Prediction: Lagarto vs Falcon
- Lagarto2-2Falcon
- Lagarto1-0Falcon
- Falcon1-0Lagarto
- Lagarto0-0Falcon
- Lagarto3-0Falcon
- Lagarto1-1Falcon
| Lagarto | Draw | Falcon | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 29% | 21% |
| Market | 52% | 26% | 23% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- H2H favours Lagarto: 2-3-1.
- Cards-heavy: 9.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Lagarto | Falcon | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 1.1 | 0.9 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.4 | 0.1 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 0/60/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 3.7 | 2.3 / 4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.1 / 0 | 4.4 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Lagarto 2–3–1 Falcon
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/01/26 Brazil Campeonato Sergipano | Lagarto | 2-2 HT 1-1 | Falcon |
| 14/08/25 Brazil Copa Sergipe | Lagarto | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Falcon |
| 23/07/25 Brazil Copa Sergipe | Falcon | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Lagarto |
| 06/03/25 Brazil Campeonato Sergipano | Lagarto | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Falcon |
| 01/03/25 Brazil Campeonato Sergipano | Lagarto | 3-0 HT 3-0 | Falcon |
| 23/03/24 Brazil Campeonato Sergipano | Lagarto | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Falcon |
Standings · Brazil Copa Sergipe
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Falcon | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 2 | Lagarto | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Atletico Gloriense | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 3 | Desportiva Aracaju | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 5 | America FC Propria | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 6 | AA Guarany | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Lagarto | Falcon |
|---|---|---|
| America FC Propria | 1-0 W | 1-2 L |
| CS Sergipe | 1-1 D | 0-2 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 0 L | 0 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Lagarto (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lagarto
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/07 | America FC Propria Brazil Copa Sergipe |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 27/06 | CSA Brazil Serie D |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 21/06 | CSA Brazil Serie D |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 14/06 | Decisao Brazil Serie D |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 11 | W |
| 30/05 | Treze Brazil Serie D |
0-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 24/05 | Retro FC Brasil Brazil Serie D |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 17/05 | CS Sergipe Brazil Serie D |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 8 | D |
| 09/05 | Serra Branca EC Brazil Serie D |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 02/05 | Serra Branca EC Brazil Serie D |
1-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 25/04 | CS Sergipe Brazil Serie D |
1-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 7 | L |
Falcon
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/07 | AA Guarany Brazil Copa Sergipe |
0-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 21/02 | Itabaiana Brazil Campeonato Sergipano |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 14/02 | Desportiva Aracaju Brazil Campeonato Sergipano |
0-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 11/02 | AA Guarany Brazil Campeonato Sergipano |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 07/02 | America FC Propria Brazil Campeonato Sergipano |
1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 9 | L |
| 03/02 | Atletico Gloriense Brazil Campeonato Sergipano |
0-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 31/01 | Dorense Brazil Campeonato Sergipano |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 24/01 | CS Sergipe Brazil Campeonato Sergipano |
0-2 | 0-2 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 22/01 | AD Confianca Brazil Campeonato Sergipano |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 17/01 | Itabaiana Brazil Campeonato Sergipano |
0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 5 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lagarto vs Falcon?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Lagarto win (51%). Probabilities: Lagarto 51%, draw 27%, Falcon 22%.
How many goals are expected in Lagarto vs Falcon?
The model expects 2.28 goals (Lagarto 1.44 · Falcon 0.84), with a 52% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Lagarto vs Falcon?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.