Football · Finland Kakkonen Group A · 01/08, 16:00

Prediction: MyPa vs Kiffen

Team pages: MyPa · Kiffen

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.89Total

MyPa1.35

Kiffen2.54

1X2

18% 20% 62%

MyPa Draw Kiffen

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-2

Recent form · 10 last

MyPa 1-2-7 (W-D-L)

LLDLDLLWLL

Kiffen 8-2-0 (W-D-L)

DWWWWWWWWD

Head-to-head

MyPa 1–1–3 Kiffen (5 last)

Kiffen3-1MyPa
Kiffen2-2MyPa
MyPa2-3Kiffen
MyPa2-1Kiffen
Kiffen2-0MyPa

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · MyPa 1424 · Kiffen 1601

	MyPa	Draw	Kiffen
Our model	18%	19%	62%
Market	18%	20%	62%

Estimated total (ours) 3.89 goals · Bet365 line 3.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 72%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kiffen (rating 1424 vs 1601).
H2H favours Kiffen: 3-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 10.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	MyPa	Kiffen
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 3.3	2.5 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 1.4	1.3 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/30/60%	80/10/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.8 / 4.3	2.7 / 5.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.4 / 0	5.1 / 0

Odds Bet365

15.00

X4.50

21.44

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1.25)1.85

2 (-1.25)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 3.751.88

Under 3.751.93

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 4.05

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 05:19

	Bet365	Best now
1	5.00 → 5.00	Bet365 5.00
X	4.50 → 4.50	Bet365 4.50
2	1.44 → 1.44	Bet365 1.44

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
04:57 +22’	5.00	4.50	1.44

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · MyPa 1–1–3 Kiffen

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Date	Home	Score	Away
23/05/26 Finland Kakkonen Group A	Kiffen	3-1 HT 1-0	MyPa
19/07/24 Finland Kakkonen Group A	Kiffen	2-2 HT 1-1	MyPa
18/05/24 Finland Kakkonen Group A	MyPa	2-3 HT 1-1	Kiffen
02/10/21 Finland Kakkonen Group A	MyPa	2-1 HT 0-0	Kiffen
19/09/21 Finland Kakkonen Group A	Kiffen	2-0 HT 0-0	MyPa

Standings · Finland Kakkonen Group A · Kakkonen 2026, Group A

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Kiffen	14	9	2	3	32	22	29
2	HIFK 2	14	7	4	3	28	16	25
3	PEPO	14	7	4	3	23	20	25
4	HPS	14	7	2	5	31	26	23
5	Atlantis	14	7	1	6	45	34	22
6	Reipas	14	6	2	6	30	27	20
7	PPJ	14	4	7	3	25	20	19
8	Puiu	14	4	2	8	20	29	14
9	MyPa	14	3	2	9	16	32	11
10	Union Plaani	14	2	2	10	15	39	8

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	MyPa	Kiffen
Reipas	2-4 L	3-2 W
HPS	2-5 L	2-1 W
Union Plaani	2-0 W	2-0 W
HIFK 2	0-4 L	1-1 D
Atlantis	1-2 L	5-3 W
Puiu	1-1 D	2-0 W
PPJ	1-3 L	2-1 W
PEPO	0-0 D	2-0 W
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 5 L	7 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Kiffen (7 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

MyPa

LLDLDLLWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/07	Reipas Finland Kakkonen Group A	0-1	2-4	2	5	L
18/07	HPS Finland Kakkonen Group A	1-2	2-5	7	5	L
11/07	Union Plaani Finland Kakkonen Group A	1-0	2-0	3	8	W
04/07	HIFK 2 Finland Kakkonen Group A	0-1	0-4	6	7	L
27/06	Atlantis Finland Kakkonen Group A	1-1	1-2	7	6	L
13/06	Puiu Finland Kakkonen Group A	0-1	1-1	2	4	D
06/06	PPJ Finland Kakkonen Group A	1-1	1-3	5	9	L
29/05	PEPO Finland Kakkonen Group A	0-0	0-0	5	4	D
26/05	HJK Helsinki Finland Cup	0-6	1-11	1	1	L
23/05	Kiffen Finland Kakkonen Group A	0-1	1-3	5	5	L

Kiffen

DWWWWWWWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/07	HIFK 2 Finland Kakkonen Group A	1-0	1-1	8	6	D
18/07	PEPO Finland Kakkonen Group A	1-0	2-0	6	4	W
10/07	Atlantis Finland Kakkonen Group A	3-0	5-3	2	4	W
02/07	PPJ Finland Kakkonen Group A	1-0	2-1	3	6	W
27/06	Reipas Finland Kakkonen Group A	2-1	3-2	5	4	W
12/06	HPS Finland Kakkonen Group A	0-0	2-1	8	5	W
08/06	Puiu Finland Kakkonen Group A	2-0	2-0	8	5	W
29/05	Union Plaani Finland Kakkonen Group A	2-0	2-0	8	4	W
23/05	MyPa Finland Kakkonen Group A	1-0	3-1	4	5	W
18/05	HIFK 2 Finland Kakkonen Group A	0-1	3-3	7	8	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in MyPa vs Kiffen?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Kiffen win (62%). Probabilities: MyPa 18%, draw 20%, Kiffen 62%.

How many goals are expected in MyPa vs Kiffen?

The model expects 3.89 goals (MyPa 1.35 · Kiffen 2.54), with a 50% chance of over 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in MyPa vs Kiffen?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.