Prediction: Lagarto vs AA Guarany
Team pages: Lagarto · AA Guarany
- Lagarto2-0AA Guarany
- AA Guarany0-0Lagarto
- Lagarto1-0AA Guarany
- Lagarto4-0AA Guarany
- AA Guarany2-2Lagarto
| Lagarto | Draw | AA Guarany | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 64% | 25% | 11% |
| Market | 66% | 21% | 13% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- H2H favours Lagarto: 3-2-0.
- Cards-heavy: 9.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Lagarto | AA Guarany | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 1 | 0.7 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.5 | 0.2 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 10/70/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 3.6 | 1.4 / 3.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.9 / 0 | 4.7 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Lagarto 3–2–0 AA Guarany
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/01/26 Brazil Campeonato Sergipano | Lagarto | 2-0 HT 2-0 | AA Guarany |
| 16/08/25 Brazil Copa Sergipe | AA Guarany | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Lagarto |
| 16/07/25 Brazil Copa Sergipe | Lagarto | 1-0 HT 0-0 | AA Guarany |
| 18/01/25 Brazil Campeonato Sergipano | Lagarto | 4-0 HT 1-0 | AA Guarany |
| 23/02/19 Brazil Campeonato Sergipano | AA Guarany | 2-2 | Lagarto |
Standings · Brazil Copa Sergipe
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Falcon | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 6 |
| 2 | Desportiva Aracaju | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 3 | Lagarto | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| 4 | Atletico Gloriense | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| 5 | AA Guarany | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1 |
| 6 | America FC Propria | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Lagarto | AA Guarany |
|---|---|---|
| Falcon | 1-2 L | 0-3 L |
| America FC Propria | 1-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 1 L | 0 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Lagarto (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lagarto
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | Falcon Brazil Copa Sergipe |
1-2 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 30/07 | America FC Propria Brazil Copa Sergipe |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 27/06 | CSA Brazil Serie D |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 21/06 | CSA Brazil Serie D |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 14/06 | Decisao Brazil Serie D |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 11 | W |
| 30/05 | Treze Brazil Serie D |
0-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 24/05 | Retro FC Brasil Brazil Serie D |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 17/05 | CS Sergipe Brazil Serie D |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 8 | D |
| 09/05 | Serra Branca EC Brazil Serie D |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 02/05 | Serra Branca EC Brazil Serie D |
1-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
AA Guarany
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | Atletico Gloriense Brazil Copa Sergipe |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 30/07 | Falcon Brazil Copa Sergipe |
0-0 | 0-3 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 21/02 | AD Confianca Brazil Campeonato Sergipano |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 14/02 | Itabaiana Brazil Campeonato Sergipano |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 7 | D |
| 11/02 | Falcon Brazil Campeonato Sergipano |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 08/02 | Desportiva Aracaju Brazil Campeonato Sergipano |
1-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 06/02 | AD Confianca Brazil Campeonato Sergipano |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 6 | L |
| 31/01 | Atletico Gloriense Brazil Campeonato Sergipano |
1-0 | 3-2 | 1 | 1 | W |
| 25/01 | America FC Propria Brazil Campeonato Sergipano |
0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 6 | D |
| 22/01 | Lagarto Brazil Campeonato Sergipano |
0-2 | 0-2 | 7 | 11 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lagarto vs AA Guarany?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Lagarto win (65%). Probabilities: Lagarto 65%, draw 23%, AA Guarany 12%.
How many goals are expected in Lagarto vs AA Guarany?
The model expects 2.27 goals (Lagarto 1.71 · AA Guarany 0.57), with a 50% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Lagarto vs AA Guarany?
The model gives a 54% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.