Football · Australia Capital Territory Premier League · 26/07, 08:30
Prediction: Canberra Juventus vs Monaro Panthers
Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.33Total
Canberra Juventus1.61
Monaro Panthers2.72
1X2
Canberra Juventus
Draw
Monaro Panthers
Markets
Under 4.5 goals 57%
Both teams to score 62%
Most likely score
1-2
Recent form · 10 last
Canberra Juventus
7-0-3 (W-D-L)
Monaro Panthers
8-0-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Canberra Juventus
0–1
Monaro Panthers
(1 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Canberra Juventus 1523 · Monaro Panthers 1594
| Canberra Juventus | Draw | Monaro Panthers | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 21% | 19% | 61% |
| Market | 21% | 19% | 60% |
Estimated total (ours)
4.33 goals · Bet365 line 4 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 78%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Monaro Panthers (rating 1523 vs 1594).
- High corners: 13 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Canberra Juventus | Monaro Panthers | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.2 / 1.6 | 3.6 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.7 | 1.6 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/30/30% | 60/20/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.9 / 6.6 | 2.9 / 6.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.1 / 0.3 | 2.9 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Canberra Juventus 0–0–1 Monaro Panthers
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/05/26 Australia Capital Territory Premier League | Monaro Panthers | 5-3 HT 0-1 | Canberra Juventus |
Standings · Australia Capital Territory Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Canberra Croatia FC | 16 | 13 | 1 | 2 | 48 | 18 | 40 |
| 2 | Monaro Panthers | 15 | 12 | 0 | 3 | 53 | 22 | 36 |
| 3 | Tuggeranong Utd | 15 | 11 | 0 | 4 | 36 | 30 | 33 |
| 4 | Tigers FC | 16 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 43 | 20 | 32 |
| 5 | Canberra Juventus | 15 | 10 | 0 | 5 | 34 | 26 | 30 |
| 6 | Queanbeyan City | 14 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 30 | 21 | 25 |
| 7 | Canberra Olympic | 15 | 5 | 1 | 9 | 32 | 41 | 16 |
| 8 | O'Connor Knights | 15 | 5 | 0 | 10 | 15 | 30 | 15 |
| 9 | Belconnen United | 15 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 23 | 34 | 8 |
| 10 | Brindabella Blues FC | 14 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 7 | 44 | 6 |
| 11 | Canberra White Eagles | 16 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 12 | 47 | 4 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Canberra Juventus | Monaro Panthers |
|---|---|---|
| Canberra Croatia FC | 2-5 L | 1-4 L |
| Belconnen United | 1-0 W | 3-1 W |
| Brindabella Blues FC | 2-0 W | 9-0 W |
| Tigers FC | 1-5 L | 2-0 W |
| Canberra Olympic | 3-2 W | 5-2 W |
| Tuggeranong Utd | 5-0 W | 6-1 W |
| Queanbeyan City | 1-3 L | 2-1 W |
| Canberra White Eagles | 4-1 W | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 5 W 0 D 3 L | 7 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Monaro Panthers (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Canberra Juventus
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/07 | Canberra Croatia FC Australia Capital Territory Premier League |
0-3 | 2-5 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 11/07 | O'Connor Knights Australia Capital Territory Premier League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 2 | W |
| 04/07 | Belconnen United Australia Capital Territory Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 28/06 | Brindabella Blues FC Australia Capital Territory Premier League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 14/06 | Tigers FC Australia Capital Territory Premier League |
0-2 | 1-5 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 10/06 | Canberra Olympic Australia Capital Territory Premier League |
2-0 | 3-2 | 9 | 15 | W |
| 30/05 | Tuggeranong Utd Australia Capital Territory Premier League |
1-0 | 5-0 | 12 | 3 | W |
| 23/05 | Queanbeyan City Australia Capital Territory Premier League |
0-1 | 1-3 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 17/05 | Canberra White Eagles Australia Capital Territory Premier League |
1-1 | 4-1 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 13/05 | Brindabella Blues FC Australia Capital Territory Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 4 | W |
Monaro Panthers
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/07 | Queanbeyan City Australia Capital Territory Premier League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 04/07 | Brindabella Blues FC Australia Capital Territory Premier League |
3-0 | 9-0 | 9 | 0 | W |
| 27/06 | Tigers FC Australia Capital Territory Premier League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 20/06 | Canberra Olympic Australia Capital Territory Premier League |
2-1 | 5-2 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 13/06 | Queanbeyan City Australia Capital Territory Premier League |
2-1 | 5-2 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 10/06 | Tuggeranong Utd Australia Capital Territory Premier League |
4-0 | 6-1 | 8 | 1 | W |
| 30/05 | Canberra White Eagles Australia Capital Territory Premier League |
0-1 | 2-1 | 9 | 2 | W |
| 24/05 | Canberra Croatia FC Australia Capital Territory Premier League |
1-3 | 1-4 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 20/05 | Tigers FC Australia Cup Qualifying |
1-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 16/05 | Belconnen United Australia Capital Territory Premier League |
1-0 | 3-1 | 10 | 1 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Canberra Juventus vs Monaro Panthers?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Monaro Panthers win (61%). Probabilities: Canberra Juventus 21%, draw 19%, Monaro Panthers 61%.
How many goals are expected in Canberra Juventus vs Monaro Panthers?
The model expects 4.33 goals (Canberra Juventus 1.61 · Monaro Panthers 2.72), with a 51% chance of over 4 goals.
Will both teams score in Canberra Juventus vs Monaro Panthers?
The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.