Prediction: Atletico Gloriense vs Desportiva Aracaju
- Atletico Gloriense1-1Desportiva Aracaju
- Desportiva Aracaju2-1Atletico Gloriense
| Atletico Gloriense | Draw | Desportiva Aracaju | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 24% | 23% |
| Market | 53% | 24% | 23% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Atletico Gloriense (rating 1496 vs 1428).
- Cards-heavy: 11.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Atletico Gloriense | Desportiva Aracaju | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.8 / 1.3 | 0.9 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.4 | 0.3 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 44/33/22% | 10/70/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.3 / 3.3 | 1.6 / 5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 6.5 / 0.1 | 5.3 / 0.5 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Atletico Gloriense 0–1–1 Desportiva Aracaju
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/01/26 Brazil Campeonato Sergipano | Atletico Gloriense | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Desportiva Aracaju |
| 25/10/25 Brazil Campeonato Sergipano A2 | Desportiva Aracaju | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Atletico Gloriense |
Standings · Brazil Copa Sergipe
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AA Guarany | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Atletico Gloriense | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | America FC Propria | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Desportiva Aracaju | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Falcon | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Lagarto | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Atletico Gloriense | Desportiva Aracaju |
|---|---|---|
| Dorense | 5-0 W | 1-2 L |
| CS Sergipe | 1-2 L | 0-2 L |
| Lagarto | 2-1 W | 1-3 L |
| Falcon | 1-2 L | 0-2 L |
| AA Guarany | 2-3 L | 1-2 L |
| AD Confianca | 2-1 W | 0-3 L |
| America FC Propria | 0-2 L | 0-0 D |
| Itabaiana | 0-1 L | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 0 D 5 L | 0 W 1 D 7 L |
Better against common opponents: Atletico Gloriense (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Atletico Gloriense
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/02 | Dorense Brazil Campeonato Sergipano |
2-0 | 5-0 | – | – | W |
| 11/02 | CS Sergipe Brazil Campeonato Sergipano |
1-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 10 | L |
| 07/02 | Lagarto Brazil Campeonato Sergipano |
0-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 9 | W |
| 03/02 | Falcon Brazil Campeonato Sergipano |
1-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 31/01 | AA Guarany Brazil Campeonato Sergipano |
0-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 24/01 | AD Confianca Brazil Campeonato Sergipano |
2-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 8 | W |
| 21/01 | America FC Propria Brazil Campeonato Sergipano |
0-2 | 0-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 18/01 | Desportiva Aracaju Brazil Campeonato Sergipano |
1-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 10 | D |
| 11/01 | Itabaiana Brazil Campeonato Sergipano |
0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 6 | L |
| 02/11 | Rosario SE Brazil Campeonato Sergipano A2 |
– | 4-0 | – | – | W |
Desportiva Aracaju
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/02 | Falcon Brazil Campeonato Sergipano |
0-0 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 12/02 | Lagarto Brazil Campeonato Sergipano |
0-1 | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 08/02 | AA Guarany Brazil Campeonato Sergipano |
1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 05/02 | CS Sergipe Brazil Campeonato Sergipano |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 31/01 | America FC Propria Brazil Campeonato Sergipano |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 25/01 | Itabaiana Brazil Campeonato Sergipano |
0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 10 | L |
| 22/01 | Dorense Brazil Campeonato Sergipano |
0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 18/01 | Atletico Gloriense Brazil Campeonato Sergipano |
1-1 | 1-1 | 0 | 10 | D |
| 10/01 | AD Confianca Brazil Campeonato Sergipano |
0-1 | 0-3 | 8 | 6 | L |
| 02/11 | America EC Pedrinhas Brazil Campeonato Sergipano A2 |
1-0 | 4-0 | 11 | 1 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Atletico Gloriense vs Desportiva Aracaju?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Atletico Gloriense win (53%). Probabilities: Atletico Gloriense 53%, draw 24%, Desportiva Aracaju 23%.
How many goals are expected in Atletico Gloriense vs Desportiva Aracaju?
The model expects 3.13 goals (Atletico Gloriense 1.92 · Desportiva Aracaju 1.21), with a 51% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Atletico Gloriense vs Desportiva Aracaju?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.