Football · Australia Capital Territory Premier League · 29/07, 11:30

Prediction: Brindabella Blues FC vs Queanbeyan City

Team pages: Brindabella Blues FC · Queanbeyan City

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.01Total

Brindabella Blues FC1.09

Queanbeyan City2.92

1X2

11% 15% 74%

Brindabella Blues FC Draw Queanbeyan City

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 63% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-2

Recent form · 10 last

Brindabella Blues FC 1-0-9 (W-D-L)

LLLLLWLLLL

Queanbeyan City 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

WWWLLWWLDD

Head-to-head

Brindabella Blues FC 0–2–4 Queanbeyan City (6 last)

Queanbeyan City2-0Brindabella Blues FC
Queanbeyan City2-0Brindabella Blues FC
Queanbeyan City1-1Brindabella Blues FC
Queanbeyan City1-1Brindabella Blues FC
Brindabella Blues FC1-2Queanbeyan City
Queanbeyan City2-0Brindabella Blues FC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Brindabella Blues FC 1392 · Queanbeyan City 1531

	Brindabella Blues FC	Draw	Queanbeyan City
Our model	11%	15%	74%
Market	11%	14%	75%

Estimated total (ours) 4.01 goals · Bet365 line 3.75 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 67%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Queanbeyan City (rating 1392 vs 1531).
H2H favours Queanbeyan City: 4-2-0.
Cards-heavy: 5.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Brindabella Blues FC	Queanbeyan City
Goals for / against (FT)	0.4 / 3.5	2.3 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0 / 0.9	0.9 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/60/40%	40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	0.4 / 2.3	1.8 / 5.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.6 / 0.5	3 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

18.00

X6.50

21.22

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+2)1.88

2 (-2)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 3.751.85

Under 3.751.95

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 4

Market movement

Match winner · 3 moves · last 11:01

	Bet365	Best now
1	9.50 → 8.00▼	Pinn 8.77
X	7.50 → 6.50▼	Pinn 7.65 ★
2	1.18 → 1.22▲	Bet365 1.22

See the full journey (3)

Bet365 margin 9.7% Pinnacle margin 11.4%

Time*	1	X	2
01:43 +19’	9.50	7.50	1.18
05:59 +2’	7.50▼	7.00▼	1.22▲
10:58 +3’	8.00▲	6.50▼	1.22

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
01:01	8.50	7.39	1.14
07:00	8.39▼	7.33▼	1.15▲
10:01	8.76▲	7.62▲	1.15▲
11:01	8.77▲	7.65▲	1.15

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Over/Under 3.75

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Brindabella Blues FC 0–2–4 Queanbeyan City

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Date	Home	Score	Away
06/05/25 Australia Cup Qualifying	Queanbeyan City	2-0 HT 1-0	Brindabella Blues FC
22/09/24 Australia Capital Territory NPL2	Queanbeyan City	2-0 HT 1-0	Brindabella Blues FC
22/06/24 Australia Capital Territory NPL2	Queanbeyan City	1-1 HT 1-1	Brindabella Blues FC
25/09/22 Australia Capital Territory NPL2	Queanbeyan City	1-1 HT 0-1	Brindabella Blues FC
06/03/22 Australia FFA Cup Qualifying	Brindabella Blues FC	1-2 HT 1-1	Queanbeyan City
24/07/21 Australia Capital Territory NPL2	Queanbeyan City	2-0 HT 0-0	Brindabella Blues FC

Standings · Australia Capital Territory Premier League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Canberra Croatia FC	16	13	1	2	48	18	40
2	Monaro Panthers	16	13	0	3	56	22	39
3	Tigers FC	17	11	2	4	47	21	35
4	Tuggeranong Utd	16	11	0	5	37	34	33
5	Canberra Juventus	16	10	0	6	34	29	30
6	Queanbeyan City	16	8	2	6	32	25	26
7	Canberra Olympic	16	5	2	9	34	43	17
8	O'Connor Knights	16	5	1	10	16	31	16
9	Belconnen United	16	2	3	11	24	35	9
10	Brindabella Blues FC	16	3	0	13	10	46	9
11	Canberra White Eagles	17	2	1	14	14	48	7

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Brindabella Blues FC	Queanbeyan City
Canberra White Eagles	1-2 L	2-1 W
Canberra Croatia FC	0-2 L	2-4 L
Monaro Panthers	0-9 L	1-2 L
Canberra Juventus	0-2 L	3-1 W
O'Connor Knights	1-0 W	4-0 W
Belconnen United	1-4 L	2-1 W
Canberra Olympic	0-3 L	2-2 D
Tigers FC	0-7 L	2-2 D
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 7 L	4 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Queanbeyan City (7 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Brindabella Blues FC

LLLLLWLLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/07	Canberra White Eagles Australia Capital Territory Premier League	0-1	1-2	3	4	L
11/07	Canberra Croatia FC Australia Capital Territory Premier League	0-2	0-2	1	7	L
04/07	Monaro Panthers Australia Capital Territory Premier League	0-3	0-9	2	0	L
28/06	Canberra Juventus Australia Capital Territory Premier League	0-0	0-2	3	6	L
20/06	O'Connor Knights Australia Capital Territory Premier League	0-0	1-0	2	3	W
13/06	Belconnen United Australia Capital Territory Premier League	0-0	1-4	3	4	L
30/05	Canberra Olympic Australia Capital Territory Premier League	0-0	0-3	0	3	L
23/05	Tigers FC Australia Capital Territory Premier League	0-3	0-7	0	0	L
16/05	Tuggeranong Utd Australia Capital Territory Premier League	0-0	1-5	9	0	L
13/05	Canberra Juventus Australia Capital Territory Premier League	0-0	0-1	0	4	L

Queanbeyan City

WWWLLWWLDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/07	Canberra Olympic Australia Capital Territory Premier League	1-1	2-2	5	3	D
11/07	Tigers FC Australia Capital Territory Premier League	0-1	2-2	6	1	D
07/07	Monaro Panthers Australia Capital Territory Premier League	1-1	1-2	10	7	L
27/06	Canberra White Eagles Australia Capital Territory Premier League	1-0	2-1	5	3	W
20/06	Belconnen United Australia Capital Territory Premier League	1-0	2-1	6	3	W
13/06	Monaro Panthers Australia Capital Territory Premier League	1-2	2-5	1	1	L
10/06	Canberra Croatia FC Australia Capital Territory Premier League	1-2	2-4	0	7	L
30/05	O'Connor Knights Australia Capital Territory Premier League	0-0	4-0	8	2	W
23/05	Canberra Juventus Australia Capital Territory Premier League	1-0	3-1	0	3	W
12/05	Canberra White Eagles Australia Capital Territory Premier League	2-0	3-0	12	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Brindabella Blues FC vs Queanbeyan City?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Queanbeyan City win (74%). Probabilities: Brindabella Blues FC 11%, draw 15%, Queanbeyan City 74%.

How many goals are expected in Brindabella Blues FC vs Queanbeyan City?

The model expects 4.01 goals (Brindabella Blues FC 1.09 · Queanbeyan City 2.92), with a 51% chance of over 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Brindabella Blues FC vs Queanbeyan City?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.