantis

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.29Total

Puiu2.16

Atlantis2.13

1X2

40% 22% 38%

Puiu Draw Atlantis

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 63%

Most likely score

2-2

Recent form · 10 last

Puiu 2-1-7 (W-D-L)

LLLLDLLWWL

Atlantis 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

LWLWDWWLWW

Head-to-head

Puiu 0–1 Atlantis (1 last)

Atlantis8-0Puiu

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Puiu 1442 · Atlantis 1548

	Puiu	Draw	Atlantis
Our model	40%	21%	39%
Market	39%	23%	38%

Estimated total (ours) 4.29 goals · Bet365 line 3.75 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 85%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Atlantis (rating 1442 vs 1548).
Cards-heavy: 8.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Puiu	Atlantis
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 2.4	3.8 / 2.3
Goals for / against (HT)	1.1 / 1.4	2.2 / 1.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/20/40%	40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	3 / 4.6	3.1 / 5.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.6 / 0.1	4 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.30

X3.90

22.38

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.85

2 (0)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 3.751.82

Under 3.751.98

Diff.: 1.15 · xG: 4.9

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 05:19

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.30 → 2.30	Bet365 2.30
X	3.90 → 3.90	Bet365 3.90
2	2.38 → 2.38	Bet365 2.38

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.2%

Time*	1	X	2
05:16 +3’	2.30	3.90	2.38

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Puiu 0–0–1 Atlantis

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Date	Home	Score	Away
22/05/26 Finland Kakkonen Group A	Atlantis	8-0 HT 6-0	Puiu

Standings · Finland Kakkonen Group A · Kakkonen 2026, Group A

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Kiffen	14	9	2	3	32	22	29
2	HIFK 2	14	7	4	3	28	16	25
3	PEPO	14	7	4	3	23	20	25
4	HPS	14	7	2	5	31	26	23
5	Atlantis	14	7	1	6	45	34	22
6	Reipas	14	6	2	6	30	27	20
7	PPJ	14	4	7	3	25	20	19
8	Puiu	14	4	2	8	20	29	14
9	MyPa	14	3	2	9	16	32	11
10	Union Plaani	14	2	2	10	15	39	8

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Puiu	Atlantis
PEPO	2-3 L	5-1 W
Reipas	4-1 W	0-1 L
PPJ	4-1 W	3-3 D
Union Plaani	1-2 L	6-3 W
HPS	0-2 L	5-3 W
MyPa	1-1 D	2-1 W
Kiffen	0-2 L	3-5 L
HIFK 2	0-2 L	3-2 W
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 5 L	5 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Atlantis (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Puiu

LLLLDLLWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/07	PEPO Finland Kakkonen Group A	2-1	2-3	2	5	L
18/07	Reipas Finland Kakkonen Group A	4-1	4-1	3	3	W
11/07	PPJ Finland Kakkonen Group A	2-0	4-1	5	4	W
04/07	Union Plaani Finland Kakkonen Group A	1-1	1-2	7	4	L
27/06	HPS Finland Kakkonen Group A	0-1	0-2	8	3	L
13/06	MyPa Finland Kakkonen Group A	1-0	1-1	6	4	D
08/06	Kiffen Finland Kakkonen Group A	0-2	0-2	6	5	L
29/05	HIFK 2 Finland Kakkonen Group A	0-0	0-2	2	8	L
22/05	Atlantis Finland Kakkonen Group A	0-6	0-8	2	6	L
16/05	PEPO Finland Kakkonen Group A	1-2	1-2	–	–	L

Atlantis

LWLWDWWLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/07	HPS Finland Kakkonen Group A	3-1	5-3	10	3	W
18/07	Union Plaani Finland Kakkonen Group A	4-1	6-3	5	3	W
10/07	Kiffen Finland Kakkonen Group A	0-3	3-5	5	4	L
04/07	PEPO Finland Kakkonen Group A	3-0	5-1	2	5	W
27/06	MyPa Finland Kakkonen Group A	1-1	2-1	8	6	W
11/06	PPJ Finland Kakkonen Group A	2-3	3-3	7	5	D
06/06	HIFK 2 Finland Kakkonen Group A	2-2	3-2	4	1	W
31/05	Reipas Finland Kakkonen Group A	0-0	0-1	4	4	L
22/05	Puiu Finland Kakkonen Group A	6-0	8-0	7	6	W
16/05	HPS Finland Kakkonen Group A	1-4	3-4	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Puiu vs Atlantis?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Puiu win (40%). Probabilities: Puiu 40%, draw 22%, Atlantis 38%.

How many goals are expected in Puiu vs Atlantis?

The model expects 4.29 goals (Puiu 2.16 · Atlantis 2.13), with a 54% chance of over 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Puiu vs Atlantis?

The model gives a 63% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-2.